Xi Jinping sends a congratulatory message to Taiwan Nationalist Party Chairman Zhu Li-Lun - The purpose of shaking Taiwanese public opinion is the ２０２４ Taiwan presidential election.
2021-10-11
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The Chinese Communist Party approaches the Taiwan Nationalist Party
Xi Jinping sent a telegram of congratulations to Mr. Zhu Li-Lun, who took office as the head of the Taiwan Nationalist Party on September ２６th, and expressed that both parties share a common political commitment to oppose Taiwan's independence, aiming for peace in the Taiwan Strait, national reunification, and national rejuvenation. He expressed his hope for cooperation on this basis. Mr. Zhu Lilun said that in recent years, under the Democratic Progressive Party government, ``anti-China'' policies were adopted, which led to the deterioration of the situation on both sides of the strait. He responded that he opposed Taiwanese independence and wanted to deepen cooperation while respecting each other's differences. In other words, both sides confirmed that the current Taiwan Strait issue was caused by the Democratic Progressive Party, which denies the ``９２ common sense'' and ``one country, two systems.''
MEMO Xi Jinping and the Nationalist Party have concluded that the Taiwan Strait issue is an issue caused by President Tsai Ing-wen and the independence faction of the Democratic Progressive Party.
America's Taiwan policy
Although the Biden administration's Taiwan Strait policy appears to be a continuation of the Trump administration, it is actually different. Biden, don't cause trouble while he's president. It looks like that's all he's saying. Indo-Pacific Coordinator Campbell's statement that he does not support Taiwan's independence is not the government's official position, but does this mean that even if Taiwan were to declare independence, it would not recognize it? The idea is to maintain three joint communiques.
MEMO The three joint communiqués are a compilation of the １９７２ dialogue between President Nixon and Prime Minister Chou Enlai.
What does China's change in direction mean?
Let's assume that relations between China and Taiwan proceed peacefully until the next Taiwan presidential election in ２０２４, as Xi Jinping said. If the Democratic Progressive Party advocates Taiwan independence during the presidential election, the Kuomintang is sure to stir up public opinion by repeatedly attacking them and asking why they are making claims that would lead to war when peace has finally come. Chinese hackers will attack the PCs of Democratic Progressive Party members to sniff out scandals, and they will interfere in elections in every possible way.
Independence theory and one-nation theory held every election
Elections are only a process, not a goal. Unless a declaration of independence is drafted, this problem will arise every time Taiwan has a presidential election. The Biden administration in the United States will run until January ２０２５. What would it mean for Xi Jinping if Trump were to return to office? Xi Jinping has his sights firmly set on Taiwan's ２０２４ presidential election.
POINT While the Taiwan Strait issue will end with Taiwan's declaration of independence, it is highly likely that it will lead to war.
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The Chinese Communist Party's economic takeover - dependence on the Chinese economy is the same as being taken over - young people with no vested interests are the key.
Xi Jinping's strategy
Will peaceful dialogue be possible
Reach for any target
Taiwan was one step away from unification
At the 110th Anniversary of the Xinhai Revolution, President Xi Jinping cited the "One China" principle and the "1992 Consensus" based on it, and stated that the two countries would "promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations." This is a worrisome statement, considering that he will never do the right thing in terms of Taiwan policy. On October 4, a record 56 Chinese aircraft entered Taiwan's airspace. Since the beginning of October, there have been a total of 149 airspace intrusions, but by the 5th, this had dropped sharply to just one aircraft.
Biden has called for peaceful dialogue with democratically elected leaders, but the issue remains focused on Taiwan's next presidential election. If Taiwan's next president becomes pro-China and moves toward unification with China, the United States will not interfere as long as the conclusion is reached through peaceful dialogue. It also means.
Direct bribery of politicians seems like something out of a TV drama, but China's strategy is much more elaborate. Communist Party members are reaching out to politicians' families, relatives, friends, politicians' support bases, and organizations.
If politicians' supporters were given huge amounts of wealth through business with China, they would easily turn over, and they would sniff out cheating, traffic accidents, tax evasion, minor legal violations, etc. of the politicians themselves and those around them. Collect information. To do this, they will use all sorts of methods, including hacking and wiretapping communication devices, and installing mechanisms to send information to the Chinese Communist Party into the communication devices themselves.
Before President Tsai Ing-wen, the era of President Ma Ying-jeou was one step closer to unification. Young people's votes played a key role in President Tsai Ing-wen's re-election. The key to the next election will be how to encourage young people, who have fewer business interests and other interests, to vote.
From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
Will the Japan - Taiwan exchange held by Kyoto Tachibana High School have an impact on the presidential election? - Impact on Taiwanese democracy since the Abe administration
On October 10, 2022, Kyoto Tachibana High School put on a spectacular performance at the Taiwan Double Ten Festival. Taiwan's presidential election will be held on January 13th of this year. In Taiwan, voting rights will be lowered to 18 years or older in March 2022. This will be an event that anticipates the presidential election. The Taiwanese students who were high school students at the time were probably over 18 years old.
In that sense, this is former Prime Minister Abe's intervention in Taiwan. This is a strategy to fully appeal to the younger generation by emphasizing the exchange of democratic values. Ever since the Biden administration announced its commitment to maintaining the "One China Policy," I have personally viewed Japan's democratic intervention in Taiwan from this perspective. The Biden administration's policy has been to maintain its long-standing "one China policy" and simply order China to speak with democratically elected representatives in Taiwan. In other words, the issue at this point will be Taiwan's presidential election in 2024.
Unfortunately, this event took place during the Kishida administration after former Prime Minister Abe was assassinated. Former Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga referred to Taiwan as a "country" during a party leader debate. At the opening ceremony of the Tokyo Olympics, NHK, which is said to be pro-China, announced "Taiwan" instead of Chinese Taipei. Representative Takaichi held a remote meeting with President Tsai Ing-wen during the presidential election. These things have been widely reported in Taiwan. Unfortunately, the Kishida administration has not made any major moves since the ``Orange Devil'' performance, and on the contrary, it appears to have focused solely on currying favor with Xi Jinping.
And the presidential election is just over a week away. China has been carrying out various intimidation and threats in the run-up to the Taiwan presidential election. The threat is that if China invades Taiwan, you young people will be the ones fighting on the battlefield. This is the Chinese Communist Party's reasoning. The Taiwan Strait is a sea lane through which oil tankers from the Middle East, which is Japan's lifeline, pass. If the Kuomintang wins, China will gain control of the Taiwan Strait. What has the Kishida administration done about this?
Why did President Tsai Ing - wen invite Kyoto Tachibana High School to the Double Ten Festival? - Taiwan's future entrusted to future generations.
Kyoto Tachibana High School where Taiwan was crazy
Japan's national defense and the Taiwan Strait issue are inseparable
Taiwan's democratization is a recent event
Danger of being swallowed up by China in the next election
Japan should convey the value of democracy
Regarding why Kyoto Tachibana High School's brass band (Orange Devil) was invited to Taiwan's National Foundation Day ceremony, President Tsai Ing-wen looked ahead to the presidential election in 2024 and asked the next generation who will have the right to vote at that time. It appears that Kyoto Tachibana High School was entrusted with a strong message. In the last presidential election in Taiwan, President Tsai Ing-wen came from behind to win despite being at an overwhelming disadvantage. The Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party itself analyzes that the reason for this is that young people are heading to the polls. It is said that the younger generation in Taiwan is starting to develop a sense of democratic values.
Japan should think more seriously about its national defense. There is no objection to considering the Taiwan Strait as an issue that is inseparable from Japan's national defense. What is needed to achieve this is strengthening Japan-US relations and discussing constitutional revision. But is that enough?
Taiwan's democratization began with the direct election of the president in 1996. It was written by former President Lee Teng-hui, who passed away recently. Has Taiwan followed the path of democratization smoothly since then? The first summit meeting between China and Taiwan was held under former President Ma Ying-jeou before President Tsai Ing-wen. There, former President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping held a meeting, reaffirming the 92 joint formula and returning to the one-China principle. That was in 2015.
Although Taiwan is a young democratic country, it is on the verge of strong growth. If the Democratic Progressive Party loses in the 2024 presidential election, Taiwan, one of the few democratic countries in Asia, may never smile again. Xi Jinping will try to intervene in Taiwan's presidential election in every possible way.
Kyoto Tachibana High School showed that there are many things Japan can do. Our goal is to show young Taiwanese through a variety of content that on the path to democracy there is a world where free people can realize their dreams. Taiwan considers Japan to be its democratic predecessor. The Japanese media, which should be primarily responsible for this, seems to be controlled by China.
Will Taiwan Become a Key Hole in China's
The Tiananmen Square incident will be remembered as China's democratization movement.Even tanks were deployed to eliminate the movement to democratize students and young people.Next is the Hong Kong demonstration.China has consistently reported this as violent behavior.
The Tiananmen Square incident was suppressed by the Communist Party of China, which feared the pro-democracy movement would spread all over the country.The Hong Kong demonstration was also threatened by the enactment of a national security law and armed intervention from the mainland.In Chinese, the demonstration is called a demonstration parade, and it uses Chinese characters meaning marching while demonstrating its power.If the demonstrations are tolerated and the pro-democracy movement is successful, China will fall apart and disintegrate in the air.
The Hong Kong demonstration has been reported as an incident in which rioters were suppressed in China.If Taiwan becomes independent, the shock in China will be immeasurable.
I think Taiwan and China are different countries, but they are different in China.Taiwan is recognized as part of China.Taiwan's independence means that China's one country, two systems, such as Hong Kong and Macau, will become independent.The impact of this incident on China is expected to be enormous.Considering the impact of Taiwan's independence on other ethnic areas and autonomous regions, the Chinese government is on high alert.Uighur and Tibet are China's resource areas.If foreigners leave China, it will be a serious blow to China's economy.
The Chinese think face is important.If you lose your face, you'll blush and get angry.The territorial issue is a disgrace to China.In response to Chiang Kai-shek's attempt to resolve the Rohgyo Bridge incident peacefully with Japan, Mao Zedong criticized it as a weak stance and advertised it to the people and entered the Sino-Japanese War.In response to Japan's nationalization of the Senkaku Islands, Xi criticized former President Hu Jintao for trying to settle the matter peacefully and withdrew him from his post.For China, the loss of territory or independence is a great loss to the face of the Communist Party government.Xi's obsession with Taiwan is immeasurable.
In addition to Taiwan, China also has areas that sing one country, two systems, including Hong Kong and Macau, and autonomous regions such as Inner Mongolia, Guangxi Chihuang, Tibet, Xinjiang Uighur, and Ningxiahui.
