Will Taiwan Become a Key Hole in China's
2021-10-30
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China is afraid of democratization
The Tiananmen Square incident will be remembered as China's democratization movement.Even tanks were deployed to eliminate the movement to democratize students and young people.Next is the Hong Kong demonstration.China has consistently reported this as violent behavior.
The Tiananmen Square incident was suppressed by the Communist Party of China, which feared the pro-democracy movement would spread all over the country.The Hong Kong demonstration was also threatened by the enactment of a national security law and armed intervention from the mainland.In Chinese, the demonstration is called a demonstration parade, and it uses Chinese characters meaning marching while demonstrating its power.If the demonstrations are tolerated and the pro-democracy movement is successful, China will fall apart and disintegrate in the air.
The
MEMO Hong Kong demonstration has been reported as an incident in which rioters were suppressed in China.If Taiwan becomes independent, the shock in China will be immeasurable.
Is Taiwan's independence a hole in ants?
I think Taiwan and China are different countries, but they are different in China.Taiwan is recognized as part of China.Taiwan's independence means that China's one country, two systems, such as Hong Kong and Macau, will become independent.The impact of this incident on China is expected to be enormous.Considering the impact of Taiwan's independence on other ethnic areas and autonomous regions, the Chinese government is on high alert.Uighur and Tibet are China's resource areas.If foreigners leave China, it will be a serious blow to China's economy.
China uses face-consciousness
The Chinese think face is important.If you lose your face, you'll blush and get angry.The territorial issue is a disgrace to China.In response to Chiang Kai-shek's attempt to resolve the Rohgyo Bridge incident peacefully with Japan, Mao Zedong criticized it as a weak stance and advertised it to the people and entered the Sino-Japanese War.In response to Japan's nationalization of the Senkaku Islands, Xi criticized former President Hu Jintao for trying to settle the matter peacefully and withdrew him from his post.For China, the loss of territory or independence is a great loss to the face of the Communist Party government.Xi's obsession with Taiwan is immeasurable.
In addition to Taiwan, China also has areas that sing one country, two systems, including Hong Kong and Macau, and autonomous regions such as Inner Mongolia, Guangxi Chihuang, Tibet, Xinjiang Uighur, and Ningxiahui.
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Taiwan Strait seen from the withdrawal of Kyiv - Will Taiwan be able to defend itself? Submarine lurking in the Taiwan Strait. Russia withdraws from Kyiv without taking air superiority
Russia is expected to abandon the capture of Kieu and head for Mariupol and later Odessa. The reason why Kyiv's capture failed is probably that he could not take air superiority. The Army marched on and continued to be bombarded even though it could not take air superiority. It will be China who is watching this battle carefully. Most Chinese weapons are modifications of the former Soviet Union and were obtained from Ukraine. You may be appalled about how well it works with the state-of-the-art weapons of the Western world.
It's even harder to cross the Taiwan Strait
Ukraine is a land-based invasion of neighboring countries, and it is difficult to capture Taiwan because of the Taiwan Strait. Can China take control of Taiwan? Even if they take air superiority, the Chinese army must cross the Taiwan Strait using an amphibious ship to land. The problem is the command of the sea. President Tsai Ing-wen began building his first submarine in Kaohsiung in November 2020. A total of eight ships are planned to be built, and the test voyage is scheduled for 2025. If the submarine is in the Taiwan Strait, the Chinese landing ship will be sunk by an invisible enemy. China has vehemently opposed this plan.
Will Taiwan be able to defend itself?
Before that, if we see the withdrawal of Kyiv, it is more likely that China will not be able to take air superiority. The key is likely to be an unmanned attack aircraft. Although China has an unmanned attack aircraft, its performance is inferior to that made in Russia. With the reinforcement of a large number of unmanned attack aircraft and surface-to-air missiles from the United States, and the purchase of submarines from the United States, it seems that considerable defense is possible just by providing weapons without the participation of the United States. Of note is the performance of the submarines manufactured by Taiwan. Chinese submarines are noisy and are often detected and surfaced from Japan. If you can find it and you can't find it, you can sink your opponent's submarine.Chinese troops cannot land in Taiwan without taking command of the sea.
Although the United States don't save Ukraine, will the United States save Taiwan?Taiwan's more complicated problem than Ukraine's
There was a question mark on how the Ukraine issue would affect the Taiwan issue and whether the U.S. would send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan if China advanced to Taiwan.Where does Ukraine belong? Ukraine is an independent country independent of the former Soviet Union in 1991.Is Taiwan independent or where does it belong?Taiwan was incorporated into Japan after the Sino-Japanese War and came under Japanese rule.It existed as Japan for 50 years until the end of World War II.Under the San Francisco Peace Treaty, Taiwan will be returned.It is unclear where it was returned.It only says that Japan renounces Taiwan.After the civil war, the Communist Party of China ruled the mainland and the government of the Republic of China fled to Taiwan.In 1949, the Communist Party of China established the People's Republic of China.This was established as a different government from the Republic of China.Since the San Francisco Peace Conference was held in 1951, the international community has not determined which government is more legitimate at this time, so the two governments have not participated in the peace conference.
The United Nations has been established as a coalition of victorious countries in World War II.China's representation was held by the Republic of China as a permanent member, but the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China will compete for representation.China's representative government was recognized as the People's Republic of China by the U.N. resolution in 1971, and the Republic of China will withdraw from the U.N.Japan and the United States had diplomatic relations with the Republic of China, but Japan established diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China in 1972 and broke off diplomatic relations with the Republic of China.Since President Nixon's surprise visit to China in 1971, the United States established diplomatic relations with China in 1979 and severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan.
China now claims that Taiwan belongs to China because Japan had renounced Taiwan.However, there are many objections whether the U.N. resolution on Albania is interpreted as a matter of representation and determination to belong to Taiwan.If Taiwan was returned to the Republic of China, the Republic of China is Taiwan.Therefore, Taiwan insists that Taiwan is the successor to the Republic of China, while China insists that the People's Republic of China is the successor to the Republic of China.Now that we've come this far, it is hard to find a way at all, but the conclusion is that Ukraine's independence is much simpler.
Japan and the United States ,and the majority of countries do not have diplomatic relations with Taiwan. Contain with Japan and the United States and the majority of countries, the United Nations has ambiguoused Taiwan's attribution for long time.
China's territorial waters violations started in 2012, and what is the cause? - The Senkaku Islands issue became apparent after nationalization. Where did the Senkaku Islands issue begin and where did it emerge? 1971 and 2012.In June 1971, Taiwan's Foreign Ministry claimed sovereignty over the Senkaku Islands.In response, the People's Republic of China claimed sovereignty in September 1971.The assumption began in 1969 when the U.N. ECAFE announced the possibility of oil reserves.At that time, Chiang Kai-shek claimed ownership of mainland China, and China claimed ownership of Taiwan, so it took only three months to declare ownership.
It is said that in 1972 Japan-China normalization of diplomatic relations, there was communication between the two sides that the Senkaku Islands issue would not be a problem if we did not make it a problem.It means the shelved agreement. The graph shows the number of Chinese ships invading territorial waters.It is clear that there will be no trouble for 40 years until September 2012.
In 2010, a Chinese fishing boat collided with a Japanese Coast Guard ship and arrested the captain of a Chinese ship.The captain of the Chinese ship claimed that the Japanese had been hitting his ship, and it turned into a confrontation between Japan and China.The Kan administration of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) released the captain for no reason and it has been criticized by public opinion. Meanwhile, four Japanese have been arrested and detained on suspicion of espionage in China.Tanigaki, then president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), who was the opposition party in questioning the Diet at the time, was needless arresting is incorrect. He pointed out that deportation was sufficient on the spot.
Due to opposition from China and criticism from Japan, the next Noda administration nationalized the Senkaku Islands in September 2012.As a result, the problem spreads and large-scale anti-Japanese riots erupt in China.Then Chinese ships began to invade their territorial waters.In other words, the two countries have claimed sovereignty from the beginning, and if Japan declares nationalization, it will mean abolishing the theory of shelving, and China will claim sovereignty head-on.
As a result, it can be said that the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands was correct in the current Xi Jinping administration.The declaration of nationalization will also lead to Japan-U.S. security.Tanigaki would have been more correct in dealing with a simple case of fishing boat clashes. In any case, the problem originated in Taiwan, but Senkaku Islands connected Japan and Taiwan, making it an important island for Japan-U.S. Taiwan cooperation.
From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
Taiwan buys evaporated milk from Lithuania, which was rejected by China. Taiwan's feelings for liberalism are real.
It was revealed on the 10th that a Taiwanese food maker bought evaporated milk from Lithuania, which was refused to be received from China. With the cooperation of the governments of Taiwan and Lithuania, about 1,000 boxes have already arrived in Taiwan . A spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Joanne Ou, announced on the 11th that he would continue to cooperate in expanding sales channels for Lithuanian products in Taiwan.
Since the establishment of Taiwan's representative agency "Taiwanese Representative Office in Lithuania" in Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania, Lithuania has been retaliated by China. China has announced that it will downgrade its diplomatic relations with Lithuania to "Chargé d'Affaires", and is increasing pressure by stalling Lithuanian products exported to China at customs clearance.
Lithuania was forced to close the Lithuanian embassy in China by establishing a Taiwan representative office.
Evaporated milk was purchased by Amada Food Technology (Hsinchu County). The amount is as much as one container. The person in charge of the company told the Central News Agency that he would make Hong Kong-style milk tea from the purchased evaporated milk and sell it to the world. The person in charge is a Hong Konger who has lived in Taiwan for more than 30 years, and when he combined Evaporated milk from Lithuania and blended tea from Sri Lanka, he said that a "nostalgic taste" was created.
The developed Hong Kong-style milk tea will be packaged in a design that incorporates the Lithuanian flag "yellow, green, red". At the same time as symbolizing Lithuania's support for Taiwan, it also wants to express the company's support for Lithuania.
Lithuanian friendship with Taiwan has been forced to close the Lithuanian embassy in China. Taiwan will deepen its friendship with Lithuania.
