If the Northern Territories are viewed as a regional issue around Russia, it is very doubtful whether they will be returned.
2022-05-09
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Looking at the west side of Russia
War between Finland and the Soviet Union broke out on November 30, 1939. The Soviet Union invaded Finland after its border guards came under fire from Finnish troops. The Soviet Union was condemned by the international community for its apparent acts of aggression and was expelled from the League of Nations on December 14, 1939, but this had no effect on its actions.
Finland was robbed of 10% of its land
Finland was forced to cede 10% of its territory, including Viipuri, and the Karelian Isthmus. The fighting ended with a peace treaty in which the area where 20% of industrial production was concentrated was ceded to the Soviet Union.
Pro-Russian forces in Moldova and Georgia
Transnistria is located in Moldova, which shares a border with Ukraine, which is currently undergoing an invasion. This is an area where pro-Russian forces within Moldova have declared independence. Of course, there is Russian support behind this. Georgia is also home to the pro-Russian Republic of South Ossetia. During the recent invasion of Ukraine, the Republic of South Ossetia announced that it would proceed with the process of becoming part of Russia.
Korean War, Vietnam War, and Communist Civil War
The Korean War was fought in what is now North Korea, and the Vietnam War was fought in which the former Soviet Union supported the Northern Army, with the aim of building a socialist country. In other words, the objective is to establish a pro-Russian regime in Asia. This became Comintern's usual tactic . In China, the Chinese Communist Party won after a civil war between the two countries, resulting in the current China.
Create a civil war, stage it, and advance
Since Russia is the largest country in the world, there are things that cannot be seen unless you look at the globe further apart. The method of the former Soviet Union and Russia is to support independent forces, pro-Russian forces, from behind and cause a civil war.
Ukraine issue and Northern Territories issue
The 2014 Crimean Crisis occurred when the Russian military unilaterally invaded the Crimean Peninsula and held a referendum in an attempt to annex the pro-Russian forces living in the Crimean Peninsula to Russia. Following the recognition of the independence of the present-day Donetsk and Lugansk republics in the Donpass region, Russia has continued to invade from there, with the intention of making the entire southeastern part of Ukraine or east of the Dnieper River into Russian territory.
If we look at the country of Russia from this distance, surrounding regions become Russian forces through various methods of being incorporated or becoming independent, and Russia supports them from behind. Japan has the Northern Territories issue.
Will Japan's territorial issue become a diplomatic card
Looking at Russia's territorial expansion methods, Japan can only argue that it is a violation of international law because Russia invaded after the Potsdam Declaration, but from Russia's point of view, such things are something they always do , and I can't imagine Russia specifically returning the Northern Territories to Japan. Will Russia return the territory it has acquired in violation of international law? It wouldn't exist. It can be said that the very attempt to find a compromise with Russia over territorial issues is different.
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Mobilization order for 300,000 people issued in Russia - President Putin expands invasion of Ukraine.
Partial mobilization order for 300,000 people
Economic benefits from acquired territory
On a national scale, the lost population will be returned
A meaningless claim that it is okay to give up the country
Ukraine aims to regain territory
Russia has received various criticisms over its decision to issue a mobilization order for 300,000 people. A referendum was held in southeastern Ukraine, which has become an international issue as it violates the United Nations Charter. The least we can say is that in response to the economic sanctions imposed by each country on Russia, Russia will try to recoup its losses by reaping economic benefits from the areas it has invaded in the medium to long term.
Suppose you suddenly acquire 100 m2 of land. If you grow rice there, how much profit will you make each year?If you grow wheat there, how much profit will you make? What would be the cumulative profit if this continued for 50 years? And will economic sanctions from other countries still continue 50 years from now?
Will the 300,000 conscripted soldiers in Russia never return? Suppose they all died in battle. Given the national economy, these 300,000 people will return. After a major war, a region may experience population growth to compensate for the lost population. The first baby boom occurred in Japan. In other words, in terms of the nation, 300,000 people will be revived.
There was someone who complained that the leader of some idiot political party in Japan would be fine if they gave away at least one of Japan's remote islands. That's completely stupid. Humankind's wars have been carried out based on this kind of time axis calculation. Criticism of the war will eventually be adjusted. The core of this is the national land that will benefit us forever in the future.
Currently, the media is reporting that Ukraine is in the ascendant, but the actual conclusion will differ depending on what you consider as a yardstick. The least we can say is that in order to make Russia's war meaningless and null and void, we must recapture all of the Ukrainian territory that was taken by Russia. Russia will only lose and gain nothing.
Russia and doping issues that will not disappear. the current level of Russian consciousness from the incident of Camilla Varyeva.
Kamila Valieva's drug use case is complicated. There are various discussions about the Olympics and drugs, the Olympics and raising national prestige, and minors and participation in the Olympics. Regarding the Olympics and drugs, as I used to do gymnastics, I have often heard that communist countries use drugs that stop people from growing. In competitive gymnastics, the larger the body, the more control over the details becomes farther away from the brain, which is a disadvantage. Even if his large body gave him an impression of majesty, it was nothing compared to the added benefit of accurately executing his techniques. Excellent gymnasts seem to have been receiving these injections since childhood.
There is a close relationship between communist countries and the enhancement of national prestige through international sports. Even in democratic countries, there is a relationship between enhancing national prestige and the Olympics, but the difference is quite different. In the former Soviet Union, if you win a medal at the Olympics, you can live in a mansion and be compensated by the state for a lifetime of freedom. The same may be true of present-day Russia.
Since the Olympics are an amateur sport, personal profits cannot be generated directly from sports. Since the benefits are given after the Olympics or after retirement, it seems that this is not a business. In Japan, if you win a gold medal at the Olympics, you will receive 5 million yen from the JOC. The silver medal is worth 2 million yen, and the bronze medal is 1 million yen. It's a financial reward for the enormous amount of life time and life-risking effort you've put into it.
From a Japanese perspective, Kamila Valieva appears to have been using the prohibited drug trimetazidine and other non-prohibited drugs that are potent when mixed with trimetazidine, but the circumstances surrounding her coming of age are similar to those mentioned above. That's right. But Kamila Valieva may well be held personally responsible. 15-year-old girls must be taught that because they are minors, they are not held socially or legally responsible. And the adult environment surrounding Valieva is even more responsible. Russian society surrounding the Russian Skating Association and the country of Russia also have a big responsibility. This problem arises because Russia is stripped of its right to participate as a nation, and even if it participates as an ROC, the essence remains unchanged. If the issues surrounding athletes remain unresolved, Valieva could seek asylum abroad and aim for gold again.
It would be better for Russia's talented athletes to defect abroad and aim for the Olympics. This is an incident that makes me feel that way.
Putin's approval rating reaches 83% - Contradictions are scattered in intelligence warfare reported by each country by country.
According to a private polling agency, Putin's approval rating is 83%. It is said that this is a survey conducted by a private research company called "Repara Center", a company that usually gives strict survey results to the government. However, it is doubtful how credible it is because it is an opinion poll while information control is being carried out, but there is no mistake that it is rising as a trend, says Yu Koizumi of the Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, the University of Tokyo. And when watching TV in Russia, it is reported that the war has been successful, such as the invasion of Russia destroying many Ukrainian military facilities, and it is natural that the Russian people support this.
Currently, the Western reports are exactly the opposite, Russia's economic sanctions are in effect, so the economic collapse is imminent, the invasion continues to fail and is in a stalemate, and the anti-war consciousness has increased in Russia, which is Putin. It is reported that the administration will be destroyed. Although there are many doubts in the Russian media, it is only one indicator as an objective fact, but when looking at the Russian economy in foreign exchange, it plummeted to 140 rubles per dollar on March 7, but it has rebounded and is now. Is approaching normal prices with 83.98 rubles . At least it doesn't look like it's on the verge of bankruptcy.
In any case, the war is currently underway, and it seems that the people of the world are in the propaganda strategies of both sides. The people have no choice but to watch over this war while receiving media reports. When looking at the reports of each country including Japan, there are many inconsistencies such as what is reported as an objective fact, the views conveyed by the media, the information conveyed by other countries, and the future direction. In the first place, only the military authorities should have a concrete grasp of the state of the war, and since much of the information is military secrets , we are like a live broadcast. There is no way we can confirm the war situation. At the very least, we have to compare the reports of each country and delete the inconsistent information.
Read Russian intentions that are not reported in Japan from the Chinese media - What are they planning?
If you look at the Chinese media about the meeting between Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Foreign Minister Lavrov, you can see something unexpected."The U.S. and its allies have declared a "full-fledged war" against Russia, which destroys Russia's economy, undermines Russia's domestic political stability, and ultimately pushes Russia outside the international community," he said.Lavrov also reported that Western attitudes toward Russia have reached the stage of blatant state-level robbery, confiscation of private property and refusal to fulfill their obligations in the financial and economic sectors.
In "Reference News", there are many cases in which Mr. Lavrov does not need to include the European Union or the United States, which helped Kiev in the conflict, in the peace process, and diplomats' achievements are undermined by Western countries.They reportedly said they could no longer be trusted.
Russian delegation leader Vladimir Mezinski has said the need for multilateral talks as a new framework for ensuring Ukraine's security during the ceasefire talks in Turkey, but it means that the U.S. and EU countries will not be included.And the fact that Western countries, including the U.S., and Japan, have declared a "full-fledged war" against Russia makes one wonder what the nature of the multilateral talks will be like.
There is a possibility that a group that draws in China and excludes Western countries will make some kind of deal.
Europe and Russia from World War II.Is a buffer zone necessary or not?
Europe's history is complicated.During World War II, the Soviet Union recorded the highest death toll in the world.It is said to be between 18,000,000 and 24,000,000.At that time, the Soviet Union had a population of 168,524,000, which meant that 13.6 percent to 14.2 percent of the population died in the war.The reason is that the Nazis are so strong that the rest of Europe is helpless.Churchill of England was afraid of the Nazi invasion and called Roosevelt of the U.S. to ask him to participate in the war, but Roosevelt refused and Churchill was unable to move for a while.
It was the Soviet Union that eventually prevented the Nazis from marching.As a result, the Soviet Union paid for such outstanding deaths.In this sense, Europe was saved from the Nazis by the Soviet Union.After the war, the Soviet Union took over half of Europe during the Cold War.NATO, led by the United States, was born in Western Europe.The United States did not participate in the European war and had no results at all.
The United States drove Japan to defeat and became the leader of liberal countries.Japan's death toll during the war was more than one-tenth that of the Soviet Union, or 3.6 to 4.3 percent of its population.You can see how many Soviet deaths occurred.The war in Japan, which ended in the United States, was not actually beneficial to Europe because Asian countries resisted colonial policies and gained independence one after another.
At least the Soviet Union, which achieved great results in the war in Europe, has collapsed since 1991, leaving no socialist countries in Europe.Putin has repeatedly opposed Ukraine's entry into NATO and said he was deceived by Europe.Russia wants Ukraine to remain a buffer zone.Conversely, is Europe planning to deploy NATO troops to the Russian border?Who do you think saved Europe?He may think that.
There is no doubt that Russia's actions this time clearly violate international law, but history gives me a complicated impression.What are the advantages of Ukraine joining NATO for NATO?
