Will Xi Jinping's reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised in his third term? - There is no change in his ambition to unify Taiwan.
2022-10-29
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Xi Jinping's third term begins
With the end of the Communist Party Congress and the start of Xi Jinping's third term, various reports have been made. Taken as a whole, it seems that the direction of revision of the reform and opening-up policy since Deng Xiaoping has been indicated. The results of Xi Jinping's economic policies are unclear in every sense, but it is clear that China's economy has grown due to the reform and opening-up path initiated by Deng Xiaoping, the partial introduction of market economic theory, and U.S.-China relations. Although Xi Jinping does not explicitly criticize these, what he is doing appears to be aiming for a return to the old style of Chinese socialism.
Will the reform and opening-up policy continue to be revised?
Although this is a country where individuals cannot own real estate, laws that allow individuals to buy and sell rented real estate are restricting growing real estate companies and forcing them into bankruptcy, and reining in the heads of growing companies like Alibaba. Does Xi Jinping think that these economic elements are a threat to China's socialist forces that were born on the path of reform and opening up? I have to say that his sense of being a threat is correct. This is because a liberal economy will destroy the socialist system.
Free industrial investment is essential for industrial growth
In order for the economy to continue to grow, we must ensure as much freedom as possible. There are limits to simply investing in certain industries that the country has chosen as part of its national policy. A process in which these industrial investments are opened up to the private sector, private banks are free to make industrial investments, and private companies are free to commercialize services that have never existed before is an essential condition.
What is necessary to continue economic growth
Various freedoms are essential for this, including freedom of speech, freedom of thought and belief, and academic freedom. This creates new social norms and new ways of living, which in turn leads to the creation of new products and services. Plants have a chance to flourish when they grow freely as intended.
No change in ambition to annex Taiwan
Critics say that Xi Jinping has chosen stability over growth. What is worrisome, however, is that there has been no change to the ambition to unify Taiwan. Such restorationists are likely to advocate nationalism and wage wars of aggression. You can imagine this by looking at the current President Putin.
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Four basic documents and four agreements between Japan and China - The difference between Japan - China diplomacy and Japan - Korea diplomacy is that Japan and Korea do not have accumulated diplomat
Four agreements between Japan and China signed with former Prime Minister Abe
Four basic documents during Japan and China
History of diplomacy since the restoration of diplomatic relations
The key to diplomacy amid difficult Japan-China relations
There are no accumulated assets in Japan-Korea relations
In response to the news of Prime Minister Abe's death, a Chinese spokesperson said that he had made a great contribution to the development of Japan-China relations. In 2012, the issue of the Senkaku Islands came to light and anti-Japanese demonstrations broke out, and Prime Minister Abe held a Japan-China summit meeting in APAC and reached an agreement on four points.
Four agreements between Japan and ChinaBoth sides will abide by the principles and spirit of the four basic documents between Japan and China, and They confirmed that they would continue to develop a mutually beneficial strategic relationship.
Both sides reached some consensus on the need to face history squarely, follow the spirit of looking toward the future, and overcome the political difficulties affecting bilateral relations.
Both sides recognize that they have different views on the recent tense situation in the waters of the East China Sea, including the Senkaku Islands, and through dialogue and consultation, prevent the situation from deteriorating and establish a crisis management mechanism. There was a consensus on the need to avoid unforeseen situations.
Both sides agreed to gradually resume political, diplomatic, and security dialogue by utilizing various multilateral and bilateral channels, and to strive to build a relationship of mutual political trust.
These are the four agreements that China often refers to. The four basic documents in item 1 are:
Four basic documents between Japan and China1972 Japan-China Joint Declaration1978 Japan-China Treaty of Peace and Friendship 1998 Japan-China Joint Declaration on Building a Partnership of Friendship and Cooperation for Peace and Development 2008 Japan-China Joint Statement on the Comprehensive Promotion of “Mutually Beneficial Relations”
means.
The first of the four agreements promised that both sides would abide by the treaties and agreements they had signed so far. This also means that Japan-China relations are based on four documents that Chinese spokesmen frequently comment on. Although China is a country with many problems internationally, it is said that China is principled, and this is where the diplomatic axis between Japan and China lies.
Japan-China relations and Japan-Korea relations have completely different positions and histories. However, the biggest difference is that since South Korea has scrapped all previous agreements, there are no diplomatic assets that Japan and South Korea have accumulated politically and diplomatically.
Both China and South Korea have recently become Asian countries that neither of them want to associate with, but their diplomatic relations have completely different histories.
China's biggest weakness is its vast territory - We are dispersed - What is the biggest advantage of QUAD?
Advantages of the Japan-Soviet Non-Aggression Treaty
China continues to acquire underdeveloped countries
Japan at its limit along the first island chain
Make the most of the country's large land area
The biggest weakness is that the country is large
Threat to China is a deterrent
The Japan-Soviet non-aggression pact during World War II had benefits for both sides. The Soviet Union's weakness was its vast territory. If the Japanese army invaded from the east while fighting the Nazis in the west, the Soviet army would have no choice but to disperse and would have no choice. After the Nazis surrendered on May 7, the Soviet Union entered the war against Japan.
The image above shows China's archipelago strategy and its maritime route to Pakistan, known as the String of Pearls. Currently, the Spratly Islands are under control, Sri Lanka's Hampantota port has been leased to China for 99 years, and, strangely enough, a coup d'etat occurred in Myanmar and China has secured access to the Bay of Bengal by land. The Solomon Islands government has been taken over and has signed a security agreement with China, refusing to accept foreign naval vessels. It's just a stone's throw from Australia.
Japan is currently debating the defense of its first island chain. As long as Japan and Taiwan are protected, that's fine. That may be the correct answer in terms of national defense, but if China considers it difficult to capture the first island chain, it will simply put it off until later and steadily advance its maritime strategy to the west. The Chinese Communist Party gains power each time it acquires concessions, and it is unable to stop the relative increase in threats to Japan's national defense.
In other words, China is making the most of its vast territory and expanding its reach into surrounding areas. Will the countries threatened by China defend themselves with their own strength? In other words, the enemy is a mass of 14 billion people, and we are unaware that they are scattered.
The important point about QUAD, which was proposed by former Prime Minister Abe, is that it draws India in. If China and India clash in Kashmir, communist forces will disperse to the west. Military power is nothing more than a total number, and some people compare numbers and say things like that, but in this case it is meaningless. Could troops in Sichuan province participate in the invasion of Taiwan? China's biggest weakness is its vast territory.
China's maritime expansion is intended to be a game changer for the world. Simply defending the first island chain in order to counter this would be a completely different level of thinking. The theory of dividing China will only be effective on a scale that confronts China's global expansion. For China, the absolute threat of ``If you don't act, I'll surround you and tear you apart'' is itself a deterrent.
The Last Emperor who appeared at the Tokyo Trials The last emperor of the Qing Dynasty and the first emperor of Manchukuo looked at the times.
The Last Emperor appeared at the Tokyo Trial
The Xinhai Revolution was a Chinese revolution supported by Japan
A revolution that had no choice but to join forces with the old dynasty forces
Russia's hand extended to the continent and peninsula
The idea of harmony between the five tribes of Manchukuo
The last emperor of the Qing Dynasty was Aixinjueluo Puyi. He was also called the Last Emperor and appeared at the Tokyo Trials. There, in front of GHQ, he praised Sun Yat-sen's Xinhai Revolution as an innovative move for China, and said that the Qing bureaucracies at the time were deeply corrupt.
The Xinhai Revolution was a Sino-Japanese joint revolution that was supported by important Japanese figures to modernize China under the rule of the former dynasty. Sun Yat-sen is Sun Yat-sen. Nakayama is a Japanese name, and it was the name of his time in exile in Japan. Puyi understood this very well.
Manchuria was a territory of the Qing Dynasty that Russia came to take over. The Qing Dynasty was a Chinese dynasty founded by the Manchu people, that is, by Puyi's ancestors.
The Xinhai Revolution had to rely on Yuan Shikai's help to suppress the Beiyang warlords, and it cannot be denied that it was a half-hearted revolution, so Puyi's conditions of residence in the Forbidden City were revoked and he was exiled.
The conflict between Russia's interests in Manchuria and the conflict on the Korean Peninsula progressed simultaneously. Russia thought it would be a good idea to colonize China, the Korean Peninsula, and Japan in the same way as Northeast Asian nations.
The Russo-Japanese War not only stopped the Russian colonization of the Korean Peninsula, but also eliminated Russian interests from Manchuria and led to the establishment of Manchukuo. Puyi then became the first emperor of Manchukuo.
Puyi, a Manchurian, was expelled from the Forbidden City and ascended the throne again in his homeland. Many workers came and went from the Korean peninsula to Manchuria, and many people from the Korean peninsula immigrated to cultivate the fertile land of Manchuria. Manchukuo's spirit of ``Five Tribes Harmony'' is an ideal that was built on the reality that these ethnic groups coexist: Japan, Korea, Manchuria, Mongolia, and the Han Chinese.
It is said that Japan was carrying out plunder and genocide on the Korean Peninsula. It's strange.
China's strategy for archipelago warfare.upside - down map reveals one's ambition to enter the Pacific Ocean
This is a map of the archipelago line from China.From China's point of view, the First Archipelago Line is designed to contain China in the ocean.The presence of American troops in Okinawa is also an important point.China cannot break through the line without the understanding of other countries, and on the contrary, it is said that U.S. nuclear submarines can easily cross the first archipelago line into Chinese territorial waters.
Now China is trying to make all the inside of the First Archipelago Line belong to China.That's Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, and the Nansha Islands .The second archipelago line runs all the way to Guam.In recent years, many Chinese ships have been seen in Japan's Ogasawara Islands.The Ogasawara Islands are located almost on the second archipelago line from the Japanese archipelago to Guam.
The Third Archipelago Line leads to Hawaii .The U.S. military has already sealed China close to China, but China aims to acquire Taiwan and the Senkaku Islands, reach the second and third islands, and eventually acquire Hawaii.If China takes over Hawaii, it will be able to attack the U.S. mainland based there.
If Taiwan is recognized by the state and Japan and Taiwan are included in the alliance, the South China Sea will be covered from the north, while China will not be able to enter the Pacific Ocean.In other words, the QUAD and Taiwan policies advocated by former Prime Minister Abe are correct .In QUAD, it would be even stronger if the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam could be introduced from Australia and India across the sea.Collaboration between Japan, the United States and Taiwan will also be able to function as part of this.
Don't let China go to the Pacific Ocean.Japan is in danger of Chinese ships and submarines from all directions.
falsification of China's GDP This was revealed after the collapse of the Soviet Union, but only half of its GDP was exist.In the 56 years from 1929 to 1985, national income was 90 times (actually 6.5 times).The average growth rate was 8.3 percent, but actually 3.3 percent.Even U.S. Nobel laureate Paul Samuern believes in Soviet statistics and said the Soviet Union is growing.To that extent, the method of falsifying statistics was meticulous.
The People's Republic of China, founded in 1949, has carried out reforms, but it was the Soviet Embassy that served as the headquarters.Also after Mao Zedong's Cultural Revolution and Deng Xiaoping's reform and opening-up, statistical methods continued.China is not capitalism.When foreign companies establish their own companies in China, they cannot take out the capital they have invested in because it is a joint venture.GDP tampering is effective in attracting foreign investment and does not need to be returned.
