China's biggest weakness is its vast territory - We are dispersed - What is the biggest advantage of QUAD?
2022-09-02
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Advantages of the Japan-Soviet Non-Aggression Treaty
The Japan-Soviet non-aggression pact during World War II had benefits for both sides. The Soviet Union's weakness was its vast territory. If the Japanese army invaded from the east while fighting the Nazis in the west, the Soviet army would have no choice but to disperse and would have no choice. After the Nazis surrendered on May ７, the Soviet Union entered the war against Japan.
China continues to acquire underdeveloped countries
The image above shows China's archipelago strategy and its maritime route to Pakistan, known as the String of Pearls. Currently, the Spratly Islands are under control, Sri Lanka's Hampantota port has been leased to China for ９９ years, and, strangely enough, a coup d'etat occurred in Myanmar and China has secured access to the Bay of Bengal by land. The Solomon Islands government has been taken over and has signed a security agreement with China, refusing to accept foreign naval vessels. It's just a stone's throw from Australia.
Japan at its limits along the first island chain
Japan is currently debating the defense of its first island chain. As long as Japan and Taiwan are protected, that's fine. That may be the correct answer in terms of national defense, but if China considers it difficult to capture the first island chain, it will simply put it off until later and steadily advance its maritime strategy to the west. The Chinese Communist Party gains power each time it acquires concessions, and it is unable to stop the relative increase in threats to Japan's national defense.
Make the most of the large land area
In other words, China is making the most of its vast territory and expanding its reach into surrounding areas. Will the countries threatened by China defend themselves with their own strength? In other words, the enemy is a mass of １４ billion people, and we are unaware that they are scattered.
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China's expansion policy is a historical necessity - Japan is the only neighboring country that did not listen.
Japan is probably the only East Asian country that has been not under Chinese control.Prince Shotoku's personal letter, "The Emperor of the rising Sun send a letter to you who is Emperor of the sun set ". declared that Japan was not a subordinate country to China.The Huns, Sun Fei, Khitan, Yeojin, Manchuria, and Mongolia were a threat to the Han nationality, and the era of the 16th Kingdom of the Five Kingdoms was a time when many ethnic groups owned the country.The Sunbae people established the Sui and Tang dynasties, the Nujin and the Manchurians established the Qing dynasties during the King Jin dynasties.
Originally, China was conscious of the northern and western continents.In order to guard against foreign invasion, the capital was relocated from Xi'an to Beijing and the Great Wall was built.The Korean Peninsula has not shown its willingness to invade China.Although it was a subordinate country, it maintained its ethnic area as a country.Unlike nomads in the northern part of the peninsula, they settled down.Due to the small area of flat land and the lack of agricultural technology, the land is poor and the number of slaves is large.When the nomadic people eat up, they just move to the next place.At the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics, the video of foreigners praising China was the essence of China, and as a result of conquest, China now exists.
The identity of China itself in history was to conquest Asia.
Mongolia, which unified the northern peoples in the past, invaded China and established a Yuan dynasties.This is the time when China's expansionary policy is the most important.To the north, the Duchy of Novgorod and other major Russian states were under control, and to the west, Poland was attacked three times.As a result, Poland became a ruined country, although it originally withdrew its troops.During this period, the Goryeo dynasties collapsed on the Korean Peninsula and returned to their original rule.
Aggression to Japan was carried out as part of Yuan's expansionary policy.As a result, the Yuan army was destroyed and Japan maintained its independence after two attacks.Historically, China has a strong belief that Asian countries are under Chinese rule.This is because China was unified by conquering Asia.Only Japan is different.China has never beaten Japan in history.
Japan is a rare country that repelled this during China's expansion and defended its independence against Western colonialism.
The biggest weakness is that the country is large
The important point about QUAD, which was proposed by former Prime Minister Abe, is that it draws India in. If China and India clash in Kashmir, communist forces will disperse to the west. Military power is nothing more than a total number, and some people compare numbers and say things like that, but in this case it is meaningless. Could troops in Sichuan province participate in the invasion of Taiwan? China's biggest weakness is its vast territory.
Threat to China is a deterrent
China's maritime expansion is intended to be a game changer for the world. Simply defending the first island chain in order to counter this would be a completely different level of thinking. The theory of dividing China will only be effective on a scale that confronts China's global expansion. For China, the absolute threat of ``If you don't act, I'll surround you and tear you apart'' is itself a deterrent.
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Will Ethiopia's default be the end of African investment? Debt trap derived from One Belt, One Road.
China's One Belt, One Road initiative is set to go even further down the road after Africa's Ethiopia defaulted on the 2nd, unable to pay interest on its debt due in December. The countries circled on the map in the image are the countries where China is primarily investing. Ethiopia, which defaulted this time, is marked in red. One Belt, One Road is a route south to Italy in Europe, but Italy has announced its withdrawal from One Belt, One Road. This is the departure of the western base. Where is Kitaji's base? It is now Kiiv, the capital of Ukraine, which is currently at war.
Yellow countries are those with excessive debt to China. Includes Sudan and Somalia. These are the countries along the Suez Sea, including Ethiopia, which follow the Suez Canal, and China was trying to gain control of the sea route to the Mediterranean Sea. The rationale is simple: once the One Belt, One Road project starts, we can make a lot of money, so why not borrow money and prepare?
South Africa has the highest GDP among African economies, and it can be seen that the countries on the land route to South Africa are also trying to keep it in check. Countries other than the ones circled account for 36.9% of China's investments in Africa, so it is spreading money to almost all countries. The purpose is to buy votes from the United Nations. African countries account for approximately 28.5% of the votes in the United Nations. This is what is behind China and the West, dismissing it as a minority opinion.
This is actually related to the Taiwan Strait issue. Mainly African countries support China's "one China principle." Africa does not want to get into trouble with its creditor country, China, over a faraway island with which they do not have any exchanges.
If the countries along the Suez Sea default, the Belt and Road initiative will end for Africa.
Both state capitalism and communism have failed in China - Unemployment rate continues to increase.
The reason why it's funny that the number of unemployed people in China is increasing is because China is a socialist and communist country. Communism rejects capitalists and defines them as the root cause of social evil that exploits people. The state confiscates the produced goods. In other words, the state controls businesses and other things that produce social benefits. Even land is not private property. The state distributes the income generated from this. Therefore, the governments of communist countries have tremendous power. Because there is only the nation and the people.
Capitalism has a completely different structure. Based on a free economy, free competition produces people who drop out and become unemployed. To prevent this, we will reduce the unemployment rate by increasing new employment. To achieve this, it is necessary to promote industry and develop new fields. Viewed in this way, both communism and capitalism have one thing in common: the economic policies carried out by the state boil down to employment policies. Companies seek sales, but the nation seeks to secure employment for all its citizens.
In that sense, communism operates from a system design that does not inherently create unemployment, whereas capitalist countries, on the other hand, have a system design that creates unemployment, and fill it with economic growth and employment policies. That's what it means.
So why is there so many unemployed people in China? In capitalist countries, when the economy is in decline, the only way to reduce the unemployment rate is to foster industry and increase employment, but communist countries must have a system designed and operated in which the state forcibly distributes goods.
In other words, the original distribution is not working. Or, vested interests have increased and they cannot control it, and communism is no longer possible. And as a result of continuing something like state capitalism, all of these things are failing.
Can China's encirclement aim to divide China? - Cut off tax revenue for the increasingly obese Chinese Communist Party.
What is the population of China
Revival of the issue of national self-determination
Can China's autonomous regions become independent
China creates its own concept of ethnicity and promotes Hanization policy
The Uighur issue spreads to other autonomous regions
China became a Jain nation
China's weakness is its large territory
If Japan, the US, and Europe do not create a network of encirclement of China and seal it off, it will be a disaster
China is said to have a population of 1.4 billion, but the actual population is around 90 million. 90 million people is the number of Communist Party members. Isn't it possible to think of the other 1.3 billion people as workers ruled by the Chinese Communist Party, rather than citizens, assuming democratic values?
The definition of the right to national self-determination has once again become a theme. Russia's invasion of Ukraine also uses this idea as a shield. Going back in time, the Nazis also began invading neighboring countries under the pretext of protecting Germans. On the other hand, it also functioned as the right of Asian countries to become independent from colonial rule, and under international law, independence from colonial rule was an exercise of the legitimate right to self-determination.
China has various autonomous regions, all of which are inhabited by different ethnic groups. Uighur, Tibet, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, etc. During a question session in the Japanese Diet about the right to self-determination for the Uyghur Autonomous Region, former Prime Minister Koizumi was ambiguous as to whether the right to self-determination advocated by the United Nations included the right to independence (within a non-colonial state). It cites examples such as the UN's adoption of Palestine's right to independence.
In other words, since this is what China is afraid of, it is eager to implement the Hanification policy. Han people have no relation to bloodline, and have established their own ethnic definition that if you accept Chinese style, culture, and customs, you are a Han ethnic group. On top of that, it is said that they are forcibly brainwashing the Uyghurs, calling them educational facilities.
If the Uighurs were to take up arms and exercise their right to self-determination and start a war of independence, international public opinion would once again be influenced by the United Nations' definition of the right to self-determination. Depending on the outcome, there is a strong possibility that this will spread to Tibet, Inner Mongolia, Zhuang, and other areas. If you add the population of China's autonomous regions, it will be about 100 million people. However, this ethnic area is also an important resource area for China. What would happen if they left? Taiwan is difficult here. It is difficult to say that Taiwan is a separate ethnic group from China.
At the same time, China is causing border problems in all directions. You can do whatever you want in the Spratly Islands. However, the other side of the coin is that China is completely surrounded by surrounding countries and regions that are frustrated with the Chinese Communist Party. The only reason why the surrounding areas are in suspense is because of the threat of China's 1.4 billion people. No. China has 90 million people. What would happen if you thought about it?.
China's military would be weakened if it was dispersed over a wide area. What would happen if other surrounding areas also started border disputes in the event of a Taiwanese emergency? Taiwan is no fun if it only defends Taiwan. Taiwan should take control of Fujian Province. This is to create a buffer zone. The Spratly Islands should be controlled together with the Philippines and Vietnam. Then, they should conquer Yunnan Province and liberate the Zhuang Autonomous Region. This is to create a buffer zone. India will control Kashmir. And we should take control of Sichuan Province. What will happen if Uighurs and Tibet go into a war of independence?
I would like Japan to work with the United States to engage in strategic diplomacy to seriously create a network of encirclement of China. The Chinese Communist Party is a monster that controls 1.3 billion people and siphons off tax revenue. The country receives 13 times more tax revenue than a country with 100 million people and 26 times more than a country with 50 million people, making it bloated. Where in the world is there a political party with 90 million people?
They simply refer to their area of control as a nation; they call it internal affairs. If a conflict were to start in all directions in the surrounding areas, the 1.3 billion people would have no independence in the first place and would be scattered and rendered powerless. The only way to seal this monster away is to divide the country and cut off tax revenue.
The Taiwanese emergency is a Senkaku emergency - Chinese military lieutenant general who did not deny the argument shifts responsibility by saying that it is up to Taiwan.
By the 9th, He Lei, former vice president (lieutenant general) of the Academy of Military Sciences, a Chinese military think tank, gave an exclusive interview to Kyodo News and clarified that he ``doesn't want war, but I'm not afraid of it'' regarding the Senkaku Islands in Okinawa Prefecture. Personally, I am concerned about this statement by the lieutenant general.When I asked him about the possibility of unifying Taiwan and seizing the Senkakus at the same time based on China's claim that the Senkakus are part of the "Taiwan Province," he replied, "It is not logical. If you do that, then yes,” he said without denying it.
Taiwan was the first to claim sovereignty over Uotsuri Island. Since Taiwan was in June 1971 and China was in September of the same year, it appears that China hastily raised its hand to the international community three months later. During this period, a dispute over the representative government was being held at the United Nations, and the United Nations Resolution on Albania was adopted in October 1971, which established the People's Republic of China as the representative government of China. In response to this, Japan established diplomatic relations with China in 1972, but it is said that there was an agreement to shelve the issue of the Senkaku Islands so that it would not become an issue by not making it an issue.
The graph shown shows the number of territorial sea violations by China, and it can be seen that there were almost no cases up until 2012. It began with the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands by the Noda administration in September 2012. In other words, China's reasoning is that Japan has made an issue that had been shelved. They argue that for this reason, China will also openly make territorial claims. Before that, it is Japanese territory in the first place.
The circumstances surrounding this nationalization by the Noda administration were so pathetic that they released the captain of a Chinese fishing boat that rammed the Japan Coast Guard for unknown reasons, and were unable to withstand public criticism. At the time, Governor Tanigaki argued that if he was going to be released, he should have just deported him on the spot instead of arresting him in the first place.
A statement by a lieutenant general from a Chinese military think tank places the Senkakus as Taiwan's responsibility. If the one country, two systems principle is followed, Senkaku will become Taiwan. Xi Jinping has repeatedly stated that Taiwan's independence is a trigger for an invasion of Taiwan.
The Taiwan emergency included the Senkaku issue within the Japan emergency, and there were many questions about how the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty would be activated if China publicly stated that it would maintain navigation through the Taiwan Strait and there was no attack on the Senkaku Islands. This time, China has publicly stated that the Senkaku Islands are part of it. In other words, the only objective is the small island of Senkaku, which is part of Taiwanese territory, and the question is whether the United States will participate in the war just for this island.
Now that China has made it clear that it will extend its reach to the Senkaku Islands in the event of a Taiwanese emergency, how will the Japanese government respond? Would you go and rent even 10 pandas? My thinking is almost the same as that student who yelled at the SEALDs meeting that I would drink alcohol and become better friends with him.
Chinese Foreign Ministry "China celebrates the election of President-elect Yoon Seok-yeol as South Korea's new president," a spokesman for China's Foreign Ministry said at a regular press conference on Tuesday. "We hope to promote healthy and stable development of bilateral relations with South Korea."
Contrary to the official stance, Chinese foreign policy experts are paying keen attention to what kind of policies Yoon will take when he mentioned China's strong opposition to the deployment of additional high-altitude missile defense systems and the quad.
Mainstream Chinese media, including Xinhua News Agency and CCTV, introduced Yoon's thoughts on "developing mutually respectful Korea-China relations," but the network of patriotic Internet media said that Yoon is considered "Korea's Trump." Chinese media "Peng Peng" said that President-elect Yoon is advocating strengthening the Korea-U.S. alliance, and introduced the analysis of Professor Wang Xiaok-ku of Jilin University that "Korea-China relations will face a relatively big challenge in the future."
Cha Hull, secretary general of the Center for International Public Opinion Research at the Chinese think tank, told the Dong-A Ilbo, "If Yoon joins the Quad, the relationship between Korea and China will deteriorate further than the THAAD situation." Cha said, "Third was a missile threat to North Korea, but Quad clearly intends to target China. If it is decided to join, China will impose strong sanctions such as restricting South Korean companies' access to the Chinese market and suspending trade." He also said, "With China set to form a new leadership at the 20th party convention this fall, the check on the public will be accepted as an attempt to obstruct and destroy it."
Former Global Times editor Hu Jintao pointed out on his social media that "Korea's trade with China is larger than the combined trade with the U.S., Japan and Europe," adding, "There is a possibility that Cheong Wa Dae will take a big step to reverse Korea-China relations."
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