Masatoshi Muto, a former diplomat, says that making concessions to South Korea is a mistake and that South Korea needs a firm response.
2021-07-19
Category:South Korea
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Japan-Korea diplomacy has continued to make concessions
Masatoshi Muto on his dealings with South Korea during his time as a diplomat. He says that he made a mistake by listening to everything and requesting as much as possible.
Politics of creating virtual enemy countries
When asked about the anti-Japanese movement taking place in South Korea, Taro Aso, during his time as Prime Minister, asked, ``Does that have something to do with it?'' Japanese people don't care. As a result, the term ``virtual enemy country'' became popular. The view was that South Korea was conducting an anti-Japanese movement due to domestic circumstances.
There is currently a ceasefire in the Korean War
There is no doubt that South Korea's current enemy is primarily North Korea. The Korean War is not over yet, and there is currently a ceasefire. When we see public opinion in South Korea calling Japan an enemy country while facing each other across the 38th parallel, we can't help but wonder to what extent South Korea is escaping reality.
Escaping reality takes aim at Japan, which doesn't say anything
When considered within the same framework, China is on the side of South Korea's enemy in the Korean War frame. Until now, the South Korean government has not been able to resolve security issues, and has abandoned its military and continued to focus on Japan, which has not fought back, because if it expressed hostility toward North Korea, China, or the United States, it would immediately take retaliatory measures. It's here. This is to gain the public's attention by saying something powerful. In doing so, it is easy to use stories from the past annexation era. Japan understands this environment and has tacitly tolerated South Korea's anti-Japanese movements.
Anti-Japanese is a tool to escape reality
What we need to clarify is that all of these environments are always real problems for South Korea. It seems that as long as Koreans remain anti-Japanese, they can temporarily feel as if their problems are gone. Even now, when the anti-Japan flag goes up, I forget everything due to a spinal reflex.
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Korea Real Estate Bubble This is the KOSPI chart.Why does it go up when investment from Japan has decreased by 50% and investment from the United States and the EU has decreased?You'd better imagine who's buying stocks.One is Chinese money. This is exactly what the current administration wants.Another is stock investment, which is secured by soaring real estate prices.Another is private investment by ordinary people who cannot buy real estate, even if they borrow money from rising stocks.In other words, it is a bubble.The IMF warned that Korea's household debt is above the danger level.Judging that this is a temporary phenomenon, it is better to stop borrowing money and investing in real estate and stocks to increase assets.
The Korean won is falling.It exceeded 1,240 won. The reason that Japan must not make promises with the new Korean president prematurely .
The won fell to 1,243 won against the dollar.If the Fed raises interest rates in real terms, it will fall further.The main reason is that Russia's economic prospects are pessimistic. And Yoon Seok-yeol won the presidential election on March 9 and became president on May 10.Yoon called for strengthening the U.S.-South Korea alliance and mentioned the deployment of THAAD.China accounted for 24.8 percent of Korea's exports, twice as much as the U.S., the second largest exporter.When the Park Geun Hye administration decided to deploy THAAD, China imposed severe economic sanctions.China's economic sanctions are only pessimistic for investors, so Korean investment is likely to rise further and the won is likely to fall further.
Next time, South Korea will break its promise with China
Yun Seok - yue's manifesto aims to attract and circulate capital through a free economy.Will the National Assembly become a burden that hinders this?
South Korea is wavering between pro-China and pro-US
Original regime change through social policy
A country that thinks about what is better
Yin Seok-yue promotes free economy
Promoting free competition within the country and moving towards CPTPP
Legal development by the Diet is hopeless
Is South Korea wondering whether it should join China, which has achieved growth in recent years, or join the camp of free nations such as Japan, the United States, and Europe? I guess it's a question of which is better, but it seems like a very polarizing choice.
The Moon Jae-in administration completely abandoned its pride as a democratic country without hesitation and spent five years desperately trying to join China and North Korea, a country that violates human rights at its worst, but unfortunately there was no result. Ta.
The new president, Yun Seok-Yeol, has the exact opposite policy, aiming for Korea to be a member of the Japan-U.S. and liberal camp. This seems to be the composition of the right-wing and left-wing forces in South Korea.
The left tends to seek the enhancement of social institutions, while the right tends to seek free competition and liberal democracy. This is a question of the balance between social welfare and liberal economics, and a debate about competition versus distribution. This is an issue to be debated within a democratic country, and can be said to be a universal frame.
America's two-party system is very easy to understand. Republicans and Democrats can be broadly divided on the question of whether taxes should be primarily used for public welfare, or whether they should reduce taxes in the first place and increase competitiveness in a free economy. It is also expressed in the framework of big government and small government.
The choice of domestic social policy is not a question of which country will benefit you by following, but rather a matter of foreign policy. Prior to Japan's annexation of South Korea, there was intense conflict between pro-Russian and pro-Japanese factions on the Korean peninsula. Is nothing different from that era? Another characteristic of South Korea is that its foreign policy is also its domestic policy.
Looking at Yun Seok-Yue's manifesto from the perspective of economic policy, his economic policy is to bring back the capital that fled South Korea under the Moon Jae-in administration.
In particular, the focus is not on where to focus investment and foster industry, but rather the policy appears to be aimed at attracting investors by abolishing regulations and promoting a free economy and free competition.
It appears that the plan is to aim to join the CPTPP and other liberal nation frameworks based on this liberal economic frame, but in order to realize this, it will be necessary to obstruct the various free competitions that exist within Korea. Legislation must be put in place to abolish the regulations that apply.
This is the job of the National Diet, the legislative branch, but the opposition Democratic Party of Japan still holds nearly 60% of the seats. In other words, there are many hurdles for the time being in the economic policy advocated by Yun Seok-Yeol and cooperation with liberal countries. In other words, we will have to wait for the 2024 general election.
Park Geun - hye's special pardon has been decided. What is Moon Jae - in planning? It's been 4 years and 9 months.
Former President Park Geun-hye, who was sentenced to 22 years in prison, was granted a special pardon on the 24th and will be free from midnight on the 31st. It has been 4 years, 9 months, and 1,736 days since he was arrested on March 31, 2017.
Former President Park expressed her gratitude to President Moon Jae-in. Lawyer Yoo said, ``I apologize to the people for causing so much worry.Also, thank you for your continued support and encouragement.Despite all the hardships, Moon Jae-in decided to be pardoned. I would like to express my great gratitude to the President and the government authorities.I would like to return to my job as a new soldier, concentrate on my treatment, and personally express my gratitude to the people as soon as possible,'' former President Park Geun-hye said.
The longest prison term for a South Korean president was former President Park Geun-hye's 1,736 days.
In August of this year, in the decision to parole the head of the Samsung Group, the opposition party mainly requested that Park Geun-hye be pardoned, but Moon Jae-in refused. Those seeking a pardon had called for Park Geun-hye's release on the grounds that it would eliminate the cause of national division, but the latest decision by the Blue House to grant the pardon is precisely to eliminate the division among the people.
It may be a naive point of view, but it is customary for South Korean presidents to be arrested for some crime once their term ends. Did Moon Jae-in think that Park Geun-hye would be pardoned no matter who the next president becomes? If she was to be pardoned anyway, I would be the one to be pardoned.
Does this mean that he is showing sincerity to the opposition and wants his prosecution to be overlooked? In any case, the 22-year sentence for bribery charges is shocking. This is a Japanese feeling, but since he was sentenced to prison for 4 years and 9 months, it is best that he was released.
Moon Jae-in won the presidential election despite having little political experience due to the impeachment of Park Geun-hye. Why was he pardoned at this time? It is said that Moon Jae-in was the one who sent Park Geun-hye to prison.
Moon Jae In Cancelled of Visiting Japan Prime Minister Suga's remarks at a press conference: I havsaid I will treat him with diplomatic manner if President Moon will come to Japan.Along with the announcement of the president's postponement, South Korea has expressed its hope for the success of the Tokyo Olympics and Paralympics.I would like to keep this in mind.Furthermore, in order to restore Japan-South Korea relations to a healthy relationship, we would like to continue to communicate firmly with South Korea based on Japan's consistent stance."
The first point is to respond politely to visiting Japan (meaning participate in the opening ceremony of the Olympics).It didn't mean a summit meeting.
The second point is to communicate firmly with South Korea based on Japan's consistent position (assuming that Japan does not make concessions).
Whether Moon Jae In had completely misread these two points or pretended not to understand them, they had passed each other from the very beginning.