Although the United States don't save Ukraine, will the United States save Taiwan?Taiwan's more complicated problem than Ukraine's
2022-03-16
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Where does Taiwan belong
There was a question mark on how the Ukraine issue would affect the Taiwan issue and whether the U.S. would send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan if China advanced to Taiwan.Where does Ukraine belong? Ukraine is an independent country independent of the former Soviet Union in １９９１.Is Taiwan independent or where does it belong?Taiwan was incorporated into Japan after the Sino-Japanese War and came under Japanese rule.It existed as Japan for ５０ years until the end of World War II.Under the San Francisco Peace Treaty, Taiwan will be returned.It is unclear where it was returned.It only says that Japan renounces Taiwan.After the civil war, the Communist Party of China ruled the mainland and the government of the Republic of China fled to Taiwan.In １９４９, the Communist Party of China established the People's Republic of China.This was established as a different government from the Republic of China.Since the San Francisco Peace Conference was held in １９５１, the international community has not determined which government is more legitimate at this time, so the two governments have not participated in the peace conference.
Albania Resolution for United Nations Representation
The United Nations has been established as a coalition of victorious countries in World War II.China's representation was held by the Republic of China as a permanent member, but the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China will compete for representation.China's representative government was recognized as the People's Republic of China by the U.N. resolution in １９７１, and the Republic of China will withdraw from the U.N.Japan and the United States had diplomatic relations with the Republic of China, but Japan established diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China in １９７２ and broke off diplomatic relations with the Republic of China.Since President Nixon's surprise visit to China in １９７１, the United States established diplomatic relations with China in １９７９ and severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan.
Who will inherit the Republic of China
China now claims that Taiwan belongs to China because Japan had renounced Taiwan.However, there are many objections whether the U.N. resolution on Albania is interpreted as a matter of representation and determination to belong to Taiwan.If Taiwan was returned to the Republic of China, the Republic of China is Taiwan.Therefore, Taiwan insists that Taiwan is the successor to the Republic of China, while China insists that the People's Republic of China is the successor to the Republic of China.Now that we've come this far, it is hard to find a way at all, but the conclusion is that Ukraine's independence is much simpler.
POINT Japan and the United States ,and the majority of countries do not have diplomatic relations with Taiwan. Contain with Japan and the United States and the majority of countries, the United Nations has ambiguoused Taiwan's attribution for long time.
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Mr. Xi Jinping believes that Taiwan's independence is the trigger for his invasion of Taiwan - The timing of Taiwan's independence and the influence of elections in each country.
The term of office of the Chinese president is five years. In 2018, China's National People's Congress lifted the 10-year limit for two terms, making it possible for candidates to be re-elected as many times as they like. Xi Jinping is currently in his second term, and his term ends in 2023. Regarding the timing, if any, of China's invasion of Taiwan, in January 2021, the Chinese Minister of Defense made in-depth statements that Taiwan's independence would mean war. At the recent U.S.-China summit, Xi Jinping said, ``If Taiwan's independence forces cross the line, we will take decisive measures.''
In other words, the timing is Taiwan's independence. So, regardless of what kind of action or state one considers independence, Taiwan satisfies all the substantive requirements for becoming a state under international law. All that remains is to draft a declaration of independence and declare it to the international community as an independent country. The question is at what timing it will be done.
Regarding this, President Tsai Ing-wen has stated that Taiwan is "already independent," indicating that she has no intention of drafting a declaration of independence. Taiwan's 2024 presidential election will be held the year after Xi Jinping begins his third term. The Democratic Progressive Party candidates advocate Taiwan's independence, which means that Taiwan is not yet independent, which is a very different nuance from President Tsai Ing-wen's ``already independent'' statement.
If the Democratic Progressive Party candidate becomes Taiwan's president in 2024, there is a high possibility that he will draft a declaration of independence during his term. Xi Jinping, aiming for a third term, will support the Kuomintang, the opposition force to Taiwan's ruling party, and seek to become Taiwan's president. Obsessed with elections. The Nationalist Party is a pro-China party. 2024 is also the year of the US presidential election. Based on President Tsai Ing-wen's idea that the country is "already independent," it is unlikely that a declaration of independence will be drafted under the Tsai Ing-wen administration or the Biden administration.
Taiwan's presidential election and the US presidential election will begin in 2024, and Xi Jinping's third term will begin in 2023. It will be interesting to see if there is any movement after this time.
Since the term of office of Taiwan's president is four years, the term of office of the next president will expire in 2028, which will be Xi Jinping's fourth term. Xi Jinping will need to see results by at least 2027 to be re-elected to a fourth term. This timing is the 6th year that Commander Davidson said that war would occur within 6 years. If the US Republican Party wins in 2024, the situation will change dramatically.
The timing of Taiwan's declaration of independence may have a great deal to do with the elections in the three countries.
From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
Yoichi Hatta has achieved great achievements in Taiwan. Taiwan still grateful. Yoichi Hatta developed Taiwan as the Governor-General of Taiwan. The most famous is the paddy field development in the Kanan Plain. The vast plains were often drought due to inadequate irrigation facilities. He did Tam construction and waterway development there. The total distance of the waterways he created exceeds the total distance of the Great Wall of China.
When the Great Kanto Earthquake struck Japan and financial cuts from Japan became unavoidable, Hatta was worried about him and announced the dismissal of personnel. They were Taiwanese who thought they would be fired, but the people who were fired were Japanese. When a Taiwanese worker asked Hatta why, Hatta replied, "I'm making farmland for Taiwanese. It doesn't make sense unless it's made by Taiwanese." Agricultural land development has been successful, and it seems that delicious rice can still be obtained.
In response to the request to build a statue in praise of Hatta's contribution, Hatta refused, but he was requested again and said, "I don't like the statue standing in a big way." Therefore, the statue of Hatta was sitting, and it became the statue that Taiwanese at that time often saw and thought of.
President Lee Teng-hui visited Kanazawa, the hometown of Hatta.
President Chen Shui-bian issued a reward to Hatta.
President Ma Ying-jeou participated in Hatta's memorial service at Wushantou Dam.
Hatta's wife, Sodaiki, was also awarded, and a statue was erected in Hatta Yoichi Memorial Park.
Why did President Tsai Ing - wen invite Kyoto Tachibana High School to the Double Ten Festival? - Taiwan's future entrusted to future generations.
Kyoto Tachibana High School where Taiwan was crazy
Japan's national defense and the Taiwan Strait issue are inseparable
Taiwan's democratization is a recent event
Danger of being swallowed up by China in the next election
Japan should convey the value of democracy
Regarding why Kyoto Tachibana High School's brass band (Orange Devil) was invited to Taiwan's National Foundation Day ceremony, President Tsai Ing-wen looked ahead to the presidential election in 2024 and asked the next generation who will have the right to vote at that time. It appears that Kyoto Tachibana High School was entrusted with a strong message. In the last presidential election in Taiwan, President Tsai Ing-wen came from behind to win despite being at an overwhelming disadvantage. The Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party itself analyzes that the reason for this is that young people are heading to the polls. It is said that the younger generation in Taiwan is starting to develop a sense of democratic values.
Japan should think more seriously about its national defense. There is no objection to considering the Taiwan Strait as an issue that is inseparable from Japan's national defense. What is needed to achieve this is strengthening Japan-US relations and discussing constitutional revision. But is that enough?
Taiwan's democratization began with the direct election of the president in 1996. It was written by former President Lee Teng-hui, who passed away recently. Has Taiwan followed the path of democratization smoothly since then? The first summit meeting between China and Taiwan was held under former President Ma Ying-jeou before President Tsai Ing-wen. There, former President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping held a meeting, reaffirming the 92 joint formula and returning to the one-China principle. That was in 2015.
Although Taiwan is a young democratic country, it is on the verge of strong growth. If the Democratic Progressive Party loses in the 2024 presidential election, Taiwan, one of the few democratic countries in Asia, may never smile again. Xi Jinping will try to intervene in Taiwan's presidential election in every possible way.
Kyoto Tachibana High School showed that there are many things Japan can do. Our goal is to show young Taiwanese through a variety of content that on the path to democracy there is a world where free people can realize their dreams. Taiwan considers Japan to be its democratic predecessor. The Japanese media, which should be primarily responsible for this, seems to be controlled by China.
legitimacy of East Asian regimes What is the legitimacy of the administration?After the war, the Provisional Government of the Republic of Korea in Shanghai was at the center of our administration.With the help of the United States, he ruled the chaotic South Korean Peninsula.The provisional government advocates the legitimacy of the government by appealing to the people for the legitimacy of the anti-Japanese movement.
In the civil war between China and the Communist Party, Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan and succeeded to the Republic of China.The justification is that Taiwan is the successor to Sun Wen's founding of the Republic of China.
After the Vietnam War, the socialist forces won and Vietnam became a unified country.East Asia is largely dominated by former Soviet forces.
What is the Hong Kong issue?This is a matter of socialism and liberal democracy.It should be known that the problems that are occurring in East Asian countries are the ongoing battle between socialism and communism, and liberal democracy and capitalism.
Who is the enemy of this battle?The world knows that it has changed from Russia to China.China's socialist ideas are completely different from those of the former Soviet Union.What are the results of Chinese socialism?Although it seems to have failed, partially introduced capitalism, and flourished, it is only a distorted country with a widening gap between the rich and the poor.Both China and North Korea are inferior students to the Communist Party.
Korea is a democracy in East Asia.Instead of clinging to worn-out legitimacy, we need to know what is going on now.
