China's strategy for archipelago warfare.upside - down map reveals one's ambition to enter the Pacific Ocean
2022-01-19
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China's strategy for archipelago warfare
This is a map of the archipelago line from China.From China's point of view, the First Archipelago Line is designed to contain China in the ocean.The presence of American troops in Okinawa is also an important point.China cannot break through the line without the understanding of other countries, and on the contrary, it is said that U.S. nuclear submarines can easily cross the first archipelago line into Chinese territorial waters.
Now China is trying to make all the inside of the First Archipelago Line belong to China.That's Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, and the Nansha Islands .The second archipelago line runs all the way to Guam.In recent years, many Chinese ships have been seen in Japan's Ogasawara Islands.The Ogasawara Islands are located almost on the second archipelago line from the Japanese archipelago to Guam.
The Third Archipelago War confronts the U.S. mainland
The Third Archipelago Line leads to Hawaii .The U.S. military has already sealed China close to China, but China aims to acquire Taiwan and the Senkaku Islands, reach the second and third islands, and eventually acquire Hawaii.If China takes over Hawaii, it will be able to attack the U.S. mainland based there.
If Taiwan is recognized by the state and Japan and Taiwan are included in the alliance, the South China Sea will be covered from the north, while China will not be able to enter the Pacific Ocean.In other words, the QUAD and Taiwan policies advocated by former Prime Minister Abe are correct .In QUAD, it would be even stronger if the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam could be introduced from Australia and India across the sea.Collaboration between Japan, the United States and Taiwan will also be able to function as part of this.
POINT Don't let China go to the Pacific Ocean.Japan is in danger of Chinese ships and submarines from all directions.
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Will Ethiopia's default be the end of African investment? Debt trap derived from One Belt, One Road.
China's One Belt, One Road initiative is set to go even further down the road after Africa's Ethiopia defaulted on the 2nd, unable to pay interest on its debt due in December. The countries circled on the map in the image are the countries where China is primarily investing. Ethiopia, which defaulted this time, is marked in red. One Belt, One Road is a route south to Italy in Europe, but Italy has announced its withdrawal from One Belt, One Road. This is the departure of the western base. Where is Kitaji's base? It is now Kiiv, the capital of Ukraine, which is currently at war.
Yellow countries are those with excessive debt to China. Includes Sudan and Somalia. These are the countries along the Suez Sea, including Ethiopia, which follow the Suez Canal, and China was trying to gain control of the sea route to the Mediterranean Sea. The rationale is simple: once the One Belt, One Road project starts, we can make a lot of money, so why not borrow money and prepare?
South Africa has the highest GDP among African economies, and it can be seen that the countries on the land route to South Africa are also trying to keep it in check. Countries other than the ones circled account for 36.9% of China's investments in Africa, so it is spreading money to almost all countries. The purpose is to buy votes from the United Nations. African countries account for approximately 28.5% of the votes in the United Nations. This is what is behind China and the West, dismissing it as a minority opinion.
This is actually related to the Taiwan Strait issue. Mainly African countries support China's "one China principle." Africa does not want to get into trouble with its creditor country, China, over a faraway island with which they do not have any exchanges.
If the countries along the Suez Sea default, the Belt and Road initiative will end for Africa.
China wants to improve relations with the EU at the summit between the EU and China - neutral position to benefit from both sides.
A summit meeting between China and the EU was held on the 1st.At a press conference after the summit, Mr. Fondairaien stressed, "In this war, Europeans will not accept any support for Russia."Xi said, "The international community should prepare the conditions and conditions for negotiations between Russia and Ukraine rather than fuel the fire and intensify the conflict."The meeting revealed that China is using the Ukraine issue to improve its relations with the EU.Some Japanese media say that China should use its position to find a way to solve the Ukraine problem, but it is better not to do so.In a big sense, it is hard to understand why liberal countries have been fighting against China's hegemonism or are trying to cope with the current invasion of Ukraine.
After a ceasefire agreement is reached with Russia, China will provide economic support to Russia at any time, and if it deals with and approaches liberal countries on this issue, it will benefit from it, and if it becomes a leader in the ceasefire, China's international standing will rise.The war should end as soon as possible, but a strange world begins to turn again.The Wigur, the Nansha Islands, Taiwan and Ukraine issues are force-driven changes and should be viewed in the same way as human rights violations.Given the significance of the issues that need to be addressed, it is highly contradictory to expect China, which is the party to the infringement of another issue, just because of the current war in Ukraine.
In the first place, doubts arose about the existence of the United Nations as permanent members of the Security Council, Russia and China.During the Cold War, East and West countries functioned as places for dialogue, but now we are not in a Cold War state, and international organizations are calling for human rights in the world, with non-liberal countries as permanent members of the Security Council.We cannot help but think that Russia and China are not fit to be permanent members of the United Nations, including the Ukraine issue, the Uighur issue, and the Taiwan issue.The world needs an international organization that is without their influence.
The Last Emperor who appeared at the Tokyo Trials The last emperor of the Qing Dynasty and the first emperor of Manchukuo looked at the times.
The Last Emperor appeared at the Tokyo Trial
The Xinhai Revolution was a Chinese revolution supported by Japan
A revolution that had no choice but to join forces with the old dynasty forces
Russia's hand extended to the continent and peninsula
The idea of harmony between the five tribes of Manchukuo
The last emperor of the Qing Dynasty was Aixinjueluo Puyi. He was also called the Last Emperor and appeared at the Tokyo Trials. There, in front of GHQ, he praised Sun Yat-sen's Xinhai Revolution as an innovative move for China, and said that the Qing bureaucracies at the time were deeply corrupt.
The Xinhai Revolution was a Sino-Japanese joint revolution that was supported by important Japanese figures to modernize China under the rule of the former dynasty. Sun Yat-sen is Sun Yat-sen. Nakayama is a Japanese name, and it was the name of his time in exile in Japan. Puyi understood this very well.
Manchuria was a territory of the Qing Dynasty that Russia came to take over. The Qing Dynasty was a Chinese dynasty founded by the Manchu people, that is, by Puyi's ancestors.
The Xinhai Revolution had to rely on Yuan Shikai's help to suppress the Beiyang warlords, and it cannot be denied that it was a half-hearted revolution, so Puyi's conditions of residence in the Forbidden City were revoked and he was exiled.
The conflict between Russia's interests in Manchuria and the conflict on the Korean Peninsula progressed simultaneously. Russia thought it would be a good idea to colonize China, the Korean Peninsula, and Japan in the same way as Northeast Asian nations.
The Russo-Japanese War not only stopped the Russian colonization of the Korean Peninsula, but also eliminated Russian interests from Manchuria and led to the establishment of Manchukuo. Puyi then became the first emperor of Manchukuo.
Puyi, a Manchurian, was expelled from the Forbidden City and ascended the throne again in his homeland. Many workers came and went from the Korean peninsula to Manchuria, and many people from the Korean peninsula immigrated to cultivate the fertile land of Manchuria. Manchukuo's spirit of ``Five Tribes Harmony'' is an ideal that was built on the reality that these ethnic groups coexist: Japan, Korea, Manchuria, Mongolia, and the Han Chinese.
It is said that Japan was carrying out plunder and genocide on the Korean Peninsula. It's strange.
China's biggest weakness is its vast territory - We are dispersed - What is the biggest advantage of QUAD?
Advantages of the Japan-Soviet Non-Aggression Treaty
China continues to acquire underdeveloped countries
Japan at its limit along the first island chain
Make the most of the country's large land area
The biggest weakness is that the country is large
Threat to China is a deterrent
The Japan-Soviet non-aggression pact during World War II had benefits for both sides. The Soviet Union's weakness was its vast territory. If the Japanese army invaded from the east while fighting the Nazis in the west, the Soviet army would have no choice but to disperse and would have no choice. After the Nazis surrendered on May 7, the Soviet Union entered the war against Japan.
The image above shows China's archipelago strategy and its maritime route to Pakistan, known as the String of Pearls. Currently, the Spratly Islands are under control, Sri Lanka's Hampantota port has been leased to China for 99 years, and, strangely enough, a coup d'etat occurred in Myanmar and China has secured access to the Bay of Bengal by land. The Solomon Islands government has been taken over and has signed a security agreement with China, refusing to accept foreign naval vessels. It's just a stone's throw from Australia.
Japan is currently debating the defense of its first island chain. As long as Japan and Taiwan are protected, that's fine. That may be the correct answer in terms of national defense, but if China considers it difficult to capture the first island chain, it will simply put it off until later and steadily advance its maritime strategy to the west. The Chinese Communist Party gains power each time it acquires concessions, and it is unable to stop the relative increase in threats to Japan's national defense.
In other words, China is making the most of its vast territory and expanding its reach into surrounding areas. Will the countries threatened by China defend themselves with their own strength? In other words, the enemy is a mass of 14 billion people, and we are unaware that they are scattered.
The important point about QUAD, which was proposed by former Prime Minister Abe, is that it draws India in. If China and India clash in Kashmir, communist forces will disperse to the west. Military power is nothing more than a total number, and some people compare numbers and say things like that, but in this case it is meaningless. Could troops in Sichuan province participate in the invasion of Taiwan? China's biggest weakness is its vast territory.
China's maritime expansion is intended to be a game changer for the world. Simply defending the first island chain in order to counter this would be a completely different level of thinking. The theory of dividing China will only be effective on a scale that confronts China's global expansion. For China, the absolute threat of ``If you don't act, I'll surround you and tear you apart'' is itself a deterrent.
The Taiwanese emergency is a Senkaku emergency - Chinese military lieutenant general who did not deny the argument shifts responsibility by saying that it is up to Taiwan.
By the 9th, He Lei, former vice president (lieutenant general) of the Academy of Military Sciences, a Chinese military think tank, gave an exclusive interview to Kyodo News and clarified that he ``doesn't want war, but I'm not afraid of it'' regarding the Senkaku Islands in Okinawa Prefecture. Personally, I am concerned about this statement by the lieutenant general.When I asked him about the possibility of unifying Taiwan and seizing the Senkakus at the same time based on China's claim that the Senkakus are part of the "Taiwan Province," he replied, "It is not logical. If you do that, then yes,” he said without denying it.
Taiwan was the first to claim sovereignty over Uotsuri Island. Since Taiwan was in June 1971 and China was in September of the same year, it appears that China hastily raised its hand to the international community three months later. During this period, a dispute over the representative government was being held at the United Nations, and the United Nations Resolution on Albania was adopted in October 1971, which established the People's Republic of China as the representative government of China. In response to this, Japan established diplomatic relations with China in 1972, but it is said that there was an agreement to shelve the issue of the Senkaku Islands so that it would not become an issue by not making it an issue.
The graph shown shows the number of territorial sea violations by China, and it can be seen that there were almost no cases up until 2012. It began with the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands by the Noda administration in September 2012. In other words, China's reasoning is that Japan has made an issue that had been shelved. They argue that for this reason, China will also openly make territorial claims. Before that, it is Japanese territory in the first place.
The circumstances surrounding this nationalization by the Noda administration were so pathetic that they released the captain of a Chinese fishing boat that rammed the Japan Coast Guard for unknown reasons, and were unable to withstand public criticism. At the time, Governor Tanigaki argued that if he was going to be released, he should have just deported him on the spot instead of arresting him in the first place.
A statement by a lieutenant general from a Chinese military think tank places the Senkakus as Taiwan's responsibility. If the one country, two systems principle is followed, Senkaku will become Taiwan. Xi Jinping has repeatedly stated that Taiwan's independence is a trigger for an invasion of Taiwan.
The Taiwan emergency included the Senkaku issue within the Japan emergency, and there were many questions about how the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty would be activated if China publicly stated that it would maintain navigation through the Taiwan Strait and there was no attack on the Senkaku Islands. This time, China has publicly stated that the Senkaku Islands are part of it. In other words, the only objective is the small island of Senkaku, which is part of Taiwanese territory, and the question is whether the United States will participate in the war just for this island.
Now that China has made it clear that it will extend its reach to the Senkaku Islands in the event of a Taiwanese emergency, how will the Japanese government respond? Would you go and rent even 10 pandas? My thinking is almost the same as that student who yelled at the SEALDs meeting that I would drink alcohol and become better friends with him.
