Democratic Progressive Party Lai Qingtoku wins Taiwan presidential election | If pro - China forces win, the Taiwan Strait will become China's property.
2024-01-14
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The result was a victory for the Democratic Party.
With the Democratic Progressive Party's victory, how does President Xi Jinping view the results in China? The result was an overwhelming victory for Taiwan's independence force, the Democratic Progressive Party. Looking at the Taiwanese parliament, the Kuomintang has made a comeback, giving the impression that the Taiwanese people have given orders to the Democratic Progressive Party when it comes to domestic policy. The Kuomintang has ５２ seats, the Democratic Party has ５１, and the People's Party has ８. The Taiwanese people are no longer pro-China as a national polity, and perhaps because they have doubts about domestic politics, looking at the number of seats, it seems likely that the People's Party will hold the casting board when it comes to legislation.
Half-hearted vote-splitting force
In the first place, the victory of the pro-independence Democratic Party in the presidential election can be said to be a major achievement. The Taiwanese People's Party was viewed as a force that could divide votes. The Democratic People's Party's position is that it maintains peace through dialogue with both China and the United States, but to be clear, the Taiwan issue is not connected to the US-China conflict, but is rather an issue within the US-China conflict. The reality is that Taiwan exists in China, and on the other hand, I don't think Taiwan can act as a bridge between China and the United States.
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Is the orange devil that is so popular in Taiwan a brilliant strategy of President Tsai Ing - wen? Japan should also learn from Taiwan.
Orange devil is very popular in Taiwan
Free youth is a symbol of democracy
Shocking dignified high school student
Are you considering lowering the voting age?
It seems that the Kyoto Tachibana High School boom in Taiwan has not subsided yet. Japanese high school students, known as the ``orange devils,'' were invited to Taiwan's Double Ten Festival and gave a spectacular performance to appeal for friendship between Japan and Taiwan.
The Double Ten Festival is a ceremony that celebrates Taiwan's National Foundation Day, and it is unusual for a high school student from a foreign country to appear as the main event. What's more, there was even a surprise appearance by President Tsai Ing-wen during the tour of the Presidential Palace. In Taiwan, Japan is a senior country in liberal democracy, and as we were once the same country for 50 years, there is a lot of interest in Japan.
It appears that this ``orange devil'' was invited to the ceremony as a symbol of liberal democracy. In other words, this is an excellent performance by the Tsai Ing-wen administration. In the 2024 presidential election, Taiwanese people will choose a national ideology. It is not an election about which side will be economically richer, but a choice between liberal democracy and Chinese-style socialism.
What the young people of Taiwan saw was a marching band, which is just a part of a high school club activity, displaying overwhelming musical ability, and proudly performing at a ceremony attended by the president of another country. Taiwanese people seemed surprised by this. The question is whether it will be a liberal democracy where talent flourishes freely or a socialism that is embraced by Xi Jinping's plump belly.
The lowering of the voting age in Taiwan to 18 years old in March 2022 also has a lot to do with this. Taiwanese high school students of the same generation as the Orange Devil will head to the polls in 2024. The fact that it has become so popular means President Tsai Ing-wen's production was a great success. President Tsai Ing-wen is much smarter than Xi Jinping. By the way, if you paste a video related to the "Orange Devil" in Taiwan on Facebook, it will be deleted as a violation of the community rules. I don't know much about the relationship between the Chinese Communist Party and Facebook, but it seems certain that it's not a good fit.
Threat from China
Looking at the theme of war from a different perspective, this election was a fight between the Kuomintang and the People's Party to avoid war, and the Democratic Party to protect democracy even in the event of war. This is probably the correct answer. It is said that the decisions of young people will have a large impact on the outcome of this election, just like the last one, and the voting age will be lowered to １８ in ２０２３. Taking note of this, the Chinese Communist Party has been threatening you, saying that in the event of war, you, the young people, will be the ones who die.
Taiwanese youth's choice
The focus of this election was on what kind of decisions young people would make amidst this intimidation and coaxing. The Democratic Progressive Party's theme was ``choosing between dictatorship and democracy.'' As a result, table splitting fails in the opposite direction. If the theme is war, if you add up the factions that advocated war avoidance, that side will be the majority. Of course, the issue of China was not the only theme in the presidential election, but in the end, the Democratic Progressive Party won, with the votes split among those calling for war avoidance and reconciliation with China.
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The Taiwan Strait will be influenced by Taiwan elections.
It goes without saying that Japan would prefer a victory for the Democratic Party. I have nothing but doubts about the Japanese media, which has not shown much interest in the Taiwanese election even though it says that the Taiwanese emergency is a Japanese emergency. A lieutenant general from a Chinese military think tank recently said that the Senkaku Islands are also on the horizon for an invasion of Taiwan, and if the pro-China faction wins the election, China will control the Taiwan Strait, an area through which oil tankers, Japan's lifeline, pass. This is because it suppresses the If that happens, Japan will continue to be threatened by China semi-permanently.
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From the perspective of Ukraine war, Taiwan is same case emergency.What position should we take on Taiwan?
What would happen if we looked at the Taiwan issue in response to NATO's unilateral move to the military demarcation line by joining Ukraine?The Japanese media have put Russia and China on the same page, and what if China invades Taiwan like Russia?Is this really the only way to build a theory?Why don't Japan and the U.S. want Taiwan to belong to China?This is because China want to shifted dramatically the military demarcation line.
In Japan, lawmakers argue that if Taiwan is taken, it will be the Senkaku Islands.In the Albanian resolution, the United Nations decided to make the People's Republic of China the representative government of China.The U.S. and Japan agree that the issue of representation itself does not mean that Taiwan will lose its independence, but neither Japan nor the U.S. has no agreement on document, and has no diplomatic relations with Taiwan and has not approved it.This is the basis for China's claim that Taiwan is China.Currently, only 15 countries have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.Among them, only 13 countries expressed their support for Taiwan's participation at the U.N. General Assembly in September 2021, without Japan and the United States.
In this case, the policy that Taiwan would be separated from China, recognized independently, established diplomatic relations, and signed a treaty with allies are similar to Russia's plan to protect Lugansk and Donetsk.On the contrary, China, like Ukraine, will criticize the U.S. and Japan and send defense forces.In other words, we are sitting on the Russian side of the Taiwan issue.
Originally, Ukraine was considered a Taiwan issue, but it was a military demarcation line issue before the issue of national sovereignty.Past history has shown that unilateral changes in the military demarcation line could lead to war.What China wants to do is take over Taiwan and change the military demarcation line significantly.If NATO is in this situation, how can it defend Taiwan militarily?
It goes without saying that Japan must cooperate with the U.S. to face China in order to defend Taiwan.We need to make it clear that we will not allow changes to the military demarcation line.
legitimacy of East Asian regimes What is the legitimacy of the administration?After the war, the Provisional Government of the Republic of Korea in Shanghai was at the center of our administration.With the help of the United States, he ruled the chaotic South Korean Peninsula.The provisional government advocates the legitimacy of the government by appealing to the people for the legitimacy of the anti-Japanese movement.
In the civil war between China and the Communist Party, Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan and succeeded to the Republic of China.The justification is that Taiwan is the successor to Sun Wen's founding of the Republic of China.
After the Vietnam War, the socialist forces won and Vietnam became a unified country.East Asia is largely dominated by former Soviet forces.
What is the Hong Kong issue?This is a matter of socialism and liberal democracy.It should be known that the problems that are occurring in East Asian countries are the ongoing battle between socialism and communism, and liberal democracy and capitalism.
Who is the enemy of this battle?The world knows that it has changed from Russia to China.China's socialist ideas are completely different from those of the former Soviet Union.What are the results of Chinese socialism?Although it seems to have failed, partially introduced capitalism, and flourished, it is only a distorted country with a widening gap between the rich and the poor.Both China and North Korea are inferior students to the Communist Party.
Korea is a democracy in East Asia.Instead of clinging to worn-out legitimacy, we need to know what is going on now.
Democracy in Taiwan
At the first-ever Sino-Taiwan summit in November 2015, President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping confirmed that mainland China and Taiwan belong to China and maintain the "one China" principle and the "ninety-two common knowledge."The birth of President Tsai Ying was in May 2016, so it happened only half a year ago.
President Lee Teng-hui's "two countries" (China and Taiwan are different countries) were easily overturned here, returning to the position of one country, two systems, and one China.With the birth of President Tsai Ying-cheng and the current trend of leaving China, Taiwan's independence theory is still in its infancy.The dramatic reversal of Tsai's re-election in 2020 is that the Kuomintang candidate had a higher approval rating until just before.
Taiwan's first direct presidential election was in 1996.It's been about 25 years.
Biden said, "China should have a good conversation with Taiwan's democratically elected leader.I said.What does this mean?In Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang received 28.3 percent and 21.9 percent respectively.Historically, Taiwan has been leaning toward China or moving toward independence, but this pendulum-like problem will continue as long as it holds elections as a democratic country.Only the annexation of China or the declaration of independence can end the problem.The Biden administration is in favor of "one China policy."
China's "one China principle " and the United States' "one China policy " are different.China regards Taiwan as part of China's "one China principle," the U.S. "one China policy" means recognizing China's representative government as the People's Republic of China, not Taiwan as part of China.It is only acknowledged that China is making such a claim.At first glance, East Asia's policies seem to follow Trump's, but they are fundamentally different.It also implicitly conveys that if the pro-China faction wins again in Taiwan, the U.S. will not interfere.
If Taiwan does not specify independence, it will be asked whether it will reach China or independence every election, and that will be an opportunity for China to take advantage of it.
Taiwan Strait seen from the withdrawal of Kyiv - Will Taiwan be able to defend itself? Submarine lurking in the Taiwan Strait. Russia withdraws from Kyiv without taking air superiority
Russia is expected to abandon the capture of Kieu and head for Mariupol and later Odessa. The reason why Kyiv's capture failed is probably that he could not take air superiority. The Army marched on and continued to be bombarded even though it could not take air superiority. It will be China who is watching this battle carefully. Most Chinese weapons are modifications of the former Soviet Union and were obtained from Ukraine. You may be appalled about how well it works with the state-of-the-art weapons of the Western world.
It's even harder to cross the Taiwan Strait
Ukraine is a land-based invasion of neighboring countries, and it is difficult to capture Taiwan because of the Taiwan Strait. Can China take control of Taiwan? Even if they take air superiority, the Chinese army must cross the Taiwan Strait using an amphibious ship to land. The problem is the command of the sea. President Tsai Ing-wen began building his first submarine in Kaohsiung in November 2020. A total of eight ships are planned to be built, and the test voyage is scheduled for 2025. If the submarine is in the Taiwan Strait, the Chinese landing ship will be sunk by an invisible enemy. China has vehemently opposed this plan.
Will Taiwan be able to defend itself?
Before that, if we see the withdrawal of Kyiv, it is more likely that China will not be able to take air superiority. The key is likely to be an unmanned attack aircraft. Although China has an unmanned attack aircraft, its performance is inferior to that made in Russia. With the reinforcement of a large number of unmanned attack aircraft and surface-to-air missiles from the United States, and the purchase of submarines from the United States, it seems that considerable defense is possible just by providing weapons without the participation of the United States. Of note is the performance of the submarines manufactured by Taiwan. Chinese submarines are noisy and are often detected and surfaced from Japan. If you can find it and you can't find it, you can sink your opponent's submarine.Chinese troops cannot land in Taiwan without taking command of the sea.
Taiwan buys evaporated milk from Lithuania, which was rejected by China. Taiwan's feelings for liberalism are real.
It was revealed on the 10th that a Taiwanese food maker bought evaporated milk from Lithuania, which was refused to be received from China. With the cooperation of the governments of Taiwan and Lithuania, about 1,000 boxes have already arrived in Taiwan . A spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Joanne Ou, announced on the 11th that he would continue to cooperate in expanding sales channels for Lithuanian products in Taiwan.
Since the establishment of Taiwan's representative agency "Taiwanese Representative Office in Lithuania" in Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania, Lithuania has been retaliated by China. China has announced that it will downgrade its diplomatic relations with Lithuania to "Chargé d'Affaires", and is increasing pressure by stalling Lithuanian products exported to China at customs clearance.
Lithuania was forced to close the Lithuanian embassy in China by establishing a Taiwan representative office.
Evaporated milk was purchased by Amada Food Technology (Hsinchu County). The amount is as much as one container. The person in charge of the company told the Central News Agency that he would make Hong Kong-style milk tea from the purchased evaporated milk and sell it to the world. The person in charge is a Hong Konger who has lived in Taiwan for more than 30 years, and when he combined Evaporated milk from Lithuania and blended tea from Sri Lanka, he said that a "nostalgic taste" was created.
The developed Hong Kong-style milk tea will be packaged in a design that incorporates the Lithuanian flag "yellow, green, red". At the same time as symbolizing Lithuania's support for Taiwan, it also wants to express the company's support for Lithuania.
Lithuanian friendship with Taiwan has been forced to close the Lithuanian embassy in China. Taiwan will deepen its friendship with Lithuania.
