Mr. Xi Jinping believes that Taiwan's independence is the trigger for his invasion of Taiwan - The timing of Taiwan's independence and the influence of elections in each country.
2021-11-18
Category:Taiwan
I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
The timing of the invasion of Taiwan is Taiwanese independence
The term of office of the Chinese president is five years. In 2018, China's National People's Congress lifted the 10-year limit for two terms, making it possible for candidates to be re-elected as many times as they like. Xi Jinping is currently in his second term, and his term ends in 2023. Regarding the timing, if any, of China's invasion of Taiwan, in January 2021, the Chinese Minister of Defense made in-depth statements that Taiwan's independence would mean war. At the recent U.S.-China summit, Xi Jinping said, ``If Taiwan's independence forces cross the line, we will take decisive measures.''
In other words, the timing is Taiwan's independence. So, regardless of what kind of action or state one considers independence, Taiwan satisfies all the substantive requirements for becoming a state under international law. All that remains is to draft a declaration of independence and declare it to the international community as an independent country. The question is at what timing it will be done.
The key point is the 2024 Taiwan presidential election
Regarding this, President Tsai Ing-wen has stated that Taiwan is "already independent," indicating that she has no intention of drafting a declaration of independence. Taiwan's 2024 presidential election will be held the year after Xi Jinping begins his third term. The Democratic Progressive Party candidates advocate Taiwan's independence, which means that Taiwan is not yet independent, which is a very different nuance from President Tsai Ing-wen's ``already independent'' statement.
If the Democratic Progressive Party candidate becomes Taiwan's president in 2024, there is a high possibility that he will draft a declaration of independence during his term. Xi Jinping, aiming for a third term, will support the Kuomintang, the opposition force to Taiwan's ruling party, and seek to become Taiwan's president. Obsessed with elections. The Nationalist Party is a pro-China party. 2024 is also the year of the US presidential election. Based on President Tsai Ing-wen's idea that the country is "already independent," it is unlikely that a declaration of independence will be drafted under the Tsai Ing-wen administration or the Biden administration.
MEMO Taiwan's presidential election and the US presidential election will begin in 2024, and Xi Jinping's third term will begin in 2023. It will be interesting to see if there is any movement after this time.
Xi Jinping's re-election also has a big impact
Since the term of office of Taiwan's president is four years, the term of office of the next president will expire in 2028, which will be Xi Jinping's fourth term. Xi Jinping will need to see results by at least 2027 to be re-elected to a fourth term. This timing is the 6th year that Commander Davidson said that war would occur within 6 years. If the US Republican Party wins in 2024, the situation will change dramatically.
POINT The timing of Taiwan's declaration of independence may have a great deal to do with the elections in the three countries.
I'm participating in the ranking.Please click and cheer for me.
[related article]
legitimacy of East Asian regimes What is the legitimacy of the administration?After the war, the Provisional Government of the Republic of Korea in Shanghai was at the center of our administration.With the help of the United States, he ruled the chaotic South Korean Peninsula.The provisional government advocates the legitimacy of the government by appealing to the people for the legitimacy of the anti-Japanese movement.
In the civil war between China and the Communist Party, Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan and succeeded to the Republic of China.The justification is that Taiwan is the successor to Sun Wen's founding of the Republic of China.
After the Vietnam War, the socialist forces won and Vietnam became a unified country.East Asia is largely dominated by former Soviet forces.
What is the Hong Kong issue?This is a matter of socialism and liberal democracy.It should be known that the problems that are occurring in East Asian countries are the ongoing battle between socialism and communism, and liberal democracy and capitalism.
Who is the enemy of this battle?The world knows that it has changed from Russia to China.China's socialist ideas are completely different from those of the former Soviet Union.What are the results of Chinese socialism?Although it seems to have failed, partially introduced capitalism, and flourished, it is only a distorted country with a widening gap between the rich and the poor.Both China and North Korea are inferior students to the Communist Party.
Korea is a democracy in East Asia.Instead of clinging to worn-out legitimacy, we need to know what is going on now.
Under the United Nations resolution on Albania, China's representative government becomes the People's Republic of China - national representation as a permanent member of the United Nations Security
National representation rights claimed by both sides
Taiwan withdraws from the United Nations as a result of this resolution
Japan and the US tried to prevent Taiwan's expulsion from the UN
Taiwan is just a common name
US supports Taiwan's membership in international organizations
China expands interpretation of Albania resolution
The issue of one China began when the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China fought over the right to represent China as a permanent member of the United Nations at the United Nations following a civil war. At that time, the Republic of China was a member of the United Nations as a permanent member of the United Nations.
As a result of the 1971 Albania Resolution recognizing the People's Republic of China as the representative member state of the United Nations, the Republic of China withdrew from the United Nations. In advance, Japan and the United States tried to persuade Taiwan to voluntarily decline the right to represent China, but Chiang Kai-shek was not convinced.
One China claimed not only China but also Taiwan. Taiwan was the first to claim the Senkaku Islands before China.
In response to the Albania resolution, the United States proposed a dual representation resolution and Japan proposed an important issue resolution against expulsion to the United Nations. As a result, the Albania Resolution was passed, and the People's Republic of China was to take over the power of representation, eliminating Taiwan's seat.
The problem might have been different if Taiwan had withdrawn its representation rights and applied for recognition as a separate country at the same time.
What we now call Taiwan is not the official name of the country; its official name is the Republic of China. Taiwan is a common name that means the name of the region. At the Olympic Games, it was called Chinese Taipei, and Japan's NHK called it Tiwan, which became a hot topic, but the country's name itself is internationally connected to the United Nations issue.
Based on the above circumstances, the United Nations has simply recognized the People's Republic of China as the representative government of China, and since the Republic of China has withdrawn from the United Nations, this does not mean that the United Nations does not recognize the country.
The United States has said it will support Taiwan's participation in international organizations. U.S. Republican Rep. Jim Risch said that China is expanding the interpretation of the Albania resolution.
Conversely, the basis for China's insistence on excluding Taiwan from the international community is the 1971 Albania resolution.
The United States has criticized China for abusing the Albania resolution by expanding its interpretation. China is pressuring other countries to prevent Taiwan from participating in international organizations.
Heartwarming support from the Taiwan Foundation to help victims of the Great East Japan Earthquake.
Taiwan donated more than 25 billion yen to the Great East Japan Earthquake.This is the largest in the world.March 16, five days after the earthquake.A group of people wearing white pants, white hats, and navy blue jackets arrived in Oarai, Ibaraki Prefecture.
The organization is a Japanese branch of the Buddhist Foundation for Charity in Zhugei, Taiwan, and is a Buddhist charity founded in 1966 by the Taiwanese nun Master Sheng Yuan.Although it is a group centered on nuns, many men and women of all ages participate in volunteer activities.
Before dawn, they left Tokyo for Oarai-cho, Iwate-ken Ofunato, Rikuzentakata, Miyagi-ken Ishinomaki, Kesennuma, and other severely damaged places to cook curry rice, fried beef, pork soup, and miso soup.There are few people in Tohoku who don't know about the help, but there were few media reports.
This is not the only relief aid for the disaster-stricken area.They distributed cash directly to the victims.Local residents came to government offices, community centers, and assembly halls, and gave 50,000 to 70,000 yen per household and 20,000 yen to people living alone.I heard that they worked with local government offices to make sure there was no omission in distribution.
The applicant said, "Taiwan Buddhist organizations distribute cash, so representatives of each household are asked to gather at the community center.My father went to my house, but I got 50,000 yen just by checking the household list.It was a heartwarming event in a state of uncertainty.That money gave us peace of mind," he said with tears in his eyes.
Two months after the earthquake, Taiwan's Ministry of Transportation and Tourism provided free support for 1,000 victims from Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima Prefectures to Taiwan for six months from May 2011.In addition, Taiwan was the first country to send tourists to the Northeast after the earthquake.Support from Taiwan continued in reconstruction and construction after the earthquake.
Quote: DIAMOND online
Support from Taiwan was huge through the Japanese Red Cross, but private support was sent many times as much to the disaster-stricken area.
China's territorial waters violations started in 2012, and what is the cause? - The Senkaku Islands issue became apparent after nationalization. Where did the Senkaku Islands issue begin and where did it emerge? 1971 and 2012.In June 1971, Taiwan's Foreign Ministry claimed sovereignty over the Senkaku Islands.In response, the People's Republic of China claimed sovereignty in September 1971.The assumption began in 1969 when the U.N. ECAFE announced the possibility of oil reserves.At that time, Chiang Kai-shek claimed ownership of mainland China, and China claimed ownership of Taiwan, so it took only three months to declare ownership.
It is said that in 1972 Japan-China normalization of diplomatic relations, there was communication between the two sides that the Senkaku Islands issue would not be a problem if we did not make it a problem.It means the shelved agreement. The graph shows the number of Chinese ships invading territorial waters.It is clear that there will be no trouble for 40 years until September 2012.
In 2010, a Chinese fishing boat collided with a Japanese Coast Guard ship and arrested the captain of a Chinese ship.The captain of the Chinese ship claimed that the Japanese had been hitting his ship, and it turned into a confrontation between Japan and China.The Kan administration of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) released the captain for no reason and it has been criticized by public opinion. Meanwhile, four Japanese have been arrested and detained on suspicion of espionage in China.Tanigaki, then president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), who was the opposition party in questioning the Diet at the time, was needless arresting is incorrect. He pointed out that deportation was sufficient on the spot.
Due to opposition from China and criticism from Japan, the next Noda administration nationalized the Senkaku Islands in September 2012.As a result, the problem spreads and large-scale anti-Japanese riots erupt in China.Then Chinese ships began to invade their territorial waters.In other words, the two countries have claimed sovereignty from the beginning, and if Japan declares nationalization, it will mean abolishing the theory of shelving, and China will claim sovereignty head-on.
As a result, it can be said that the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands was correct in the current Xi Jinping administration.The declaration of nationalization will also lead to Japan-U.S. security.Tanigaki would have been more correct in dealing with a simple case of fishing boat clashes. In any case, the problem originated in Taiwan, but Senkaku Islands connected Japan and Taiwan, making it an important island for Japan-U.S. Taiwan cooperation.
It is said that Japan occupaied the Korean Peninsula as an important location.Which country is not an important place?
If Japan claims that the Korean Peninsula was independent due to the Quins-Japanese War, Japan may have gained independence from the Korean Peninsula, but the Korean people objected that it was only a key location.It's amazing to hear this all the time.I think every country is an important point of some country, but is it different?Supporting independence as an important point is also taking place in the world today.What are the problems in Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Myanmar?
Even if there is a common denominator of democracy, the military elements are indivisible.On the contrary, if there are no military factors, will other countries strengthen their armed forces?During the Great East Asian War, Japan considered all Asian countries important and expelled white countries for Asian independence.Asian countries are weak, but they want to unite and escape white rule.Are you saying you've used all of this?
If China suddenly invades Taiwan, the United States may send U.S. troops to defend Taiwan.Then there will be war.What would happen if the U.S. had killed its own people and defended Taiwan, but Taiwan's internal forces had betrayed Tsai Ing-wen's forces and approached China?The United States may abandon Taiwan or rule it.President Tsai understands the interests of each country and tries to stick to the ideology of democracy, regardless of whether it is an important place or not.
Korea, which is independent but has a backward democratic ideology, is in stark contrast to Taiwan, which is trying to protect democracy and become independent.