The Chinese Communist Party's economic takeover - dependence on the Chinese economy is the same as being taken over - young people with no vested interests are the key.
2021-10-10
Category:Taiwan I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
Xi Jinping's strategy
At the １１０th Anniversary of the Xinhai Revolution, President Xi Jinping cited the "One China" principle and the "１９９２ Consensus" based on it, and stated that the two countries would "promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations." This is a worrisome statement, considering that he will never do the right thing in terms of Taiwan policy. On October ４, a record ５６ Chinese aircraft entered Taiwan's airspace. Since the beginning of October, there have been a total of １４９ airspace intrusions, but by the ５th, this had dropped sharply to just one aircraft.
Will peaceful dialogue be possible
Biden has called for peaceful dialogue with democratically elected leaders, but the issue remains focused on Taiwan's next presidential election. If Taiwan's next president becomes pro-China and moves toward unification with China, the United States will not interfere as long as the conclusion is reached through peaceful dialogue. It also means.
Reach out to any target
Direct bribery of politicians seems like something out of a TV drama, but China's strategy is much more elaborate. Communist Party members are reaching out to politicians' families, relatives, friends, politicians' support bases, and organizations.
If politicians' supporters were given huge amounts of wealth through business with China, they would easily turn over, and they would sniff out cheating, traffic accidents, tax evasion, minor legal violations, etc. of the politicians themselves and those around them. Collect information. To do this, they will use all sorts of methods, including hacking and wiretapping communication devices, and installing mechanisms to send information to the Chinese Communist Party into the communication devices themselves.
Taiwan was one step away from unification
Before President Tsai Ing-wen, the era of President Ma Ying-jeou was one step closer to unification. Young people's votes played a key role in President Tsai Ing-wen's re-election. The key to the next election will be how to encourage young people, who have fewer business interests and other interests, to vote.
I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
Mr. Xi Jinping believes that Taiwan's independence is the trigger for his invasion of Taiwan - The timing of Taiwan's independence and the influence of elections in each country.
The term of office of the Chinese president is five years. In 2018, China's National People's Congress lifted the 10-year limit for two terms, making it possible for candidates to be re-elected as many times as they like. Xi Jinping is currently in his second term, and his term ends in 2023. Regarding the timing, if any, of China's invasion of Taiwan, in January 2021, the Chinese Minister of Defense made in-depth statements that Taiwan's independence would mean war. At the recent U.S.-China summit, Xi Jinping said, ``If Taiwan's independence forces cross the line, we will take decisive measures.''
In other words, the timing is Taiwan's independence. So, regardless of what kind of action or state one considers independence, Taiwan satisfies all the substantive requirements for becoming a state under international law. All that remains is to draft a declaration of independence and declare it to the international community as an independent country. The question is at what timing it will be done.
Regarding this, President Tsai Ing-wen has stated that Taiwan is "already independent," indicating that she has no intention of drafting a declaration of independence. Taiwan's 2024 presidential election will be held the year after Xi Jinping begins his third term. The Democratic Progressive Party candidates advocate Taiwan's independence, which means that Taiwan is not yet independent, which is a very different nuance from President Tsai Ing-wen's ``already independent'' statement.
If the Democratic Progressive Party candidate becomes Taiwan's president in 2024, there is a high possibility that he will draft a declaration of independence during his term. Xi Jinping, aiming for a third term, will support the Kuomintang, the opposition force to Taiwan's ruling party, and seek to become Taiwan's president. Obsessed with elections. The Nationalist Party is a pro-China party. 2024 is also the year of the US presidential election. Based on President Tsai Ing-wen's idea that the country is "already independent," it is unlikely that a declaration of independence will be drafted under the Tsai Ing-wen administration or the Biden administration.
Taiwan's presidential election and the US presidential election will begin in 2024, and Xi Jinping's third term will begin in 2023. It will be interesting to see if there is any movement after this time.
Since the term of office of Taiwan's president is four years, the term of office of the next president will expire in 2028, which will be Xi Jinping's fourth term. Xi Jinping will need to see results by at least 2027 to be re-elected to a fourth term. This timing is the 6th year that Commander Davidson said that war would occur within 6 years. If the US Republican Party wins in 2024, the situation will change dramatically.
The timing of Taiwan's declaration of independence may have a great deal to do with the elections in the three countries.
China's territorial waters violations started in 2012, and what is the cause? - The Senkaku Islands issue became apparent after nationalization. Where did the Senkaku Islands issue begin and where did it emerge? 1971 and 2012.In June 1971, Taiwan's Foreign Ministry claimed sovereignty over the Senkaku Islands.In response, the People's Republic of China claimed sovereignty in September 1971.The assumption began in 1969 when the U.N. ECAFE announced the possibility of oil reserves.At that time, Chiang Kai-shek claimed ownership of mainland China, and China claimed ownership of Taiwan, so it took only three months to declare ownership.
It is said that in 1972 Japan-China normalization of diplomatic relations, there was communication between the two sides that the Senkaku Islands issue would not be a problem if we did not make it a problem.It means the shelved agreement. The graph shows the number of Chinese ships invading territorial waters.It is clear that there will be no trouble for 40 years until September 2012.
In 2010, a Chinese fishing boat collided with a Japanese Coast Guard ship and arrested the captain of a Chinese ship.The captain of the Chinese ship claimed that the Japanese had been hitting his ship, and it turned into a confrontation between Japan and China.The Kan administration of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) released the captain for no reason and it has been criticized by public opinion. Meanwhile, four Japanese have been arrested and detained on suspicion of espionage in China.Tanigaki, then president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), who was the opposition party in questioning the Diet at the time, was needless arresting is incorrect. He pointed out that deportation was sufficient on the spot.
Due to opposition from China and criticism from Japan, the next Noda administration nationalized the Senkaku Islands in September 2012.As a result, the problem spreads and large-scale anti-Japanese riots erupt in China.Then Chinese ships began to invade their territorial waters.In other words, the two countries have claimed sovereignty from the beginning, and if Japan declares nationalization, it will mean abolishing the theory of shelving, and China will claim sovereignty head-on.
As a result, it can be said that the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands was correct in the current Xi Jinping administration.The declaration of nationalization will also lead to Japan-U.S. security.Tanigaki would have been more correct in dealing with a simple case of fishing boat clashes. In any case, the problem originated in Taiwan, but Senkaku Islands connected Japan and Taiwan, making it an important island for Japan-U.S. Taiwan cooperation.
It is said that Japan occupaied the Korean Peninsula as an important location.Which country is not an important place?
If Japan claims that the Korean Peninsula was independent due to the Quins-Japanese War, Japan may have gained independence from the Korean Peninsula, but the Korean people objected that it was only a key location.It's amazing to hear this all the time.I think every country is an important point of some country, but is it different?Supporting independence as an important point is also taking place in the world today.What are the problems in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Myanmar?
Even if there is a common denominator of democracy, the military elements are indivisible.On the contrary, if there are no military factors, will other countries strengthen their armed forces?During the Great East Asian War, Japan considered all Asian countries important and expelled white countries for Asian independence.Asian countries are weak, but they want to unite and escape white rule.Are you saying you've used all of this?
If China suddenly invades Taiwan, the United States may send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan.Then there will be war.What would happen if the U.S. had killed its own people and defended Taiwan, but Taiwan's internal forces had betrayed Tsai Ing-wen's forces and approached China?The United States may abandon Taiwan or rule it.President Tsai understands the interests of each country and tries to stick to the ideology of democracy, regardless of whether it is an important place or not.
Korea, which is independent but has a backward democratic ideology, is in stark contrast to Taiwan, which is trying to protect democracy and become independent.
From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
Biased reporting by the media in Taiwan's local elections - Manipulating the impression that the Kuomintang won a landslide victory.
Japan's coverage of the unified local elections in Taiwan is so biased that it's creepy. First of all, various companies are reporting that the Democratic Party has suffered a crushing defeat. Out of the 22 prefectural and mayoral elections, the Democratic Progressive Party went from 7 to 5, the Kuomintang from 14 to 13, the Taiwanese People's Party from 1 to 1, and the independents from 0 to 2.
In other words, while the Democratic Party has reduced its number by two, the number of independent candidates has increased by two, and the Kuomintang's number has remained unchanged. The media has focused a lot of attention on the Taipei and Taoyuan mayoral elections, but the incumbent mayor of Taipei is from the Taiwan People's Party, a third party party, and it is said that Chiang Kai-shek's great-grandson won this election. Taipei is not a Democratic Progressive Party stronghold. In this election, we tried to take advantage of it, but we fell short.
Next, Taoyuan City is interesting. In reality, the Democratic Progressive Party has surrendered its seat to the Kuomintang, but the current mayor is Jeong Wen-san of the Democratic Progressive Party, who is expected to run in the next presidential election. Democratic Progressive Party candidates tried to take over this ground, but were defeated by the Kuomintang Party.
As a result, the Democratic Progressive Party lost two chairs in total, but Tsai Ing-wen's resignation as party leader means that in any case, she will not be able to run in the 2024 presidential election, so it may be a good time for election planning. be. In other words, the next leader of the Democratic Progressive Party is the one to pay attention to.
It appears that they are trying to manipulate the impression that the Kuomintang has won a landslide by taking the symbolic cities of Taipei and Taoyuan.
