２,０００ U.S. troops sent to Eastern Europe and １,０００ European troops moved to Romania and Ukraine was isolated.
2022-02-03
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Even if U.S. troops are dispatched to Eastern Europe, they will not be dispatched to Ukraine
President Biden announced on February 3 that he would send 2,000 U.S. troops to Eastern Europe and 1,000 U.S. troops stationed in Germany and other countries to Romania.At the same time, government officials announced that they would not participate in the Ukrainian battle.Europe has already announced that it will not send troops to Ukraine, and the U.S. has not offered any other card than economic sanctions, but this announcement shows that it will not send troops to Ukraine.
In other words, this is a matter between Russia and Ukraine , which is separated from each other.Ukraine's President Zelensky has not done anything about the crisis before joining NATO, resulting in the acceleration of Ukraine's crisis.
Ukraine will be excluded from the substantial preparation for membership (MAP) at the Bucharest Summit in April 2008, but it will be considered a future member.
Consolidated Crimea in March 2014.
In February 2019, President Zelenski revised the Constitution and clearly stated his policy toward future membership in the EU and NATO membership in NATO.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said at a press conference after the extraordinary meeting of the North Atlantic Council (NAC) in April 2021, Ukraine had the right to apply for membership.
In December 2021, Russia dispatched 100,000 troops near the Ukrainian border.
Ukraine, which almost collapsed due to economic sanctions against Russia
Countries imposed economic sanctions on Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014.As a result, Russia's economy was hit hard, but Ukraine's economy, which relies on Russia's economy, suffered a lot of damage.Ukraine's GDP dropped 7% in 2014, and Ukraine's currency, Fryvna, fell to 34.2 Fryvna against the dollar in February 2015.As a result, the Ukrainian government has adopted a surprising policy of raising interest rates by 30 percent.On 11 March 2015, the IMF agreed to provide the Ukrainian government with $17.5 billion in financial aid over a four-year period.
In other words, if NATO does not send troops to Ukraine, Ukraine will not be able to confront Russia, and if NATO does not withdraw its intention to join, Russia will attack and impose economic sanctions on Russia.So Ukraine will be the one who will fall into an economic crisis.Is there a secret plan for President Zelensky?I don't think there is.
POINT It can be said that President Zelensky's reading of this incident was very lenient.If Ukraine attacks, it will be Ukraine that will fall into an economic crisis.
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Secretary of State Brinken and Foreign Minister Lavrov meet in Switzerland on Ukraine issue.
U.S. Secretary of State Brinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met on the 21st to discuss the situation in Ukraine.The U.S. has agreed to respond to Russian demands, including NATO's non-expansion, next week and continue negotiations.
The U.S. seems to be avoiding immediate answers and continuing negotiations to avoid the Ukraine crisis.However, it is hard to believe that the U.S. side will accept Russia's request.This means that Ukraine should not join NATO.In the first place, Ukraine's will to join , so if the requirements for membership are met, the U.S. will find no reason to reject it.
From Russia's point of view, if Ukraine joins NATO, it will surround Russia and put pressure on it."Will Russia attack Ukraine begin?Russia's idea of gathering troops near the border is ", but Ukraine and Belarus are only buffer zones .The Warsaw Treaty Organization collapsed with the democratization of Eastern European countries, and the former East Europe entered almost Western Europe.What if Russia joins NATO?But it's not that easy to join the U.S. umbrella.
In any case, Russia's call for NATO not to put pressure on Russia remains unchanged, and future negotiations are drawing attention.
Although there are doubts about the significance of NATO's existence after the collapse of the Cold War, it has self-confident that it will maintain the world's liberal order.For Russia, it will be nothing more than a siege of Russia.
The Japanese Embassy in Ukraine has been reduced and Japanese nationals have been advised to stop traveling.Russia besieges Kiev
After the U.S. and Britain decided to evacuate the U.S. Embassy in Ukraine, Japan raised the level of risk information to the second highest level, urged all Japanese to evacuate the country, and reduced the function of the embassy.The U.S.-Russia foreign ministers' talks have virtually broken down, with Russian troops stationed near the Ukrainian border and in Belarus and Crimea, almost surrounding Kiev.
Ukraine's capital, Kiev, is 850 kilometers to Moscow, 150 kilometers to Belarus, and 350 kilometers to Russia.Ukraine is now far from Western Europe because it has only Ukrainian troops before joining NATO.Physically speaking, if Russian troops march, NATO will not be able to rescue them in time, and it will end in an instant.In chess, it's already clogged.On the other hand, if Ukraine joins NATO and NATO forces are stationed near the Russian border, NATO forces will be stationed close to Moscow, the capital.In other words, For Russia attack on Ukraine have to do before NATO membership.
Xi Jinping is the one who is interested in this situation.The United States has only proposed economic sanctions against Ukraine.In the event of an emergency in Taiwan, America's sincerity will be tested.Whether the U.S. will really send U.S. troops to war with nuclear-armed countries is .It is unclear whether the government will give up its territorial aggressionSince territorial expansion is a semi-permanent benefit, economic sanctions are short-term, and relations can be restored through various channels, will it be a deal?Russia was also subject to economic sanctions in the 2014 annexation of Crimea.
It is said that the attack on Ukraine is one of Putin's decisions.Ukraine is a region with great economic benefits for Russia, so there is widespread concern about advancing.
From Ukraine problem's point of view, Taiwan's problem.look at the historical relationship between Ukraine and Russia.
Russia will not give up Ukraine in a historical sense because it originated from Kiev.Kiev has long been the capital of Russia.In the first half of the 13th century, the Grand Duchy of Kiev was overthrown by the Mongol Empire, effectively controlling Russia's major cities for 200 years.
After the Grand Duchy of Moscow recaptured the area, the capital became Moscow, and in 1713, Peter moved the capital to St. Petersburg to escape from the Chinese economic and cultural circles, and Russia's Europeanization policy took place.Peter is the name of the apostle who served Jesus, the etymology of Peter.Peter in English, Peter in Slavic, Peter in German and Pierre in French.You must have heard all the names somewhere.Lenin revolutionized in 1917, and the capital became what it is now Moscow.
When I learned world history, it was like this, but the Russian Empire covered the eastern half of Ukraine and the Soviet Union covered Ukraine.Even after Ukraine's independence, Russia's origin is mainly Kiev.Ukraine is now independent, and many say Russia originated in the Grand Duchy of Moscow and Ukraine originated in the Grand Duchy of Kiev.Either way, it happened in the same area, so there won't be much difference.
This problem has a lot in common with Taiwan.At least Xi Jinping argues that Taiwan has historically been China and that it is of the same ethnic group.The only difference is that China has called Taiwan "outside of the chinese cultual world" and has not exchanged.When 57 Japanese fishermen were killed in the 1871 Miyakojima disaster, they said they were not responsible for what the people outside of the chinese cultual world did.Considering the same structure as Ukraine, it would be equivalent if the cultural sphere centered on Xi'an entered NATO.In any case, the move will serve as a precedent to justify China's claim internationally.
Ukraine and Taiwan issues have many problems in common, including long history, folklore, territorial, and security.
Finland's Prime Minister Marin is eager to join NATO Conclusion in a few weeks - Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea. Finland is eager to join NATO
Finland's Prime Minister Marin announced his willingness to join NATO on the 13th. He will reach a conclusion in a few weeks through Congress. He has remained neutral so as not to inspire Russia, but he also said that this Russian action changed his mind. In contrast, he is one of Russia's closest aides to President Vladimir Putin, and Dmitry Medvejev, vice-chairman of the Security Council, said on the 14th that Russia and Finland will join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) on the 14th. Warned that it was necessary to increase defense capabilities in the region, and also suggested the deployment of nuclear weapons.
Russia strengthens its armament in the Baltic Sea
What is the Baltic Sea armament? Kaliningrad. Russia has an enlave in the area facing the Baltic Sea between Lithuania and Poland, the three Baltic states. It would be to deploy nuclear weapons here. Medvejev argues that Russia must strengthen its army, navy and air force in the Baltic Sea to restore military equilibrium. Finland borders Russia on a long border, and even Moscow is just over 1,000 km away. The location is just a stone's throw from St. Petersburg. However, Kaliningrad is an excursion, and Russia cannot access it without going through Lithuania at present. It can be said that the location is even more difficult than in Ukraine.
Russia is the Black Sea and NATO is the Baltic Sea
If Finland and Sweden join NATO, Russia is likely to be more hurt than Ukraine. Russia is currently capturing southern Ukraine with the aim of influencing the Black Sea, but with the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, NATO will acquire the Baltic Sea. And Kaliningrad will be an outlying area completely isolated from Russia. Russia may be trying to defend itself by deploying nuclear weapons so that Kaliningrad cannot be taken.
NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.a segregated UkraineWas there no prior negotiation?
Ukrainian President Zelensky urged Western leaders not to create panic as if Russia were about to attack.The withdrawal of Ukrainian foreign capital seems to be aimed at curbing the economic impact.
NATO has announced that it will not send troops to Ukraine, and the United States has only proposed economic sanctions.The current situation is that Ukraine has become separated from the military.The issue originated from Ukraine's application for NATO membership, but the move is aimed at pushing back.In other words, Ukraine has no choice but to withdraw its application for NATO membership in order to avoid an invasion of Russia.If Ukraine does not withdraw its application, the U.S. and NATO forces will not enter Ukraine even if Russia attacks.
There are many questions about the statement that Europe and the U.S. are creating panic.If Russia attacks, it will be far from an economy.That is why countries are withdrawing from Ukraine.Zelenski was a comedian and gained popularity and became president.The application for NATO membership may be as desired, but it is highly questionable whether has established cooperation with related countries in advance.
I understand why Ukraine wants to join NATO for fear that Russia will take over Crimea in 2014, but I wonder if it didn't expect the current situation.Russia is expected to attack before joining NATO.This is probably Mr. Zelensky's apparent mistake.
Ukraine has applied for NATO membership, but NATO will not dispatch troops.I think this should be negotiated in advance.
