Will Ethiopia's default be the end of African investment? Debt trap derived from One Belt, One Road.
2024-01-13
Category:China
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ethiopian default
China's One Belt, One Road initiative is set to go even further down the road after Africa's Ethiopia defaulted on the 2nd, unable to pay interest on its debt due in December. The countries circled on the map in the image are the countries where China is primarily investing. Ethiopia, which defaulted this time, is marked in red. One Belt, One Road is a route south to Italy in Europe, but Italy has announced its withdrawal from One Belt, One Road. This is the departure of the western base. Where is Kitaji's base? It is now Kiiv, the capital of Ukraine, which is currently at war.
One Belt, One Road debt trap
Yellow countries are those with excessive debt to China. Includes Sudan and Somalia. These are the countries along the Suez Sea, including Ethiopia, which follow the Suez Canal, and China was trying to gain control of the sea route to the Mediterranean Sea. The rationale is simple: once the One Belt, One Road project starts, we can make a lot of money, so why not borrow money and prepare?
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The acquisition of African countries by the world's underground financial institution AIIB is China's national strategy.
AIIB is the world's black finance. Lending money to developing countries to realize OBOR. They provide funds that cannot be repaid, and when they are unable to repay, they seize the country's ports and other facilities. If OBOR is realized, the countries in the area will become rich. That's why it's better to borrow more and more money.
With this financing, China bought up votes in the United Nations, including African countries.
Originally, the African continent was divided into two colonies, British and French, and the British Commonwealth and French Community held the vote in the United Nations, but what is the situation like now? OBOR is China's national takeover strategy.
Communism views capitalists and managers as enemies. Workers become subordinate to capital, and capitalists who acquire large amounts of capital become figures that shake up the nation. Therefore, Chinese companies are controlled by the state as state-owned or semi-state-owned.
In modern China, the state is the capitalist. They invest in domestic and international development in the name of investing in the region and the nation.
If you look at the fact that they are subjugating developing countries to capital, they are essentially no different from the capitalists they see as their enemies.
In fact, it's even worse.
road to south africa
South Africa has the highest GDP among African economies, and it can be seen that the countries on the land route to South Africa are also trying to keep it in check. Countries other than the ones circled account for 36.9% of China's investments in Africa, so it is spreading money to almost all countries. The purpose is to buy votes from the United Nations. African countries account for approximately 28.5% of the votes in the United Nations. This is what is behind China and the West, dismissing it as a minority opinion.
Related to the Taiwan Strait
This is actually related to the Taiwan Strait issue. Mainly African countries support China's "one China principle." Africa does not want to get into trouble with its creditor country, China, over a faraway island with which they do not have any exchanges.
If the countries along the Suez Sea default, the Belt and Road initiative will end for Africa.
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[related article]
China's strategy for archipelago warfare.upside - down map reveals one's ambition to enter the Pacific Ocean
This is a map of the archipelago line from China.From China's point of view, the First Archipelago Line is designed to contain China in the ocean.The presence of American troops in Okinawa is also an important point.China cannot break through the line without the understanding of other countries, and on the contrary, it is said that U.S. nuclear submarines can easily cross the first archipelago line into Chinese territorial waters.
Now China is trying to make all the inside of the First Archipelago Line belong to China.That's Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, and the Nansha Islands .The second archipelago line runs all the way to Guam.In recent years, many Chinese ships have been seen in Japan's Ogasawara Islands.The Ogasawara Islands are located almost on the second archipelago line from the Japanese archipelago to Guam.
The Third Archipelago Line leads to Hawaii .The U.S. military has already sealed China close to China, but China aims to acquire Taiwan and the Senkaku Islands, reach the second and third islands, and eventually acquire Hawaii.If China takes over Hawaii, it will be able to attack the U.S. mainland based there.
If Taiwan is recognized by the state and Japan and Taiwan are included in the alliance, the South China Sea will be covered from the north, while China will not be able to enter the Pacific Ocean.In other words, the QUAD and Taiwan policies advocated by former Prime Minister Abe are correct .In QUAD, it would be even stronger if the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam could be introduced from Australia and India across the sea.Collaboration between Japan, the United States and Taiwan will also be able to function as part of this.
Don't let China go to the Pacific Ocean.Japan is in danger of Chinese ships and submarines from all directions.
China wants to improve relations with the EU at the summit between the EU and China - neutral position to benefit from both sides.
A summit meeting between China and the EU was held on the 1st.At a press conference after the summit, Mr. Fondairaien stressed, "In this war, Europeans will not accept any support for Russia."Xi said, "The international community should prepare the conditions and conditions for negotiations between Russia and Ukraine rather than fuel the fire and intensify the conflict."The meeting revealed that China is using the Ukraine issue to improve its relations with the EU.Some Japanese media say that China should use its position to find a way to solve the Ukraine problem, but it is better not to do so.In a big sense, it is hard to understand why liberal countries have been fighting against China's hegemonism or are trying to cope with the current invasion of Ukraine.
After a ceasefire agreement is reached with Russia, China will provide economic support to Russia at any time, and if it deals with and approaches liberal countries on this issue, it will benefit from it, and if it becomes a leader in the ceasefire, China's international standing will rise.The war should end as soon as possible, but a strange world begins to turn again.The Wigur, the Nansha Islands, Taiwan and Ukraine issues are force-driven changes and should be viewed in the same way as human rights violations.Given the significance of the issues that need to be addressed, it is highly contradictory to expect China, which is the party to the infringement of another issue, just because of the current war in Ukraine.
In the first place, doubts arose about the existence of the United Nations as permanent members of the Security Council, Russia and China.During the Cold War, East and West countries functioned as places for dialogue, but now we are not in a Cold War state, and international organizations are calling for human rights in the world, with non-liberal countries as permanent members of the Security Council.We cannot help but think that Russia and China are not fit to be permanent members of the United Nations, including the Ukraine issue, the Uighur issue, and the Taiwan issue.The world needs an international organization that is without their influence.
Can China's encirclement aim to divide China? - Cut off tax revenue for the increasingly obese Chinese Communist Party.
What is the population of China
Revival of the issue of national self-determination
Can China's autonomous regions become independent
China creates its own concept of ethnicity and promotes Hanization policy
The Uighur issue spreads to other autonomous regions
China became a Jain nation
China's weakness is its large territory
If Japan, the US, and Europe do not create a network of encirclement of China and seal it off, it will be a disaster
China is said to have a population of 1.4 billion, but the actual population is around 90 million. 90 million people is the number of Communist Party members. Isn't it possible to think of the other 1.3 billion people as workers ruled by the Chinese Communist Party, rather than citizens, assuming democratic values?
The definition of the right to national self-determination has once again become a theme. Russia's invasion of Ukraine also uses this idea as a shield. Going back in time, the Nazis also began invading neighboring countries under the pretext of protecting Germans. On the other hand, it also functioned as the right of Asian countries to become independent from colonial rule, and under international law, independence from colonial rule was an exercise of the legitimate right to self-determination.
China has various autonomous regions, all of which are inhabited by different ethnic groups. Uighur, Tibet, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, etc. During a question session in the Japanese Diet about the right to self-determination for the Uyghur Autonomous Region, former Prime Minister Koizumi was ambiguous as to whether the right to self-determination advocated by the United Nations included the right to independence (within a non-colonial state). It cites examples such as the UN's adoption of Palestine's right to independence.
In other words, since this is what China is afraid of, it is eager to implement the Hanification policy. Han people have no relation to bloodline, and have established their own ethnic definition that if you accept Chinese style, culture, and customs, you are a Han ethnic group. On top of that, it is said that they are forcibly brainwashing the Uyghurs, calling them educational facilities.
If the Uighurs were to take up arms and exercise their right to self-determination and start a war of independence, international public opinion would once again be influenced by the United Nations' definition of the right to self-determination. Depending on the outcome, there is a strong possibility that this will spread to Tibet, Inner Mongolia, Zhuang, and other areas. If you add the population of China's autonomous regions, it will be about 100 million people. However, this ethnic area is also an important resource area for China. What would happen if they left? Taiwan is difficult here. It is difficult to say that Taiwan is a separate ethnic group from China.
At the same time, China is causing border problems in all directions. You can do whatever you want in the Spratly Islands. However, the other side of the coin is that China is completely surrounded by surrounding countries and regions that are frustrated with the Chinese Communist Party. The only reason why the surrounding areas are in suspense is because of the threat of China's 1.4 billion people. No. China has 90 million people. What would happen if you thought about it?.
China's military would be weakened if it was dispersed over a wide area. What would happen if other surrounding areas also started border disputes in the event of a Taiwanese emergency? Taiwan is no fun if it only defends Taiwan. Taiwan should take control of Fujian Province. This is to create a buffer zone. The Spratly Islands should be controlled together with the Philippines and Vietnam. Then, they should conquer Yunnan Province and liberate the Zhuang Autonomous Region. This is to create a buffer zone. India will control Kashmir. And we should take control of Sichuan Province. What will happen if Uighurs and Tibet go into a war of independence?
I would like Japan to work with the United States to engage in strategic diplomacy to seriously create a network of encirclement of China. The Chinese Communist Party is a monster that controls 1.3 billion people and siphons off tax revenue. The country receives 13 times more tax revenue than a country with 100 million people and 26 times more than a country with 50 million people, making it bloated. Where in the world is there a political party with 90 million people?
They simply refer to their area of control as a nation; they call it internal affairs. If a conflict were to start in all directions in the surrounding areas, the 1.3 billion people would have no independence in the first place and would be scattered and rendered powerless. The only way to seal this monster away is to divide the country and cut off tax revenue.
China's reaction to Taiwan's presidential election remains unchanged - authoritarian country claims it does not reflect the will of the people.
Looking at the tone of Chinese commentary, there are some that simply report the facts about the results of the Taiwanese election, and some that express dissatisfaction with Japan's congratulations to the winner of the Taiwanese presidential election, but overall they are not widely covered. The reason I don't think he is there is probably because Xi Jinping's state of mind is immeasurable. Xinhua News Agency introduced statements by Chen Binhua, a spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, which is in charge of Taiwan policy in China.
“The results of these two elections in Taiwan show that the Democratic Progressive Party does not represent mainstream public opinion in Taiwan.Taiwan is China's Taiwan.This election reflects the basic pattern of cross-strait relations. The direction of development cannot be changed, the compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait cannot change the common desire to become closer and closer, and the general tendency for the motherland to ultimately maintain relations between the two countries You can't stop it. It will be unified, and it will inevitably be unified."
"Our position on resolving the Taiwan issue and achieving national reunification is consistent and our will is unwavering. We will firmly uphold the 1992 Consensus, which embodies the principle of one China. , resolutely opposes secessionist actions for "Taiwan independence" and interference by outside forces, and cooperates with relevant Taiwanese political parties, organizations, and people from all walks of life to promote mutual exchange. - Deepen cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation, deepen cross-Strait integrated development, jointly promote Chinese culture, promote the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations, and promote the great cause of national reunification. ”
This is the same spokesperson who said last year that ``Taiwan independence would mean war.'' Judging from this statement, the contents of this time are just long-winded, there is no change, and there is nothing new. Both one tone and two tone look lowered. Even if you claim that you do not represent mainstream public opinion, isn't your country a dictatorship with no regard for public opinion or the will of the people? President Xi Jinping was probably not chosen by the will of the people. China seems unable to hide its turmoil.
Japan that supported the Xinhai Revolution, Japan that protected the Last Emperor, and China that followed the West.
China's history is 72 years
Xinhai Revolution was carried out with support from Japan
The Last Emperor who sent donations for the Great Kanto Earthquake
Japan protected the exiled Puyi
Did China follow Sun Yat-sen's will
It is said that China has a history of 4,000 years, but that would be wrong. The People's Republic of China was established in 1949, so it is now 72 years old. At least since the founding of the Republic of China, it has been China, and Xi Jinping said at the 110th anniversary commemoration of the Xinhai Revolution that it is the People's Republic of China that will inherit Sun Yat-sen's will, but it is still 110 years old.
It is correct to say that human history has existed in what is now China for 4,000 years. Mainland China is an area where different ethnic groups founded various countries and then disappeared.
Sun Yat-sen was a person who learned about Japanese society and the Meiji Restoration when he defected to Japan, and succeeded in the Xinhai Revolution. They were supported by Japan's Takeshi Inukai and Toten Miyazaki. Sun Yat-sen said, ``Japan's Restoration was the cause of the Chinese Revolution, and the Chinese Revolution was the result of Japan's Restoration,'' and ``The two were originally connected to achieve the restoration of East Asia.''
In that case, wouldn't it be Sun Yat-sen and his supporters from Japan that created the current China?
It was Japan that supported the Xinhai Revolution, and Sun Yat-sen also inherited Japan's hopes for the restoration of East Asia.
Aixinjue Luo Puyi was the last emperor of China, the Xuantong Emperor, and is the so-called Last Emperor. After the Xinhai Revolution, Puyi made living in the Forbidden City a condition of his abdication. When Japan was struck by the Great Kanto Earthquake, Puyi announced that he would send donations to Japan, including a large amount of jewelry from within the Forbidden City.
Afterwards, the Beijing Coup occurred and Puyi was expelled from the Forbidden City, but Japan protected him. He approached Kenkichi Yoshizawa for protection through donations. Puyi was then protected by the Japanese concession of Tianjin.
After Japan's Kwantung Army conquered the Manchuria region, Puyi became the first emperor of Manchukuo. Although Manchukuo existed as a puppet government of Japan, Puyi lived as emperor again until the Soviet Union entered the war.
When thinking about who inherited Sun Yat-sen's will, it is not the People's Republic of China, assuming Sun Yat-sen's words, ``The two are originally connected as one and will achieve the restoration of East Asia.'' That's clear. The Chinese Communist Party is an anti-Japanese force, and current China is an anti-Japanese nation.
And even though China is in Asia, has it not sided with the West in its efforts to colonize Asia?
China sided with the West in World War II. The Potsdam Declaration was jointly signed by the United States, Britain, and China.