Taiwan is a keystone of the world economy. Asia - Europe liberal economic bloc to contain China.
2021-12-03
Category:Europe I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
Future elections that will affect the world situation
The upcoming elections that will attract attention are the South Korean presidential election in 2022, the Philippine presidential election in 2022, the US presidential election in 2024, and the Taiwanese presidential election in 2024. Regarding the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea issues, the balance will change depending on who is the leader of the Philippines, the United States, and Taiwan.
Xi Jinping is expected to be re-elected in 2023. It will be interesting to see when Japan's constitutional revision will be proposed.
MEMO If you look at the world map, Taiwan is floating on both the Japanese side and the South China Sea.
If we misjudge the situation, South Korea will become isolated
If we misjudge these points in the Korean presidential election, the next five years may be even more difficult. If the United States were to become a Republican Party, the Philippines would secede from its China policy, and Taiwan would become a Democratic Progressive Party, capital would flee from pro-China South Korea and investment in Taiwan and other Southeast Asian countries would accelerate.
MEMO Once the Taiwan and South China Sea issues are resolved, the economic hot zone will move south. This area extends from Southeast Asia to Europe.
Why the UK is proactive
The reason why the UK is so proactive about these issues is because it wants to strengthen the unity of the Commonwealth of Nations and rebuild its economic foundations by leaving the EU. It is proposing an economic zone concept in which liberal countries would invest in the same area as One Belt, One Road.
There are Commonwealth countries along the way to the Pacific, the Quad and Europe. The British Commonwealth is made up of 54 countries . It is a huge federation that has been linked to former colonial powers, and has a population of 2.2 billion, which far exceeds that of China.
Many British interests were stolen by China
Africa used to be divided between Britain and France, but it has now been taken over by China. It is in Britain's interest to contain China to mainland China.
If that happens, the EU will also join. This is not to say that any country likes or supports China; the issue is the economy and money.
POINT The Hong Kong issue was symbolic, but Britain's interests in various countries have been usurped by China.
I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
Finland's Prime Minister Marin is eager to join NATO Conclusion in a few weeks - Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea. Finland is eager to join NATO
Finland's Prime Minister Marin announced his willingness to join NATO on the 13th. He will reach a conclusion in a few weeks through Congress. He has remained neutral so as not to inspire Russia, but he also said that this Russian action changed his mind. In contrast, he is one of Russia's closest aides to President Vladimir Putin, and Dmitry Medvejev, vice-chairman of the Security Council, said on the 14th that Russia and Finland will join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) on the 14th. Warned that it was necessary to increase defense capabilities in the region, and also suggested the deployment of nuclear weapons.
Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea
What is the Baltic Sea armament? Kaliningrad. Russia has an enlave in the area facing the Baltic Sea between Lithuania and Poland, the three Baltic states. It would be to deploy nuclear weapons here. Medvejev argues that Russia must strengthen its army, navy and air force in the Baltic Sea to restore military equilibrium. Finland borders Russia on a long border, and even Moscow is just over 1,000 km away. The location is just a stone's throw from St. Petersburg. However, Kaliningrad is an excursion, and Russia cannot access it without going through Lithuania at present. It can be said that the location is even more difficult than in Ukraine.
Russia is the Black Sea and NATO is the Baltic Sea
If Finland and Sweden join NATO, Russia is likely to be more hurt than Ukraine. Russia is currently capturing southern Ukraine with the aim of influencing the Black Sea, but with the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, NATO will acquire the Baltic Sea. And Kaliningrad will be an outlying area completely isolated from Russia. Russia may be trying to defend itself by deploying nuclear weapons so that Kaliningrad cannot be taken.
Secretary of State Brinken and Foreign Minister Lavrov meet in Switzerland on Ukraine issue.
U.S. Secretary of State Brinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met on the 21st to discuss the situation in Ukraine.The U.S. has agreed to respond to Russian demands, including NATO's non-expansion, next week and continue negotiations.
The U.S. seems to be avoiding immediate answers and continuing negotiations to avoid the Ukraine crisis.However, it is hard to believe that the U.S. side will accept Russia's request.This means that Ukraine should not join NATO.In the first place, Ukraine's will to join , so if the requirements for membership are met, the U.S. will find no reason to reject it.
From Russia's point of view, if Ukraine joins NATO, it will surround Russia and put pressure on it."Will Russia attack Ukraine begin?Russia's idea of gathering troops near the border is ", but Ukraine and Belarus are only buffer zones .The Warsaw Treaty Organization collapsed with the democratization of Eastern European countries, and the former East Europe entered almost Western Europe.What if Russia joins NATO?But it's not that easy to join the U.S. umbrella.
In any case, Russia's call for NATO not to put pressure on Russia remains unchanged, and future negotiations are drawing attention.
Although there are doubts about the significance of NATO's existence after the collapse of the Cold War, it has self-confident that it will maintain the world's liberal order.For Russia, it will be nothing more than a siege of Russia.
Will the Ukraine issue trigger NATO to expand to all Europe?Non - member countries are also moving.
North Macedonia March 27, 2020
Montenegro June 5, 2017
Albania 1 April 2009
Croatia 1 April 2009
Bulgaria 29 March 2004
Estonia March 29, 2004
Latvia March 29, 2004
Lithuania 29 March 2004
Romania 29 March 2004
Slovakia 29 March 2004
Slovenia 29 March 2004
Czech Republic 12 March 1999
Hungary 12 March 1999
Poland 12 March 1999
It is a country that joined NATO from the former East Jinning after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.Many European countries are now members of the TATO.NATO member states are bordered by Russia, Norway, Estonia, and Latvia, but none of the borders are long.
Belarus is a dictatorship, so let it go. Ukraine and Georgia are applying for NATO membership here, both of which border Russia.Ukraine's border with Russia is too long to reach 1,576 kilometers.It will be about 750km from Kharkov, Ukraine, to Moscow, and 870km from Kiev, Ukraine.
Russia is sending troops to 100,000 people near the Ukrainian border over Ukraine's application for NATO membership.On January 21st, Secretary of State Brinken and Foreign Minister Lavrov met in Switzerland, but ended in a parallel line and Russia expressed clear opposition to NATO's expansion to the east.In response, the U.S. avoided saying wisely and said it would answer next week.And on the 26th, Biden mentions economic sanctions against Putin individually.
If Russia gives up Ukraine under NATO pressure this time, non-NATO member countries Finland and Sweden will be able to join.FINANCIAL TIMES reported that discussions on the application for NATO membership in Finland and Sweden are rekindling.The issue could develop into a trend that includes not only Ukraine but also NATO, Russia and non-NATO members in Europe.If Russia abandons Ukraine, Russia will be completely isolated from European countries.
Official duties 2 days before Queen Elizabeth's death. [Contents]
Official duties performed up to two days before the last
Reign as Head of Commonwealth Kingdom
British people expressing their condolences
National historical and cultural symbol
Queen Elizabeth's last public appearance will be two days before her death. Is it a coincidence that the appointment of the new Prime Minister Truss and the demise of the head of state intersected? Aside from that, it's the expression of the Queen. She had the impression that she was showing her emotions, but it turns out that she is very friendly to the new Prime Minister Truss.
Queen Elizabeth is the head of the Commonwealth of Nations, and the countries where Queen Elizabeth (currently Charles III) is king are currently Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Bahamas, Belize, Canada, Grenada, Jamaica, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, and Saint Christopher. - 15 countries: Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
The British people enjoyed gossip about the British royal family and thought it was vulgar from my Japanese point of view, but now that the Queen is dead, it seems that's not the case. It seems that many British people have gathered at Balmoral Castle in Scotland to pay their respects. In the first place, Japan and the UK have historically been related, and they have something in common as island nations. The King of England and the Emperor of Japan have had long exchanges. If so, it seems that there is a common point among the people.
Respect for a symbolic entity is not logical. There is no rational explanation for it, like respect for the national flag. It seems to me that there is a common national sentiment with countries that share a common view of the loss or defacement of national symbols. It will be a feeling that will never be understood to that country that insults the Emperor of Japan and burns the national flag.
NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.a segregated UkraineWas there no prior negotiation?
Ukrainian President Zelensky urged Western leaders not to create panic as if Russia were about to attack.The withdrawal of Ukrainian foreign capital seems to be aimed at curbing the economic impact.
NATO has announced that it will not send troops to Ukraine, and the United States has only proposed economic sanctions.The current situation is that Ukraine has become separated from the military.The issue originated from Ukraine's application for NATO membership, but the move is aimed at pushing back.In other words, Ukraine has no choice but to withdraw its application for NATO membership in order to avoid an invasion of Russia.If Ukraine does not withdraw its application, the U.S. and NATO forces will not enter Ukraine even if Russia attacks.
There are many questions about the statement that Europe and the U.S. are creating panic.If Russia attacks, it will be far from an economy.That is why countries are withdrawing from Ukraine.Zelenski was a comedian and gained popularity and became president.The application for NATO membership may be as desired, but it is highly questionable whether has established cooperation with related countries in advance.
I understand why Ukraine wants to join NATO for fear that Russia will take over Crimea in 2014, but I wonder if it didn't expect the current situation.Russia is expected to attack before joining NATO.This is probably Mr. Zelensky's apparent mistake.
Ukraine has applied for NATO membership, but NATO will not dispatch troops.I think this should be negotiated in advance.
