When partial mobilization order turns into martial law, it's Russia's state of war - Putin hints at using nuclear weapons.
2022-09-27
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Russia envisions using nuclear weapons
The recent referendum and partial mobilization order in eastern Ukraine appear to be creating the preconditions for the use of nuclear weapons. This does not mean that they are planning to use nuclear weapons, but only as a prerequisite. "If Russia's territorial integrity is threatened, we will use all means to protect Russia and its people. This is not a bluff," Putin stressed.
Russia is not yet at war
Until now, Russia has carried out military invasions of Ukraine in the name of peacekeeping operations. That means it's not a war. Ukraine was attacked by Russia and a general mobilization order was imposed, leading to a war for national defense. If, as a result of the recent referendum in eastern Ukraine, these areas are declared Russian territory, an attack on this area would be an attack on Russian territory. In other words, the phase will be raised to a state of war for Russia.
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Does Putin mean Pan - Slavism? Security and Ethnic Issues.
Mr Putin initially stated that the reason for the invasion of Ukraine was the eastern expansion of NATO, but using another context that Russia and Ukraine are the same ethnic group, after expressing that NATO will not participate in the war, Mr Putin say the word that we are same ethnic group. On the other hand, there are many statements that they oppose the Naziization of Ukraine. It seems to mean a civil war attack from Ukraine on the Donbus region, which means that Russians in eastern Ukraine are being persecuted. However, it is not well understood whether such a fact exists or not. The problem is that the context has changed. What was initially a confrontational structure between NATO and Russia has been changed to a bilateral issue between Russia and Ukraine by changing the issue to ethnic issues.
It reminds me of pan-Slavism. It is an idea that began in the early 19th century with the aim of integrating the Slavic peoples. The Slavs, said to have lived north of the Baltic Sea, followed a different travel route than the Germanic. The Germanic migration expanded to the present Western Europe due to the population explosion of the people who were in the Nordic region. In many Western European countries such as Anglo-Saxon, Frank, Germany, and the Netherlands, one tribe of the Germanic people occupied each area. It was the Celts, an indigenous people of Europe, who were occupied. Pan-Germanism was born in opposition to Pan-Slavism during World War I. This is an idea that appeals for the unity and unity of the Germanic people. This idea was taken over by the Nazis and became Greater German Solution, and World War II was held with the aim of integrating the Germanic people and building an empire centered on Germany.
It was the Slavic people who became Eastern European countries after the war and formed the socialist camp. Ukrainians, Belarusians, Russians / Slovaks, Czechs, Poles, Croatians, Serbs, Bulgarians, etc. In other words, Putin's context that Russia and Ukraine are the same ethnic group feels like the resurrection of the empire by the Great Russianism. This is exactly the nationalism that leads to Nazism and the former Soviet Union. Currently, many Slavic countries are members of the EU and NATO. Justifying war on ethnic issues is itself quite outdated. The structure has already been dismantled by the collapse of the former Soviet Union.
If there is a state of war, martial law will be declared
In such a case, rather than partial mobilization, martial law would be imposed and the president would assume command powers that go beyond the Russian constitution. The use of nuclear weapons presupposes a state of war and a military attack on Russia, which means that the prerequisites are in place. The key question now seems to be whether Russia will declare a state of war.
Countries must refrain from using nuclear weapons
U.S. presidential aide Sullivan said on the 25th, ``If Russia were to use nuclear weapons, it would have catastrophic consequences,'' and Ukrainian presidential advisor Podlyak said, ``Russia would not be able to respond tactically or strategically based on the doctrine of nuclear deterrence.'' "The international community should clearly declare that if there is an attempt to use nuclear weapons, we will immediately launch a joint nuclear attack on nuclear weapons facilities in Russia. This is a decision made by the global community, not by Ukraine." did. Russian stocks have already plunged in the market due to concerns about the possibility of Russia imposing martial law.
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Read Russian intentions that are not reported in Japan from the Chinese media - What are they planning?
If you look at the Chinese media about the meeting between Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Foreign Minister Lavrov, you can see something unexpected."The U.S. and its allies have declared a "full-fledged war" against Russia, which destroys Russia's economy, undermines Russia's domestic political stability, and ultimately pushes Russia outside the international community," he said.Lavrov also reported that Western attitudes toward Russia have reached the stage of blatant state-level robbery, confiscation of private property and refusal to fulfill their obligations in the financial and economic sectors.
In "Reference News", there are many cases in which Mr. Lavrov does not need to include the European Union or the United States, which helped Kiev in the conflict, in the peace process, and diplomats' achievements are undermined by Western countries.They reportedly said they could no longer be trusted.
Russian delegation leader Vladimir Mezinski has said the need for multilateral talks as a new framework for ensuring Ukraine's security during the ceasefire talks in Turkey, but it means that the U.S. and EU countries will not be included.And the fact that Western countries, including the U.S., and Japan, have declared a "full-fledged war" against Russia makes one wonder what the nature of the multilateral talks will be like.
There is a possibility that a group that draws in China and excludes Western countries will make some kind of deal.
Putin's approval rating reaches 83% - Contradictions are scattered in intelligence warfare reported by each country by country.
According to a private polling agency, Putin's approval rating is 83%. It is said that this is a survey conducted by a private research company called "Repara Center", a company that usually gives strict survey results to the government. However, it is doubtful how credible it is because it is an opinion poll while information control is being carried out, but there is no mistake that it is rising as a trend, says Yu Koizumi of the Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, the University of Tokyo. And when watching TV in Russia, it is reported that the war has been successful, such as the invasion of Russia destroying many Ukrainian military facilities, and it is natural that the Russian people support this.
Currently, the Western reports are exactly the opposite, Russia's economic sanctions are in effect, so the economic collapse is imminent, the invasion continues to fail and is in a stalemate, and the anti-war consciousness has increased in Russia, which is Putin. It is reported that the administration will be destroyed. Although there are many doubts in the Russian media, it is only one indicator as an objective fact, but when looking at the Russian economy in foreign exchange, it plummeted to 140 rubles per dollar on March 7, but it has rebounded and is now. Is approaching normal prices with 83.98 rubles . At least it doesn't look like it's on the verge of bankruptcy.
In any case, the war is currently underway, and it seems that the people of the world are in the propaganda strategies of both sides. The people have no choice but to watch over this war while receiving media reports. When looking at the reports of each country including Japan, there are many inconsistencies such as what is reported as an objective fact, the views conveyed by the media, the information conveyed by other countries, and the future direction. In the first place, only the military authorities should have a concrete grasp of the state of the war, and since much of the information is military secrets , we are like a live broadcast. There is no way we can confirm the war situation. At the very least, we have to compare the reports of each country and delete the inconsistent information.
Russia and doping issues that will not disappear. the current level of Russian consciousness from the incident of Camilla Varyeva.
Kamila Valieva's drug use case is complicated. There are various discussions about the Olympics and drugs, the Olympics and raising national prestige, and minors and participation in the Olympics. Regarding the Olympics and drugs, as I used to do gymnastics, I have often heard that communist countries use drugs that stop people from growing. In competitive gymnastics, the larger the body, the more control over the details becomes farther away from the brain, which is a disadvantage. Even if his large body gave him an impression of majesty, it was nothing compared to the added benefit of accurately executing his techniques. Excellent gymnasts seem to have been receiving these injections since childhood.
There is a close relationship between communist countries and the enhancement of national prestige through international sports. Even in democratic countries, there is a relationship between enhancing national prestige and the Olympics, but the difference is quite different. In the former Soviet Union, if you win a medal at the Olympics, you can live in a mansion and be compensated by the state for a lifetime of freedom. The same may be true of present-day Russia.
Since the Olympics are an amateur sport, personal profits cannot be generated directly from sports. Since the benefits are given after the Olympics or after retirement, it seems that this is not a business. In Japan, if you win a gold medal at the Olympics, you will receive 5 million yen from the JOC. The silver medal is worth 2 million yen, and the bronze medal is 1 million yen. It's a financial reward for the enormous amount of life time and life-risking effort you've put into it.
From a Japanese perspective, Kamila Valieva appears to have been using the prohibited drug trimetazidine and other non-prohibited drugs that are potent when mixed with trimetazidine, but the circumstances surrounding her coming of age are similar to those mentioned above. That's right. But Kamila Valieva may well be held personally responsible. 15-year-old girls must be taught that because they are minors, they are not held socially or legally responsible. And the adult environment surrounding Valieva is even more responsible. Russian society surrounding the Russian Skating Association and the country of Russia also have a big responsibility. This problem arises because Russia is stripped of its right to participate as a nation, and even if it participates as an ROC, the essence remains unchanged. If the issues surrounding athletes remain unresolved, Valieva could seek asylum abroad and aim for gold again.
It would be better for Russia's talented athletes to defect abroad and aim for the Olympics. This is an incident that makes me feel that way.
Mobilization order for 300,000 people issued in Russia - President Putin expands invasion of Ukraine.
Partial mobilization order for 300,000 people
Economic benefits from acquired territory
On a national scale, the lost population will be returned
A meaningless claim that it is okay to give up the country
Ukraine aims to regain territory
Russia has received various criticisms over its decision to issue a mobilization order for 300,000 people. A referendum was held in southeastern Ukraine, which has become an international issue as it violates the United Nations Charter. The least we can say is that in response to the economic sanctions imposed by each country on Russia, Russia will try to recoup its losses by reaping economic benefits from the areas it has invaded in the medium to long term.
Suppose you suddenly acquire 100 m2 of land. If you grow rice there, how much profit will you make each year?If you grow wheat there, how much profit will you make? What would be the cumulative profit if this continued for 50 years? And will economic sanctions from other countries still continue 50 years from now?
Will the 300,000 conscripted soldiers in Russia never return? Suppose they all died in battle. Given the national economy, these 300,000 people will return. After a major war, a region may experience population growth to compensate for the lost population. The first baby boom occurred in Japan. In other words, in terms of the nation, 300,000 people will be revived.
There was someone who complained that the leader of some idiot political party in Japan would be fine if they gave away at least one of Japan's remote islands. That's completely stupid. Humankind's wars have been carried out based on this kind of time axis calculation. Criticism of the war will eventually be adjusted. The core of this is the national land that will benefit us forever in the future.
Currently, the media is reporting that Ukraine is in the ascendant, but the actual conclusion will differ depending on what you consider as a yardstick. The least we can say is that in order to make Russia's war meaningless and null and void, we must recapture all of the Ukrainian territory that was taken by Russia. Russia will only lose and gain nothing.
Does Putin mean Pan - Slavism? Security and Ethnic Issues.
Mr Putin initially stated that the reason for the invasion of Ukraine was the eastern expansion of NATO, but using another context that Russia and Ukraine are the same ethnic group, after expressing that NATO will not participate in the war, Mr Putin say the word that we are same ethnic group. On the other hand, there are many statements that they oppose the Naziization of Ukraine. It seems to mean a civil war attack from Ukraine on the Donbus region, which means that Russians in eastern Ukraine are being persecuted. However, it is not well understood whether such a fact exists or not. The problem is that the context has changed. What was initially a confrontational structure between NATO and Russia has been changed to a bilateral issue between Russia and Ukraine by changing the issue to ethnic issues.
It reminds me of pan-Slavism. It is an idea that began in the early 19th century with the aim of integrating the Slavic peoples. The Slavs, said to have lived north of the Baltic Sea, followed a different travel route than the Germanic. The Germanic migration expanded to the present Western Europe due to the population explosion of the people who were in the Nordic region. In many Western European countries such as Anglo-Saxon, Frank, Germany, and the Netherlands, one tribe of the Germanic people occupied each area. It was the Celts, an indigenous people of Europe, who were occupied. Pan-Germanism was born in opposition to Pan-Slavism during World War I. This is an idea that appeals for the unity and unity of the Germanic people. This idea was taken over by the Nazis and became Greater German Solution, and World War II was held with the aim of integrating the Germanic people and building an empire centered on Germany.
It was the Slavic people who became Eastern European countries after the war and formed the socialist camp. Ukrainians, Belarusians, Russians / Slovaks, Czechs, Poles, Croatians, Serbs, Bulgarians, etc. In other words, Putin's context that Russia and Ukraine are the same ethnic group feels like the resurrection of the empire by the Great Russianism. This is exactly the nationalism that leads to Nazism and the former Soviet Union. Currently, many Slavic countries are members of the EU and NATO. Justifying war on ethnic issues is itself quite outdated. The structure has already been dismantled by the collapse of the former Soviet Union.
