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Will Miss. Chou Ting's message reach Taiwanese youth? - What is the ripple effect of his declaration of asylum in Canada?
After Miss. Chou Ting announced his intention to seek asylum in Canada, Hong Kong police said they would do everything in their power to arrest him since the December 29 deadline for his return to the country had passed. Mr. Shuba also mentioned the existence of secret police and the danger of being targeted by spies. He went to Canada to study abroad in September 2023.
The Hong Kong protests are said to have been triggered by China's National People's Congress's decision in 2014 to restrict the number of candidates for the post of chief executive of Hong Kong. At this time, a large demonstration occurred and was also called the Umbrella Movement. Since then, demonstrations against the enactment of the Fugitive Offenders Act and the National Security Act have continued to grow in scale and have been reported around the world. Mr. Shutei is considered to be one of the central figures.
The enactment of these laws will be seen as a de facto collapse of one country, two systems, and investment in Hong Kong from various countries will be withdrawn one after another, accelerating China's current isolation. Mr. Shuba was subsequently arrested and detained, but the charges were relatively light and he was sentenced to 10 months in prison, although he was actually released after about 6 months.
It appeared to be an attempt by the Chinese government to suppress the demonstrations and appease the ringleaders. I wonder if it means that they don't want to provoke the students any more, or they don't want to provoke other countries, but what happened after that was Mr. Shuba's study abroad. I was honestly surprised by this as well. I wonder if a person who incited the people and caused a large-scale demonstration in China could study abroad.This seems like a placating measure, but I imagine that Taiwan could be an extension of this.
It is said that students from the Sunflower Movement in Taiwan taught Hong Kong students how to demonstrate. This led to large-scale demonstrations in Hong Kong, and the enthusiasm returned to Taiwan, leading to a dramatic come-from-behind victory in Taiwan's presidential election in 2017 for Tsai Ing-wen, who was said to be at a disadvantage. Taiwan will become the next Hong Kong. The younger generation's sense of crisis about the end of Taiwan's democracy had a major impact on electoral behavior. If the spark was smoldering in Hong Kong, it could once again influence Taiwan's elections. On the other hand, the fact that Mr. Zhou Ting is able to study abroad in Canada freely could be used to appeal to young Taiwanese people.
This is a de facto declaration of asylum at this timing. The timing of the Taiwan presidential election was probably decided to be at the end of this year because it was held on December 3rd, Miss. Chou Ting's birthday, and the deadline for returning to Japan was December 29th. is January 13, 2024. If the Chinese government had been aiming for a placating policy, the message that Mr. Zhouting's life was in danger was the complete opposite, and the news was sure to reach Taiwan as well. The goddess of democracy is alive and well.
Democracy in Taiwan
At the first-ever Sino-Taiwan summit in November 2015, President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping confirmed that mainland China and Taiwan belong to China and maintain the "one China" principle and the "ninety-two common knowledge."The birth of President Tsai Ying was in May 2016, so it happened only half a year ago.
President Lee Teng-hui's "two countries" (China and Taiwan are different countries) were easily overturned here, returning to the position of one country, two systems, and one China.With the birth of President Tsai Ying-cheng and the current trend of leaving China, Taiwan's independence theory is still in its infancy.The dramatic reversal of Tsai's re-election in 2020 is that the Kuomintang candidate had a higher approval rating until just before.
Taiwan's first direct presidential election was in 1996.It's been about 25 years.
Biden said, "China should have a good conversation with Taiwan's democratically elected leader.I said.What does this mean?In Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang received 28.3 percent and 21.9 percent respectively.Historically, Taiwan has been leaning toward China or moving toward independence, but this pendulum-like problem will continue as long as it holds elections as a democratic country.Only the annexation of China or the declaration of independence can end the problem.The Biden administration is in favor of "one China policy."
China's "one China principle " and the United States' "one China policy " are different.China regards Taiwan as part of China's "one China principle," the U.S. "one China policy" means recognizing China's representative government as the People's Republic of China, not Taiwan as part of China.It is only acknowledged that China is making such a claim.At first glance, East Asia's policies seem to follow Trump's, but they are fundamentally different.It also implicitly conveys that if the pro-China faction wins again in Taiwan, the U.S. will not interfere.
If Taiwan does not specify independence, it will be asked whether it will reach China or independence every election, and that will be an opportunity for China to take advantage of it.
The day Taiwan withdrew from the UN ~ Still unable to rejoin | Will anything happen with the return of the Trump administration?
Japan does not recognize North Korea as a state, but there are 151 countries that do, and North Korea is also a member of the United Nations. For this reason, the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs lists the number of countries in the world as 196, excluding North Korea, but in certified textbooks, it seems to be written as 197, including North Korea, considering that North Korea is a member of the United Nations. The difference with Taiwan is the number of countries that recognize it as a state and whether it is a member of the United Nations or not.
Currently, there are 13 countries that recognize Taiwan as a state, and Taiwan is not a member of the United Nations. The fact that there are 13 countries that recognize Taiwan as a state means that Taiwan is a country for those 13 countries, and that they have embassies and diplomatic relations. So what about the fact that it is not a member of the United Nations?
Currently, there are 195 countries that Japan recognizes as states, and among them, the Vatican, Kosovo, Cook Islands, and Niue are not members of the United Nations. However, Japan has diplomatic relations with them and officially recognizes them as states. In that case, whether or not a country is a member of the United Nations does not determine whether it is a country or not, but rather seems to depend solely on whether or not countries recognize it as a country. How is a country defined internationally? This is shown in the 1933 "Montevideo Convention," which lists the following requirements for statehood: 1. Permanent population, 2. Clear territory, 3. Government, and 4. Ability to have relations with other countries.
Looking at Taiwan, it is considered to meet all of the requirements of this treaty. There are 13 countries with which it has diplomatic relations, and it seems that how to evaluate the ability to have relations with other countries is a question, but this is largely due to the fact that China is hindering it internationally and it cannot establish diplomatic relations. Considering the national requirements shown in the Montevideo Convention, Taiwan meets the national requirements and is recognized as a country by 13 countries, and the reason this number does not increase is because of interference from China, and it cannot join the United Nations for the same purpose. It would be correct to see it this way.
The UN membership conditions require the approval of 9 of the 15 council members, and if even one of the permanent members opposes, the recommendation for membership cannot be made, so as long as China is a permanent member, it will not be possible for Taiwan to join the UN. So has Taiwan never been able to join the UN? Not at all. It's strange that it's not often mentioned in Japan, but Taiwan was a permanent member of the UN.
At the end of the war, Japan accepted the Potsdam Declaration, but the countries listed as counterparts were the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of China. This is the Republic of China in Taiwan today. After the war, the United Nations was established in 1945, and the Republic of China, led by Chiang Kai-shek, was the permanent member at that time. After the war, Chiang Kai-shek returned to Nanjing and established a constitution, but the second Chinese civil war began. In 1949, the People's Republic of China declared its founding with Beijing as its capital, and the Republic of China resisted but continued to be defeated, and in December of the same year, it moved its capital to Taiwan. At this time, the Republic of China in Taiwan was still a permanent member of the United Nations. This situation continued for 22 years until 1971. For 26 years since the establishment of the United Nations, the Republic of China was a permanent member.
So what happened in 1971? The United Nations' Albanian Resolution was proposed. This is a resolution on China's representation submitted jointly by 23 countries, including Albania, which has a close relationship with the People's Republic of China. The resolution called for the People's Republic of China, which effectively controls mainland China, to be recognized as the representative government of China, and for the expulsion of the Republic of China from the United Nations. After some twists and turns, the resolution was changed from expulsion of the Republic of China to expulsion of Chiang Kai-shek's representative.
This resolution was a dispute over which government was the legitimate permanent member of the UN, and passed with 76 votes in favor, 35 against, 17 abstentions, and 3 absent. Japan persuaded Chiang Kai-shek to stay in the UN, and submitted the "Resolution on Important Issues Against Expulsion" and the "Resolution on Dual Representation" jointly with the United States. The "Resolution on Important Issues Against Expulsion" stated that such matters related to UN seats are important matters, and should be decided by a two-thirds majority in accordance with Article 18 of the UN Charter, but this was rejected by a majority, and the "Resolution on Dual Representation" was never voted on after the Albanian resolution passed. This "Dual Representation Resolution" proposed that the People's Republic of China would be the permanent member of the Security Council, and the Republic of China would maintain the remaining seats.
Now, in protest against the passing of the Albanian Resolution, Chiang Kai-shek left the UN chamber, and the Republic of China withdrew from the UN. This was a form of voluntary withdrawal. Strictly speaking, the resolution itself was the expulsion of Representative Chiang Kai-shek from his seat, so it can be said that the path for the Republic of China to remain in the UN was left open. And the "One China Principle" that China is currently talking about was not recognized by this Albanian Resolution, but merely a vote by the representative government on one side or the other.
The UN has stated that no country has ever been expelled from the UN in the past. The conditions for suspension are written in Article 5 of the UN Charter, but it is unlikely that this issue of representation would conflict with this, so it is thought that the Albanian Resolution also changed the original wording of the expulsion of the Republic of China to the expulsion of Representative Chiang Kai-shek. Regarding whether this was the expulsion of the Republic of China or the expulsion of Representative Chiang Kai-shek, there are both in Japanese information, and the original text is published in the American document, which says it was the expulsion of Representative Chiang Kai-shek.
If you think about it this way, you can see that at that time, if Chiang Kai-shek had stepped down as the government representative, the Republic of China could have joined the United Nations as a separate country from the People's Republic of China. Of course, it is not realistic for Chiang Kai-shek to step down as representative. In 1947, the Republic of China was under a military regime that imposed martial law for 38 years from 1949, which was the exact opposite of the democratic model of Taiwan today, and the international community at the time questioned the country's national administration in that sense as well. This 38 years of martial law is said to be the longest in human history.
The Albanian Resolution is the basis for China's current claim that the international community supported the One China principle, but such a resolution has never been made. The US government has officially stated that the issue of representation has been resolved, but the issue of sovereignty over Taiwan has not.
However, since the People's Republic of China was recognized as an official permanent member of the UN, one country after another sought diplomatic relations with China, and in exchange, China sought to break off diplomatic relations with Taiwan. It applied pressure by hinting at the veto power of the permanent members. In this context, Japan established diplomatic relations with China in 1972, and the United States also established diplomatic relations thereafter. In return, it ended up breaking off diplomatic relations with Taiwan.
The important point is that the Albanian resolution decided which government would represent China, but the issue of sovereignty over Taiwan was not resolved here. The US government has also officially announced this. China claims that this resolution confirmed the One China principle.
Biased reporting by the media in Taiwan's local elections - Manipulating the impression that the Kuomintang won a landslide victory.
Japan's coverage of the unified local elections in Taiwan is so biased that it's creepy. First of all, various companies are reporting that the Democratic Party has suffered a crushing defeat. Out of the 22 prefectural and mayoral elections, the Democratic Progressive Party went from 7 to 5, the Kuomintang from 14 to 13, the Taiwanese People's Party from 1 to 1, and the independents from 0 to 2.
In other words, while the Democratic Party has reduced its number by two, the number of independent candidates has increased by two, and the Kuomintang's number has remained unchanged. The media has focused a lot of attention on the Taipei and Taoyuan mayoral elections, but the incumbent mayor of Taipei is from the Taiwan People's Party, a third party party, and it is said that Chiang Kai-shek's great-grandson won this election. Taipei is not a Democratic Progressive Party stronghold. In this election, we tried to take advantage of it, but we fell short.
Next, Taoyuan City is interesting. In reality, the Democratic Progressive Party has surrendered its seat to the Kuomintang, but the current mayor is Jeong Wen-san of the Democratic Progressive Party, who is expected to run in the next presidential election. Democratic Progressive Party candidates tried to take over this ground, but were defeated by the Kuomintang Party.
As a result, the Democratic Progressive Party lost two chairs in total, but Tsai Ing-wen's resignation as party leader means that in any case, she will not be able to run in the 2024 presidential election, so it may be a good time for election planning. be. In other words, the next leader of the Democratic Progressive Party is the one to pay attention to.
It appears that they are trying to manipulate the impression that the Kuomintang has won a landslide by taking the symbolic cities of Taipei and Taoyuan.
Yoichi Hatta has achieved great achievements in Taiwan. Taiwan still grateful.Yoichi Hatta developed Taiwan as the Governor-General of Taiwan. The most famous is the paddy field development in the Kanan Plain. The vast plains were often drought due to inadequate irrigation facilities. He did Tam construction and waterway development there. The total distance of the waterways he created exceeds the total distance of the Great Wall of China.
When the Great Kanto Earthquake struck Japan and financial cuts from Japan became unavoidable, Hatta was worried about him and announced the dismissal of personnel. They were Taiwanese who thought they would be fired, but the people who were fired were Japanese. When a Taiwanese worker asked Hatta why, Hatta replied, "I'm making farmland for Taiwanese. It doesn't make sense unless it's made by Taiwanese." Agricultural land development has been successful, and it seems that delicious rice can still be obtained.
In response to the request to build a statue in praise of Hatta's contribution, Hatta refused, but he was requested again and said, "I don't like the statue standing in a big way." Therefore, the statue of Hatta was sitting, and it became the statue that Taiwanese at that time often saw and thought of.
President Lee Teng-hui visited Kanazawa, the hometown of Hatta.
President Chen Shui-bian issued a reward to Hatta.
President Ma Ying-jeou participated in Hatta's memorial service at Wushantou Dam.
Hatta's wife, Sodaiki, was also awarded, and a statue was erected in Hatta Yoichi Memorial Park.