Democratic Progressive Party Lai Qingtoku wins Taiwan presidential election | If pro - China forces win, the Taiwan Strait will become China's property.
2024-01-14
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The result was a victory for the Democratic Party.
With the Democratic Progressive Party's victory, how does President Xi Jinping view the results in China? The result was an overwhelming victory for Taiwan's independence force, the Democratic Progressive Party. Looking at the Taiwanese parliament, the Kuomintang has made a comeback, giving the impression that the Taiwanese people have given orders to the Democratic Progressive Party when it comes to domestic policy. The Kuomintang has ５２ seats, the Democratic Party has ５１, and the People's Party has ８. The Taiwanese people are no longer pro-China as a national polity, and perhaps because they have doubts about domestic politics, looking at the number of seats, it seems likely that the People's Party will hold the casting board when it comes to legislation.
Half-hearted vote-splitting force
In the first place, the victory of the pro-independence Democratic Party in the presidential election can be said to be a major achievement. The Taiwanese People's Party was viewed as a force that could divide votes. The Democratic People's Party's position is that it maintains peace through dialogue with both China and the United States, but to be clear, the Taiwan issue is not connected to the US-China conflict, but is rather an issue within the US-China conflict. The reality is that Taiwan exists in China, and on the other hand, I don't think Taiwan can act as a bridge between China and the United States.
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Is the orange devil that is so popular in Taiwan a brilliant strategy of President Tsai Ing - wen? Japan should also learn from Taiwan.
Orange devil is very popular in Taiwan
Free youth is a symbol of democracy
Shocking dignified high school student
Are you considering lowering the voting age?
It seems that the Kyoto Tachibana High School boom in Taiwan has not subsided yet. Japanese high school students, known as the ``orange devils,'' were invited to Taiwan's Double Ten Festival and gave a spectacular performance to appeal for friendship between Japan and Taiwan.
The Double Ten Festival is a ceremony that celebrates Taiwan's National Foundation Day, and it is unusual for a high school student from a foreign country to appear as the main event. What's more, there was even a surprise appearance by President Tsai Ing-wen during the tour of the Presidential Palace. In Taiwan, Japan is a senior country in liberal democracy, and as we were once the same country for 50 years, there is a lot of interest in Japan.
It appears that this ``orange devil'' was invited to the ceremony as a symbol of liberal democracy. In other words, this is an excellent performance by the Tsai Ing-wen administration. In the 2024 presidential election, Taiwanese people will choose a national ideology. It is not an election about which side will be economically richer, but a choice between liberal democracy and Chinese-style socialism.
What the young people of Taiwan saw was a marching band, which is just a part of a high school club activity, displaying overwhelming musical ability, and proudly performing at a ceremony attended by the president of another country. Taiwanese people seemed surprised by this. The question is whether it will be a liberal democracy where talent flourishes freely or a socialism that is embraced by Xi Jinping's plump belly.
The lowering of the voting age in Taiwan to 18 years old in March 2022 also has a lot to do with this. Taiwanese high school students of the same generation as the Orange Devil will head to the polls in 2024. The fact that it has become so popular means President Tsai Ing-wen's production was a great success. President Tsai Ing-wen is much smarter than Xi Jinping. By the way, if you paste a video related to the "Orange Devil" in Taiwan on Facebook, it will be deleted as a violation of the community rules. I don't know much about the relationship between the Chinese Communist Party and Facebook, but it seems certain that it's not a good fit.
Threat from China
Looking at the theme of war from a different perspective, this election was a fight between the Kuomintang and the People's Party to avoid war, and the Democratic Party to protect democracy even in the event of war. This is probably the correct answer. It is said that the decisions of young people will have a large impact on the outcome of this election, just like the last one, and the voting age will be lowered to １８ in ２０２３. Taking note of this, the Chinese Communist Party has been threatening you, saying that in the event of war, you, the young people, will be the ones who die.
Taiwanese youth's choice
The focus of this election was on what kind of decisions young people would make amidst this intimidation and coaxing. The Democratic Progressive Party's theme was ``choosing between dictatorship and democracy.'' As a result, table splitting fails in the opposite direction. If the theme is war, if you add up the factions that advocated war avoidance, that side will be the majority. Of course, the issue of China was not the only theme in the presidential election, but in the end, the Democratic Progressive Party won, with the votes split among those calling for war avoidance and reconciliation with China.
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The Taiwan Strait will be influenced by Taiwan elections.
It goes without saying that Japan would prefer a victory for the Democratic Party. I have nothing but doubts about the Japanese media, which has not shown much interest in the Taiwanese election even though it says that the Taiwanese emergency is a Japanese emergency. A lieutenant general from a Chinese military think tank recently said that the Senkaku Islands are also on the horizon for an invasion of Taiwan, and if the pro-China faction wins the election, China will control the Taiwan Strait, an area through which oil tankers, Japan's lifeline, pass. This is because it suppresses the If that happens, Japan will continue to be threatened by China semi-permanently.
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Xi Jinping sends a congratulatory message to Taiwan Nationalist Party Chairman Zhu Li-Lun - The purpose of shaking Taiwanese public opinion is the 2024 Taiwan presidential election.
Xi Jinping sent a telegram of congratulations to Mr. Zhu Li-Lun, who took office as the head of the Taiwan Nationalist Party on September 26th, and expressed that both parties share a common political commitment to oppose Taiwan's independence, aiming for peace in the Taiwan Strait, national reunification, and national rejuvenation. He expressed his hope for cooperation on this basis. Mr. Zhu Lilun said that in recent years, under the Democratic Progressive Party government, ``anti-China'' policies were adopted, which led to the deterioration of the situation on both sides of the strait. He responded that he opposed Taiwanese independence and wanted to deepen cooperation while respecting each other's differences. In other words, both sides confirmed that the current Taiwan Strait issue was caused by the Democratic Progressive Party, which denies the ``92 common sense'' and ``one country, two systems.''
Xi Jinping and the Nationalist Party have concluded that the Taiwan Strait issue is an issue caused by President Tsai Ing-wen and the independence faction of the Democratic Progressive Party.
Although the Biden administration's Taiwan Strait policy appears to be a continuation of the Trump administration, it is actually different. Biden, don't cause trouble while he's president. It looks like that's all he's saying. Indo-Pacific Coordinator Campbell's statement that he does not support Taiwan's independence is not the government's official position, but does this mean that even if Taiwan were to declare independence, it would not recognize it? The idea is to maintain three joint communiques.
The three joint communiqués are a compilation of the 1972 dialogue between President Nixon and Prime Minister Chou Enlai.
Let's assume that relations between China and Taiwan proceed peacefully until the next Taiwan presidential election in 2024, as Xi Jinping said. If the Democratic Progressive Party advocates Taiwan independence during the presidential election, the Kuomintang is sure to stir up public opinion by repeatedly attacking them and asking why they are making claims that would lead to war when peace has finally come. Chinese hackers will attack the PCs of Democratic Progressive Party members to sniff out scandals, and they will interfere in elections in every possible way.
Elections are only a process, not a goal. Unless a declaration of independence is drafted, this problem will arise every time Taiwan has a presidential election. The Biden administration in the United States will run until January 2025. What would it mean for Xi Jinping if Trump were to return to office? Xi Jinping has his sights firmly set on Taiwan's 2024 presidential election.
While the Taiwan Strait issue will end with Taiwan's declaration of independence, it is highly likely that it will lead to war.
It is said that Japan occupaied the Korean Peninsula as an important location.Which country is not an important place?
If Japan claims that the Korean Peninsula was independent due to the Quins-Japanese War, Japan may have gained independence from the Korean Peninsula, but the Korean people objected that it was only a key location.It's amazing to hear this all the time.I think every country is an important point of some country, but is it different?Supporting independence as an important point is also taking place in the world today.What are the problems in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Myanmar?
Even if there is a common denominator of democracy, the military elements are indivisible.On the contrary, if there are no military factors, will other countries strengthen their armed forces?During the Great East Asian War, Japan considered all Asian countries important and expelled white countries for Asian independence.Asian countries are weak, but they want to unite and escape white rule.Are you saying you've used all of this?
If China suddenly invades Taiwan, the United States may send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan.Then there will be war.What would happen if the U.S. had killed its own people and defended Taiwan, but Taiwan's internal forces had betrayed Tsai Ing-wen's forces and approached China?The United States may abandon Taiwan or rule it.President Tsai understands the interests of each country and tries to stick to the ideology of democracy, regardless of whether it is an important place or not.
Korea, which is independent but has a backward democratic ideology, is in stark contrast to Taiwan, which is trying to protect democracy and become independent.
Chinese Spring Festival delega Xi Jinping did not hide his ambition even though he had no track record, and his OBOR, which he pushed for, ended in failure and is now trying to be contained by other countries.Why is it that the Constitution has been revised to become president for life and there are no signs of his downfall?Xi Jinping criticized Hu Jintao, who tried to settle the Senkaku Islands peacefully with Japan, and led the anti-Japanese riot.As the riots overheated and the people were about to attack the regime, Hu Jintao hurriedly suppressed them.This is similar to Mao's strategy of going to Chiang Kai-shek.
Zhou Yongkang, China's former political enemy, was excluded in the name of eradicating corruption.Dongguan, known as the capital of China's sex, colluded with the police and led by Zhou Yongkang.In China, this is a natural collusion, but for this reason it was dragged down and excluded.In this way, Hu Jintao's faction was buried one after another.Even now, Xi's loud cry is to eradicate corruption.It's good to hear what Xi says, but that's what Xi Jinping is doing.The current head of the public security department is known to be responsible for almost all corruption and corruption.
In China, children with high athletic ability will be transferred to places where they will receive gifted education as athletes of the future national sports team.The same is true of the Communist Party.It is an honor to be selected as a class committee member at a Chinese school.It is the first major gateway to becoming a member of the Communist Party of the future.
The only thing the Chinese put before the state is their clan.If a good child is born, the clan will support him, and if the child becomes a member of the Communist Party, the clan will be rewarded.If you lose your position in the pursuit of corruption, there will be many sects behind you.Xi Jinping, who is advocating eradication of corruption, is slowly closing his eyes and using it to control people's minds.
It is said that the only scenario for Xi's downfall is assassination.Xi Jinping seems to be very wary of this.This is a group photo of the Spring Festival party held on February 20, 2021.Everyone is applauding the camera all at once, but several people are facing the other way around.This is the Great Hall of the People where I'm sure you only have your firiends isn't it?
The right of collective self-defense assumes a Taiwanese emergency - Former Prime Minister Aso mentioned the possibility that an invasion of Taiwan would extend to the waters near the Senkaku Islands.
On July 5, former Prime Minister Aso gave a speech in Tokyo, stating that if China were to invade Taiwan, it would be recognized as an ``existence-endangering situation'' under national security-related laws, and the right of collective self-defense could be exercised to a limited extent. He acknowledged that it was possible. Currently, Japan does not recognize Taiwan as a state, so Taiwan itself is outside the scope of the right of collective self-defense, but both China and Taiwan claim territorial rights to the Senkaku Islands, and China has made an armed invasion of Taiwan. It can be interpreted to include the Senkaku Islands if a naval blockade of Taiwan is implemented.
Will the premise be that the right of collective self-defense will be exercised under the condition that the United States enters the war, or will the Japan-U.S. alliance be activated while Japan exercises its right of self-defense in the event of a naval blockade? Is it? The United States uses the name Taiwan as a military name. The Biden administration has announced that there will be no change in its interpretation of the One China Policy. On the other hand, Japan has confirmed that the defense of the Senkaku Islands falls within the scope of the Japan-US Security Treaty. Regarding the defense of Taiwan, although the U.S.-Taiwan Relations Act mentions the provision of weapons, it does not specify whether the U.S. military will be involved in the defense of Taiwan, leaving some ambiguity.
If China were to invade Taiwan, there is a possibility that Japan would join the war, assuming that the U.S. military would join the war.
Considering the meaning of Deputy Prime Minister Aso's remarks, it is unlikely that they will be put into action unless they include military exercises between Japan, the United States, and Taiwan. Without military exercises, there is no way that the right of collective self-defense would be accompanied by the power to implement it. This will be a major focus in the future. We may see the Self-Defense Forces entering Taiwan for military exercises.
The US military has announced that it is conducting joint military exercises with Taiwan. It is not possible to create an action plan without conducting military exercises on-site to determine what kind of operations could be carried out in the terrain and environment of Taiwan's west coast in the event of an actual battle. There needs to be a concrete discussion about what is necessary for Japan to exercise its right of collective self-defense.
In order to exercise the right of collective self-defense, the Self-Defense Forces will need military training that simulates the Taiwan Strait in order to function effectively.
Will the Japan - Taiwan exchange held by Kyoto Tachibana High School have an impact on the presidential election? - Impact on Taiwanese democracy since the Abe administration
On October 10, 2022, Kyoto Tachibana High School put on a spectacular performance at the Taiwan Double Ten Festival. Taiwan's presidential election will be held on January 13th of this year. In Taiwan, voting rights will be lowered to 18 years or older in March 2022. This will be an event that anticipates the presidential election. The Taiwanese students who were high school students at the time were probably over 18 years old.
In that sense, this is former Prime Minister Abe's intervention in Taiwan. This is a strategy to fully appeal to the younger generation by emphasizing the exchange of democratic values. Ever since the Biden administration announced its commitment to maintaining the "One China Policy," I have personally viewed Japan's democratic intervention in Taiwan from this perspective. The Biden administration's policy has been to maintain its long-standing "one China policy" and simply order China to speak with democratically elected representatives in Taiwan. In other words, the issue at this point will be Taiwan's presidential election in 2024.
Unfortunately, this event took place during the Kishida administration after former Prime Minister Abe was assassinated. Former Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga referred to Taiwan as a "country" during a party leader debate. At the opening ceremony of the Tokyo Olympics, NHK, which is said to be pro-China, announced "Taiwan" instead of Chinese Taipei. Representative Takaichi held a remote meeting with President Tsai Ing-wen during the presidential election. These things have been widely reported in Taiwan. Unfortunately, the Kishida administration has not made any major moves since the ``Orange Devil'' performance, and on the contrary, it appears to have focused solely on currying favor with Xi Jinping.
And the presidential election is just over a week away. China has been carrying out various intimidation and threats in the run-up to the Taiwan presidential election. The threat is that if China invades Taiwan, you young people will be the ones fighting on the battlefield. This is the Chinese Communist Party's reasoning. The Taiwan Strait is a sea lane through which oil tankers from the Middle East, which is Japan's lifeline, pass. If the Kuomintang wins, China will gain control of the Taiwan Strait. What has the Kishida administration done about this?
