The right of collective self-defense assumes a Taiwanese emergency - Former Prime Minister Aso mentioned the possibility that an invasion of Taiwan would extend to the waters near the Senkaku Islands.
2021-07-08
Category:Taiwan
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Taiwan emergency is Japan emergency
On July 5, former Prime Minister Aso gave a speech in Tokyo, stating that if China were to invade Taiwan, it would be recognized as an ``existence-endangering situation'' under national security-related laws, and the right of collective self-defense could be exercised to a limited extent. He acknowledged that it was possible. Currently, Japan does not recognize Taiwan as a state, so Taiwan itself is outside the scope of the right of collective self-defense, but both China and Taiwan claim territorial rights to the Senkaku Islands, and China has made an armed invasion of Taiwan. It can be interpreted to include the Senkaku Islands if a naval blockade of Taiwan is implemented.
American participation in the war is a condition
Will the premise be that the right of collective self-defense will be exercised under the condition that the United States enters the war, or will the Japan-U.S. alliance be activated while Japan exercises its right of self-defense in the event of a naval blockade? Is it? The United States uses the name Taiwan as a military name. The Biden administration has announced that there will be no change in its interpretation of the One China Policy. On the other hand, Japan has confirmed that the defense of the Senkaku Islands falls within the scope of the Japan-US Security Treaty. Regarding the defense of Taiwan, although the U.S.-Taiwan Relations Act mentions the provision of weapons, it does not specify whether the U.S. military will be involved in the defense of Taiwan, leaving some ambiguity.
MEMO If China were to invade Taiwan, there is a possibility that Japan would join the war, assuming that the U.S. military would join the war.
Military exercises are essential for practical defense
Considering the meaning of Deputy Prime Minister Aso's remarks, it is unlikely that they will be put into action unless they include military exercises between Japan, the United States, and Taiwan. Without military exercises, there is no way that the right of collective self-defense would be accompanied by the power to implement it. This will be a major focus in the future. We may see the Self-Defense Forces entering Taiwan for military exercises.
The US military has announced that it is conducting joint military exercises with Taiwan. It is not possible to create an action plan without conducting military exercises on-site to determine what kind of operations could be carried out in the terrain and environment of Taiwan's west coast in the event of an actual battle. There needs to be a concrete discussion about what is necessary for Japan to exercise its right of collective self-defense.
POINT In order to exercise the right of collective self-defense, the Self-Defense Forces will need military training that simulates the Taiwan Strait in order to function effectively.
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Chinese Spring Festival delega Xi Jinping did not hide his ambition even though he had no track record, and his OBOR, which he pushed for, ended in failure and is now trying to be contained by other countries.Why is it that the Constitution has been revised to become president for life and there are no signs of his downfall?Xi Jinping criticized Hu Jintao, who tried to settle the Senkaku Islands peacefully with Japan, and led the anti-Japanese riot.As the riots overheated and the people were about to attack the regime, Hu Jintao hurriedly suppressed them.This is similar to Mao's strategy of going to Chiang Kai-shek.
Zhou Yongkang, China's former political enemy, was excluded in the name of eradicating corruption.Dongguan, known as the capital of China's sex, colluded with the police and led by Zhou Yongkang.In China, this is a natural collusion, but for this reason it was dragged down and excluded.In this way, Hu Jintao's faction was buried one after another.Even now, Xi's loud cry is to eradicate corruption.It's good to hear what Xi says, but that's what Xi Jinping is doing.The current head of the public security department is known to be responsible for almost all corruption and corruption.
In China, children with high athletic ability will be transferred to places where they will receive gifted education as athletes of the future national sports team.The same is true of the Communist Party.It is an honor to be selected as a class committee member at a Chinese school.It is the first major gateway to becoming a member of the Communist Party of the future.
The only thing the Chinese put before the state is their clan.If a good child is born, the clan will support him, and if the child becomes a member of the Communist Party, the clan will be rewarded.If you lose your position in the pursuit of corruption, there will be many sects behind you.Xi Jinping, who is advocating eradication of corruption, is slowly closing his eyes and using it to control people's minds.
It is said that the only scenario for Xi's downfall is assassination.Xi Jinping seems to be very wary of this.This is a group photo of the Spring Festival party held on February 20, 2021.Everyone is applauding the camera all at once, but several people are facing the other way around.This is the Great Hall of the People where I'm sure you only have your firiends isn't it?
Will Miss. Chou Ting's message reach Taiwanese youth? - What is the ripple effect of his declaration of asylum in Canada?
After Miss. Chou Ting announced his intention to seek asylum in Canada, Hong Kong police said they would do everything in their power to arrest him since the December 29 deadline for his return to the country had passed. Mr. Shuba also mentioned the existence of secret police and the danger of being targeted by spies. He went to Canada to study abroad in September 2023.
The Hong Kong protests are said to have been triggered by China's National People's Congress's decision in 2014 to restrict the number of candidates for the post of chief executive of Hong Kong. At this time, a large demonstration occurred and was also called the Umbrella Movement. Since then, demonstrations against the enactment of the Fugitive Offenders Act and the National Security Act have continued to grow in scale and have been reported around the world. Mr. Shutei is considered to be one of the central figures.
The enactment of these laws will be seen as a de facto collapse of one country, two systems, and investment in Hong Kong from various countries will be withdrawn one after another, accelerating China's current isolation. Mr. Shuba was subsequently arrested and detained, but the charges were relatively light and he was sentenced to 10 months in prison, although he was actually released after about 6 months.
It appeared to be an attempt by the Chinese government to suppress the demonstrations and appease the ringleaders. I wonder if it means that they don't want to provoke the students any more, or they don't want to provoke other countries, but what happened after that was Mr. Shuba's study abroad. I was honestly surprised by this as well. I wonder if a person who incited the people and caused a large-scale demonstration in China could study abroad.This seems like a placating measure, but I imagine that Taiwan could be an extension of this.
It is said that students from the Sunflower Movement in Taiwan taught Hong Kong students how to demonstrate. This led to large-scale demonstrations in Hong Kong, and the enthusiasm returned to Taiwan, leading to a dramatic come-from-behind victory in Taiwan's presidential election in 2017 for Tsai Ing-wen, who was said to be at a disadvantage. Taiwan will become the next Hong Kong. The younger generation's sense of crisis about the end of Taiwan's democracy had a major impact on electoral behavior. If the spark was smoldering in Hong Kong, it could once again influence Taiwan's elections. On the other hand, the fact that Mr. Zhou Ting is able to study abroad in Canada freely could be used to appeal to young Taiwanese people.
This is a de facto declaration of asylum at this timing. The timing of the Taiwan presidential election was probably decided to be at the end of this year because it was held on December 3rd, Miss. Chou Ting's birthday, and the deadline for returning to Japan was December 29th. is January 13, 2024. If the Chinese government had been aiming for a placating policy, the message that Mr. Zhouting's life was in danger was the complete opposite, and the news was sure to reach Taiwan as well. The goddess of democracy is alive and well.
Yoichi Hatta has achieved great achievements in Taiwan. Taiwan still grateful. Yoichi Hatta developed Taiwan as the Governor-General of Taiwan. The most famous is the paddy field development in the Kanan Plain. The vast plains were often drought due to inadequate irrigation facilities. He did Tam construction and waterway development there. The total distance of the waterways he created exceeds the total distance of the Great Wall of China.
When the Great Kanto Earthquake struck Japan and financial cuts from Japan became unavoidable, Hatta was worried about him and announced the dismissal of personnel. They were Taiwanese who thought they would be fired, but the people who were fired were Japanese. When a Taiwanese worker asked Hatta why, Hatta replied, "I'm making farmland for Taiwanese. It doesn't make sense unless it's made by Taiwanese." Agricultural land development has been successful, and it seems that delicious rice can still be obtained.
In response to the request to build a statue in praise of Hatta's contribution, Hatta refused, but he was requested again and said, "I don't like the statue standing in a big way." Therefore, the statue of Hatta was sitting, and it became the statue that Taiwanese at that time often saw and thought of.
President Lee Teng-hui visited Kanazawa, the hometown of Hatta.
President Chen Shui-bian issued a reward to Hatta.
President Ma Ying-jeou participated in Hatta's memorial service at Wushantou Dam.
Hatta's wife, Sodaiki, was also awarded, and a statue was erected in Hatta Yoichi Memorial Park.
Democracy in Taiwan
At the first-ever Sino-Taiwan summit in November 2015, President Ma Ying-jeou and Xi Jinping confirmed that mainland China and Taiwan belong to China and maintain the "one China" principle and the "ninety-two common knowledge."The birth of President Tsai Ying was in May 2016, so it happened only half a year ago.
President Lee Teng-hui's "two countries" (China and Taiwan are different countries) were easily overturned here, returning to the position of one country, two systems, and one China.With the birth of President Tsai Ying-cheng and the current trend of leaving China, Taiwan's independence theory is still in its infancy.The dramatic reversal of Tsai's re-election in 2020 is that the Kuomintang candidate had a higher approval rating until just before.
Taiwan's first direct presidential election was in 1996.It's been about 25 years.
Biden said, "China should have a good conversation with Taiwan's democratically elected leader.I said.What does this mean?In Taiwan's presidential election in 2024, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang received 28.3 percent and 21.9 percent respectively.Historically, Taiwan has been leaning toward China or moving toward independence, but this pendulum-like problem will continue as long as it holds elections as a democratic country.Only the annexation of China or the declaration of independence can end the problem.The Biden administration is in favor of "one China policy."
China's "one China principle " and the United States' "one China policy " are different.China regards Taiwan as part of China's "one China principle," the U.S. "one China policy" means recognizing China's representative government as the People's Republic of China, not Taiwan as part of China.It is only acknowledged that China is making such a claim.At first glance, East Asia's policies seem to follow Trump's, but they are fundamentally different.It also implicitly conveys that if the pro-China faction wins again in Taiwan, the U.S. will not interfere.
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The Chinese Communist Party's economic takeover - dependence on the Chinese economy is the same as being taken over - young people with no vested interests are the key.
Xi Jinping's strategy
Will peaceful dialogue be possible
Reach for any target
Taiwan was one step away from unification
At the 110th Anniversary of the Xinhai Revolution, President Xi Jinping cited the "One China" principle and the "1992 Consensus" based on it, and stated that the two countries would "promote the peaceful development of cross-strait relations." This is a worrisome statement, considering that he will never do the right thing in terms of Taiwan policy. On October 4, a record 56 Chinese aircraft entered Taiwan's airspace. Since the beginning of October, there have been a total of 149 airspace intrusions, but by the 5th, this had dropped sharply to just one aircraft.
Biden has called for peaceful dialogue with democratically elected leaders, but the issue remains focused on Taiwan's next presidential election. If Taiwan's next president becomes pro-China and moves toward unification with China, the United States will not interfere as long as the conclusion is reached through peaceful dialogue. It also means.
Direct bribery of politicians seems like something out of a TV drama, but China's strategy is much more elaborate. Communist Party members are reaching out to politicians' families, relatives, friends, politicians' support bases, and organizations.
If politicians' supporters were given huge amounts of wealth through business with China, they would easily turn over, and they would sniff out cheating, traffic accidents, tax evasion, minor legal violations, etc. of the politicians themselves and those around them. Collect information. To do this, they will use all sorts of methods, including hacking and wiretapping communication devices, and installing mechanisms to send information to the Chinese Communist Party into the communication devices themselves.
Before President Tsai Ing-wen, the era of President Ma Ying-jeou was one step closer to unification. Young people's votes played a key role in President Tsai Ing-wen's re-election. The key to the next election will be how to encourage young people, who have fewer business interests and other interests, to vote.