Xi Jinping sends a congratulatory message to Taiwan Nationalist Party Chairman Zhu Li-Lun - The purpose of shaking Taiwanese public opinion is the ２０２４ Taiwan presidential election.
2021-10-11
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The Chinese Communist Party approaches the Taiwan Nationalist Party
Xi Jinping sent a telegram of congratulations to Mr. Zhu Li-Lun, who took office as the head of the Taiwan Nationalist Party on September ２６th, and expressed that both parties share a common political commitment to oppose Taiwan's independence, aiming for peace in the Taiwan Strait, national reunification, and national rejuvenation. He expressed his hope for cooperation on this basis. Mr. Zhu Lilun said that in recent years, under the Democratic Progressive Party government, ``anti-China'' policies were adopted, which led to the deterioration of the situation on both sides of the strait. He responded that he opposed Taiwanese independence and wanted to deepen cooperation while respecting each other's differences. In other words, both sides confirmed that the current Taiwan Strait issue was caused by the Democratic Progressive Party, which denies the ``９２ common sense'' and ``one country, two systems.''
MEMO Xi Jinping and the Nationalist Party have concluded that the Taiwan Strait issue is an issue caused by President Tsai Ing-wen and the independence faction of the Democratic Progressive Party.
America's Taiwan policy
Although the Biden administration's Taiwan Strait policy appears to be a continuation of the Trump administration, it is actually different. Biden, don't cause trouble while he's president. It looks like that's all he's saying. Indo-Pacific Coordinator Campbell's statement that he does not support Taiwan's independence is not the government's official position, but does this mean that even if Taiwan were to declare independence, it would not recognize it? The idea is to maintain three joint communiques.
MEMO The three joint communiqués are a compilation of the １９７２ dialogue between President Nixon and Prime Minister Chou Enlai.
What does China's change in direction mean?
Let's assume that relations between China and Taiwan proceed peacefully until the next Taiwan presidential election in ２０２４, as Xi Jinping said. If the Democratic Progressive Party advocates Taiwan independence during the presidential election, the Kuomintang is sure to stir up public opinion by repeatedly attacking them and asking why they are making claims that would lead to war when peace has finally come. Chinese hackers will attack the PCs of Democratic Progressive Party members to sniff out scandals, and they will interfere in elections in every possible way.
Independence theory and one-nation theory held every election
Elections are only a process, not a goal. Unless a declaration of independence is drafted, this problem will arise every time Taiwan has a presidential election. The Biden administration in the United States will run until January ２０２５. What would it mean for Xi Jinping if Trump were to return to office? Xi Jinping has his sights firmly set on Taiwan's ２０２４ presidential election.
POINT While the Taiwan Strait issue will end with Taiwan's declaration of independence, it is highly likely that it will lead to war.
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Taiwan Strait seen from the withdrawal of Kyiv - Will Taiwan be able to defend itself? Submarine lurking in the Taiwan Strait. Russia withdraws from Kyiv without taking air superiority
Russia is expected to abandon the capture of Kieu and head for Mariupol and later Odessa. The reason why Kyiv's capture failed is probably that he could not take air superiority. The Army marched on and continued to be bombarded even though it could not take air superiority. It will be China who is watching this battle carefully. Most Chinese weapons are modifications of the former Soviet Union and were obtained from Ukraine. You may be appalled about how well it works with the state-of-the-art weapons of the Western world.
It's even harder to cross the Taiwan Strait
Ukraine is a land-based invasion of neighboring countries, and it is difficult to capture Taiwan because of the Taiwan Strait. Can China take control of Taiwan? Even if they take air superiority, the Chinese army must cross the Taiwan Strait using an amphibious ship to land. The problem is the command of the sea. President Tsai Ing-wen began building his first submarine in Kaohsiung in November 2020. A total of eight ships are planned to be built, and the test voyage is scheduled for 2025. If the submarine is in the Taiwan Strait, the Chinese landing ship will be sunk by an invisible enemy. China has vehemently opposed this plan.
Will Taiwan be able to defend itself?
Before that, if we see the withdrawal of Kyiv, it is more likely that China will not be able to take air superiority. The key is likely to be an unmanned attack aircraft. Although China has an unmanned attack aircraft, its performance is inferior to that made in Russia. With the reinforcement of a large number of unmanned attack aircraft and surface-to-air missiles from the United States, and the purchase of submarines from the United States, it seems that considerable defense is possible just by providing weapons without the participation of the United States. Of note is the performance of the submarines manufactured by Taiwan. Chinese submarines are noisy and are often detected and surfaced from Japan. If you can find it and you can't find it, you can sink your opponent's submarine.Chinese troops cannot land in Taiwan without taking command of the sea.
Yoichi Hatta has achieved great achievements in Taiwan. Taiwan still grateful. Yoichi Hatta developed Taiwan as the Governor-General of Taiwan. The most famous is the paddy field development in the Kanan Plain. The vast plains were often drought due to inadequate irrigation facilities. He did Tam construction and waterway development there. The total distance of the waterways he created exceeds the total distance of the Great Wall of China.
When the Great Kanto Earthquake struck Japan and financial cuts from Japan became unavoidable, Hatta was worried about him and announced the dismissal of personnel. They were Taiwanese who thought they would be fired, but the people who were fired were Japanese. When a Taiwanese worker asked Hatta why, Hatta replied, "I'm making farmland for Taiwanese. It doesn't make sense unless it's made by Taiwanese." Agricultural land development has been successful, and it seems that delicious rice can still be obtained.
In response to the request to build a statue in praise of Hatta's contribution, Hatta refused, but he was requested again and said, "I don't like the statue standing in a big way." Therefore, the statue of Hatta was sitting, and it became the statue that Taiwanese at that time often saw and thought of.
President Lee Teng-hui visited Kanazawa, the hometown of Hatta.
President Chen Shui-bian issued a reward to Hatta.
President Ma Ying-jeou participated in Hatta's memorial service at Wushantou Dam.
Hatta's wife, Sodaiki, was also awarded, and a statue was erected in Hatta Yoichi Memorial Park.
The right of collective self-defense assumes a Taiwanese emergency - Former Prime Minister Aso mentioned the possibility that an invasion of Taiwan would extend to the waters near the Senkaku Islands.
On July 5, former Prime Minister Aso gave a speech in Tokyo, stating that if China were to invade Taiwan, it would be recognized as an ``existence-endangering situation'' under national security-related laws, and the right of collective self-defense could be exercised to a limited extent. He acknowledged that it was possible. Currently, Japan does not recognize Taiwan as a state, so Taiwan itself is outside the scope of the right of collective self-defense, but both China and Taiwan claim territorial rights to the Senkaku Islands, and China has made an armed invasion of Taiwan. It can be interpreted to include the Senkaku Islands if a naval blockade of Taiwan is implemented.
Will the premise be that the right of collective self-defense will be exercised under the condition that the United States enters the war, or will the Japan-U.S. alliance be activated while Japan exercises its right of self-defense in the event of a naval blockade? Is it? The United States uses the name Taiwan as a military name. The Biden administration has announced that there will be no change in its interpretation of the One China Policy. On the other hand, Japan has confirmed that the defense of the Senkaku Islands falls within the scope of the Japan-US Security Treaty. Regarding the defense of Taiwan, although the U.S.-Taiwan Relations Act mentions the provision of weapons, it does not specify whether the U.S. military will be involved in the defense of Taiwan, leaving some ambiguity.
If China were to invade Taiwan, there is a possibility that Japan would join the war, assuming that the U.S. military would join the war.
Considering the meaning of Deputy Prime Minister Aso's remarks, it is unlikely that they will be put into action unless they include military exercises between Japan, the United States, and Taiwan. Without military exercises, there is no way that the right of collective self-defense would be accompanied by the power to implement it. This will be a major focus in the future. We may see the Self-Defense Forces entering Taiwan for military exercises.
The US military has announced that it is conducting joint military exercises with Taiwan. It is not possible to create an action plan without conducting military exercises on-site to determine what kind of operations could be carried out in the terrain and environment of Taiwan's west coast in the event of an actual battle. There needs to be a concrete discussion about what is necessary for Japan to exercise its right of collective self-defense.
In order to exercise the right of collective self-defense, the Self-Defense Forces will need military training that simulates the Taiwan Strait in order to function effectively.
Biased reporting by the media in Taiwan's local elections - Manipulating the impression that the Kuomintang won a landslide victory.
Japan's coverage of the unified local elections in Taiwan is so biased that it's creepy. First of all, various companies are reporting that the Democratic Party has suffered a crushing defeat. Out of the 22 prefectural and mayoral elections, the Democratic Progressive Party went from 7 to 5, the Kuomintang from 14 to 13, the Taiwanese People's Party from 1 to 1, and the independents from 0 to 2.
In other words, while the Democratic Party has reduced its number by two, the number of independent candidates has increased by two, and the Kuomintang's number has remained unchanged. The media has focused a lot of attention on the Taipei and Taoyuan mayoral elections, but the incumbent mayor of Taipei is from the Taiwan People's Party, a third party party, and it is said that Chiang Kai-shek's great-grandson won this election. Taipei is not a Democratic Progressive Party stronghold. In this election, we tried to take advantage of it, but we fell short.
Next, Taoyuan City is interesting. In reality, the Democratic Progressive Party has surrendered its seat to the Kuomintang, but the current mayor is Jeong Wen-san of the Democratic Progressive Party, who is expected to run in the next presidential election. Democratic Progressive Party candidates tried to take over this ground, but were defeated by the Kuomintang Party.
As a result, the Democratic Progressive Party lost two chairs in total, but Tsai Ing-wen's resignation as party leader means that in any case, she will not be able to run in the 2024 presidential election, so it may be a good time for election planning. be. In other words, the next leader of the Democratic Progressive Party is the one to pay attention to.
It appears that they are trying to manipulate the impression that the Kuomintang has won a landslide by taking the symbolic cities of Taipei and Taoyuan.
legitimacy of East Asian regimes What is the legitimacy of the administration?After the war, the Provisional Government of the Republic of Korea in Shanghai was at the center of our administration.With the help of the United States, he ruled the chaotic South Korean Peninsula.The provisional government advocates the legitimacy of the government by appealing to the people for the legitimacy of the anti-Japanese movement.
In the civil war between China and the Communist Party, Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan and succeeded to the Republic of China.The justification is that Taiwan is the successor to Sun Wen's founding of the Republic of China.
After the Vietnam War, the socialist forces won and Vietnam became a unified country.East Asia is largely dominated by former Soviet forces.
What is the Hong Kong issue?This is a matter of socialism and liberal democracy.It should be known that the problems that are occurring in East Asian countries are the ongoing battle between socialism and communism, and liberal democracy and capitalism.
Who is the enemy of this battle?The world knows that it has changed from Russia to China.China's socialist ideas are completely different from those of the former Soviet Union.What are the results of Chinese socialism?Although it seems to have failed, partially introduced capitalism, and flourished, it is only a distorted country with a widening gap between the rich and the poor.Both China and North Korea are inferior students to the Communist Party.
Korea is a democracy in East Asia.Instead of clinging to worn-out legitimacy, we need to know what is going on now.
