Will the Ukraine issue trigger NATO to expand to all Europe?Non - member countries are also moving.
2022-01-27
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Eastern European countries entering NATO
North Macedonia March 27, 2020
Montenegro June 5, 2017
Albania 1 April 2009
Croatia 1 April 2009
Bulgaria 29 March 2004
Estonia March 29, 2004
Latvia March 29, 2004
Lithuania 29 March 2004
Romania 29 March 2004
Slovakia 29 March 2004
Slovenia 29 March 2004
Czech Republic 12 March 1999
Hungary 12 March 1999
Poland 12 March 1999
It is a country that joined NATO from the former East Jinning after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.Many European countries are now members of the TATO.NATO member states are bordered by Russia, Norway, Estonia, and Latvia, but none of the borders are long.
The border between Ukraine and Russia is 1,576km
Belarus is a dictatorship, so let it go. Ukraine and Georgia are applying for NATO membership here, both of which border Russia.Ukraine's border with Russia is too long to reach 1,576 kilometers.It will be about #ylow#750km from Kharkov, Ukraine, to Moscow, and 870km from Kiev, Ukraine.
Even if we meet for the purpose of relieving tension
Russia is sending troops to 100,000 people near the Ukrainian border over Ukraine's application for NATO membership.On January 21st, Secretary of State Brinken and Foreign Minister Lavrov met in Switzerland, but ended in a parallel line and Russia expressed clear opposition to NATO's expansion to the east.In response, the U.S. avoided saying wisely and said it would answer next week.And on the 26th, Biden mentions economic sanctions against Putin individually.
When Ukraine joins, the domino style
If Russia gives up Ukraine under NATO pressure this time, non-NATO member countries Finland and Sweden will be able to join.FINANCIAL TIMES reported that discussions on the application for NATO membership in Finland and Sweden are rekindling.The issue could develop into a trend that includes not only Ukraine but also NATO, Russia and non-NATO members in Europe.If Russia abandons Ukraine, Russia will be completely isolated from European countries.
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From Ukraine problem's point of view, Taiwan's problem.look at the historical relationship between Ukraine and Russia.
Russia will not give up Ukraine in a historical sense because it originated from Kiev.Kiev has long been the capital of Russia.In the first half of the 13th century, the Grand Duchy of Kiev was overthrown by the Mongol Empire, effectively controlling Russia's major cities for 200 years.
After the Grand Duchy of Moscow recaptured the area, the capital became Moscow, and in 1713, Peter moved the capital to St. Petersburg to escape from the Chinese economic and cultural circles, and Russia's Europeanization policy took place.Peter is the name of the apostle who served Jesus, the etymology of Peter.Peter in English, Peter in Slavic, Peter in German and Pierre in French.You must have heard all the names somewhere.Lenin revolutionized in 1917, and the capital became what it is now Moscow.
When I learned world history, it was like this, but the Russian Empire covered the eastern half of Ukraine and the Soviet Union covered Ukraine.Even after Ukraine's independence, Russia's origin is mainly Kiev.Ukraine is now independent, and many say Russia originated in the Grand Duchy of Moscow and Ukraine originated in the Grand Duchy of Kiev.Either way, it happened in the same area, so there won't be much difference.
This problem has a lot in common with Taiwan.At least Xi Jinping argues that Taiwan has historically been China and that it is of the same ethnic group.The only difference is that China has called Taiwan "outside of the chinese cultual world" and has not exchanged.When 57 Japanese fishermen were killed in the 1871 Miyakojima disaster, they said they were not responsible for what the people outside of the chinese cultual world did.Considering the same structure as Ukraine, it would be equivalent if the cultural sphere centered on Xi'an entered NATO.In any case, the move will serve as a precedent to justify China's claim internationally.
Ukraine and Taiwan issues have many problems in common, including long history, folklore, territorial, and security.
Official duties 2 days before Queen Elizabeth's death. [Contents]
Official duties performed up to two days before the last
Reign as Head of Commonwealth Kingdom
British people expressing their condolences
National historical and cultural symbol
Queen Elizabeth's last public appearance will be two days before her death. Is it a coincidence that the appointment of the new Prime Minister Truss and the demise of the head of state intersected? Aside from that, it's the expression of the Queen. She had the impression that she was showing her emotions, but it turns out that she is very friendly to the new Prime Minister Truss.
Queen Elizabeth is the head of the Commonwealth of Nations, and the countries where Queen Elizabeth (currently Charles III) is king are currently Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Bahamas, Belize, Canada, Grenada, Jamaica, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, and Saint Christopher. - 15 countries: Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
The British people enjoyed gossip about the British royal family and thought it was vulgar from my Japanese point of view, but now that the Queen is dead, it seems that's not the case. It seems that many British people have gathered at Balmoral Castle in Scotland to pay their respects. In the first place, Japan and the UK have historically been related, and they have something in common as island nations. The King of England and the Emperor of Japan have had long exchanges. If so, it seems that there is a common point among the people.
Respect for a symbolic entity is not logical. There is no rational explanation for it, like respect for the national flag. It seems to me that there is a common national sentiment with countries that share a common view of the loss or defacement of national symbols. It will be a feeling that will never be understood to that country that insults the Emperor of Japan and burns the national flag.
Secretary of State Brinken and Foreign Minister Lavrov meet in Switzerland on Ukraine issue.
U.S. Secretary of State Brinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met on the 21st to discuss the situation in Ukraine.The U.S. has agreed to respond to Russian demands, including NATO's non-expansion, next week and continue negotiations.
The U.S. seems to be avoiding immediate answers and continuing negotiations to avoid the Ukraine crisis.However, it is hard to believe that the U.S. side will accept Russia's request.This means that Ukraine should not join NATO.In the first place, Ukraine's will to join , so if the requirements for membership are met, the U.S. will find no reason to reject it.
From Russia's point of view, if Ukraine joins NATO, it will surround Russia and put pressure on it."Will Russia attack Ukraine begin?Russia's idea of gathering troops near the border is ", but Ukraine and Belarus are only buffer zones .The Warsaw Treaty Organization collapsed with the democratization of Eastern European countries, and the former East Europe entered almost Western Europe.What if Russia joins NATO?But it's not that easy to join the U.S. umbrella.
In any case, Russia's call for NATO not to put pressure on Russia remains unchanged, and future negotiations are drawing attention.
Although there are doubts about the significance of NATO's existence after the collapse of the Cold War, it has self-confident that it will maintain the world's liberal order.For Russia, it will be nothing more than a siege of Russia.
Taiwan is a keystone of the world economy. Asia - Europe liberal economic bloc to contain China.
The upcoming elections that will attract attention are the South Korean presidential election in 2022, the Philippine presidential election in 2022, the US presidential election in 2024, and the Taiwanese presidential election in 2024. Regarding the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea issues, the balance will change depending on who is the leader of the Philippines, the United States, and Taiwan.
Xi Jinping is expected to be re-elected in 2023. It will be interesting to see when Japan's constitutional revision will be proposed.
If you look at the world map, Taiwan is floating on both the Japanese side and the South China Sea.
If we misjudge these points in the Korean presidential election, the next five years may be even more difficult. If the United States were to become a Republican Party, the Philippines would secede from its China policy, and Taiwan would become a Democratic Progressive Party, capital would flee from pro-China South Korea and investment in Taiwan and other Southeast Asian countries would accelerate.
Once the Taiwan and South China Sea issues are resolved, the economic hot zone will move south. This area extends from Southeast Asia to Europe.
The reason why the UK is so proactive about these issues is because it wants to strengthen the unity of the Commonwealth of Nations and rebuild its economic foundations by leaving the EU. It is proposing an economic zone concept in which liberal countries would invest in the same area as One Belt, One Road.
There are Commonwealth countries along the way to the Pacific, the Quad and Europe. The British Commonwealth is made up of 54 countries. It is a huge federation that has been linked to former colonial powers, and has a population of 2.2 billion, which far exceeds that of China.
Africa used to be divided between Britain and France, but it has now been taken over by China. It is in Britain's interest to contain China to mainland China.
If that happens, the EU will also join. This is not to say that any country likes or supports China; the issue is the economy and money.
The Hong Kong issue was symbolic, but Britain's interests in various countries have been usurped by China.
Finland's Prime Minister Marin is eager to join NATO Conclusion in a few weeks - Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea. Finland is eager to join NATO
Finland's Prime Minister Marin announced his willingness to join NATO on the 13th. He will reach a conclusion in a few weeks through Congress. He has remained neutral so as not to inspire Russia, but he also said that this Russian action changed his mind. In contrast, he is one of Russia's closest aides to President Vladimir Putin, and Dmitry Medvejev, vice-chairman of the Security Council, said on the 14th that Russia and Finland will join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) on the 14th. Warned that it was necessary to increase defense capabilities in the region, and also suggested the deployment of nuclear weapons.
Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea
What is the Baltic Sea armament? Kaliningrad. Russia has an enlave in the area facing the Baltic Sea between Lithuania and Poland, the three Baltic states. It would be to deploy nuclear weapons here. Medvejev argues that Russia must strengthen its army, navy and air force in the Baltic Sea to restore military equilibrium. Finland borders Russia on a long border, and even Moscow is just over 1,000 km away. The location is just a stone's throw from St. Petersburg. However, Kaliningrad is an excursion, and Russia cannot access it without going through Lithuania at present. It can be said that the location is even more difficult than in Ukraine.
Russia is the Black Sea and NATO is the Baltic Sea
If Finland and Sweden join NATO, Russia is likely to be more hurt than Ukraine. Russia is currently capturing southern Ukraine with the aim of influencing the Black Sea, but with the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, NATO will acquire the Baltic Sea. And Kaliningrad will be an outlying area completely isolated from Russia. Russia may be trying to defend itself by deploying nuclear weapons so that Kaliningrad cannot be taken.
