President Yoon Seok - yeol said,
2022-03-29
Category:South Korea
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The new president does well 46%
The Hankyoreh newspaper reported that the expectation that President-elect Yoon Suk-yuei will "do well" in state affairs has dropped for two weeks since taking office, raising the prospect that he will "do poorly.Moon Jae In Compared to 46.7 percent of the respondents said they are doing well, the expectations before taking office are low.
Yoon Suk-yuei said to move his President's office to another place, but before the inauguration of the president, the ruling Democratic Party of Korea and Moon Jae In have made it unable to move offices.
Finally, Moon Jae In and Yoon Suk-yeol met
Meanwhile, the current president and the next president finally met on the 28th.Until then, the succession of the presidential office had not been realized in a tug-of-war between the ruling and opposition parties.The Hankyoreh newspaper seems to be advocating the Dalian government with the ruling party, but it seems to be quite unreasonable.This is because the election pledges of Yoon Seok-yeol and his rival Lee Jae-myung are water and oil , and there are few compatible factors.In the case of the Dalian administration, Cheong Wa Dae will have to make concessions to the ruling party in many respects, and it will end up being difficult to know what they are actually doing, even though they seem to have come together.
Nothing moves until the national election
In order to resolve the strained situation, the power of the people must win the national election in 2024 and become the ruling party.It is highly likely that many legislative bills will not pass due to resistance from the ruling party even if they implement their own policies in a twisted state for the next two years.In that sense, nothing is expected to change for a while even if he is inaugurated as the new president.How to survive the two years and win the national election will all be after that.
POINT Yoon Suk-yue is calling for improved relations with Japan and strengthening U.S.-South Korea relations, and the ruling party is insisting on keeping a distance from China.
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[related article]
processing trade What is the problem with Korea's trade deficit with Japan?The center of the Korean economy is processing trade.In other words, even if raw materials are purchased from Japan, they are sold to third countries with added value due to commercialization, so they are recorded as GDP in Korea.In other words, it's just added value and passed through.It may be trade deficit for example agricultural products imported from Japan and consumed in Korea are known, but they do not know what is wrong with processing trade.
If the cost of raw materials imported from Japan exceeds 50 percent of the cost of the product, Korea's added value will be less than 50 percent.However, this is not a trade deficit, but a cost management issue.In the first place, products that cost more than 50% of raw materials in the manufacturing industry it would hard to exist for lack of competitiveness.
Korea wants Japan to buy more products made from Japanese raw materials because of the trade deficit, but this is also meaningless.If Korea adds value to the cost of Japanese raw materials and Japan buys them, Japan will buy back the raw materials it sells, so there is no profit for Japan .This is not the cause of the trade deficit, but the competitiveness in the Japanese market.
Moon Jae In is a man who doesn't make no sense.
What happened to hydrogen fluoride - South Korea claims to have overcome Japan, but what is its relationship with product defects?
Moon Jae-in wants to say we won against Japan
Japanese hydrogen fluoride has fewer impurities
Relationship between hydrogen fluoride and defective rate
Massive recalls in America
Kona EV burst into flames again
Don't worry about exploding cars
In his farewell address, former President Moon Jae-in said that all people came together to overcome the crisis caused by Japan's unfair export restrictions. However, looking at the data, of the three export control items, hydrogen fluoride has decreased by 86% compared to fiscal 2018, while other items such as photoresist and fluorinated polyimide have remained almost unchanged.
Former President Moon Jae-in has loudly declared that hydrogen fluoride has been successfully domestically produced, but regarding the quality of hydrogen fluoride, it is Japan's hydrogen fluoride is 12N (99.9999999999%). There is talk that hydrogen fluoride, which is said to have been developed by Korea's LG Chem, may be 5N. ~N is the number 9, and 12N is 12×9. In other words, Japan's hydrogen fluoride has as few impurities as 12 nines in a row.
Hydrogen fluoride is used to clean machines and processes used in precision machinery manufacturing. What happens when there are many impurities here is an increase in the product defect rate. What about the defective rate of Korean products? Whether it went up or down, if there is no change, then whether it is 12N or not has little meaning.
On August 20, 2021, the US automobile giant General Motors (GM) expanded the scope of the recall due to the risk of fire in the battery pack installed in the electric vehicle (EV) “Chevrolet Bolt EV”. announcement. As a result of this announcement, all models of the Chevrolet Bolt EV released so far are subject to a recall. The battery manufacturer for this car is LG Chem.
In January 2022, another fire occurred in the Kona EV, in which Hyundai Motors had replaced the battery due to a recall after a series of battery fires. A fire broke out while the vehicle was running and was completely destroyed. According to Korean media, internet communities, and fire authorities, a fire accident occurred in a Kona EV that was traveling on Taean Road in South Chungcheong Province at around 6:46 pm on the 11th. The accident vehicle was a 2020 model, and the battery had been replaced due to a recall in September last year.
The explosion of lithium-ion batteries was a hot topic in the past when a Sumsung smartphone exploded into flames, but now that EV cars are being developed, the large batteries used to drive the car explode and burst into flames in the blink of an eye. It is unclear whether it has anything to do with hydrogen fluoride, but there is even a rumor that some Japanese-made hydrogen fluoride is being imported from China.
It would be surprising if they were going to such lengths to protect the country's face-to-face contact, but we should continue to pay close attention to defective products from South Korea.
The ''North-South division issue'' and the future aimed at by Kim Gu - Lee Jae-myung's assertion is an unrealizable hypothesis.
South Korean Democratic Party members Moon Jae-in and Lee Jae-myung cite Kim Gu as the politician they most respect. Kim Gu was a person who served as the president of the provisional government of the Republic of Korea. He rejected the postwar state of US-Soviet trust between North and South Korea and proposed a plan to unify the peninsula among the Korean people, but this idea was rejected by Kim Il-sung of North Korea. It was an unrealizable idea that would be denied by the United States as well. After a political dispute, Syngman Rhee, who was recommended by the United States, became president, and Kim Gu was subsequently assassinated.
Lee Jae-myung recently told a US senator that the North and South were divided because of the US. I guess he is trying to say that if he had done what Kim Gu said at that time, there would have been no Korean War or division between North and South. However, there is absolutely no basis for this "if". At that time, there were no people in Japan or abroad who supported this idea.
Kim Gu's ideas did not produce any results in the environment of the time. Based on this premise, there are no objective facts in history; all that exists is the existence of South Korea and North Korea since the founding of the nation more than 70 years ago. North Korea established the current state of North Korea without paying any attention to Kim Gu's claims.
In other words, it is logically impossible to trace back to Kim Gu's assertion what the basis for the unification of North and South is advocated by the No. 1 and No. 2 members of the Democratic Party of Japan. They are the most pro-North Korean and pro-China faction in the South Korean National Assembly. Even now, that claim is not appreciated at all by North Korea, the United States, or even China.
According to a Korean public opinion poll, the support rates for political parties are 42.4% for both opposition parties, and 39.6% for People's Power.The general election will be held this year.
According to a Korean Realmeter opinion poll conducted in the fourth and fifth weeks of March 2020, the party support rate was 44.6% for the Democratic Party of Korea, and 30.0% for the United Future Party, the predecessor of People's Power. The Realmeter survey results announced on the 15th of this month show that the Democratic Party is 42.4%, and the People's Power is 39.6%.Although the gap has narrowed, the Democratic Party's approval rating has fallen by only 2.2 points. do not have.
In the 2020 survey, 55.7% approved of Moon Jae-in, and in the current survey, 36.3% approved of President Yoon Seok-Yeol. Interpreting these figures literally, expectations for the power of the people in the legislature have increased, but the support rate for the Democratic Party has remained almost unchanged. Both parties are members of the Democratic Party, whose party is led by Lee Jae-myung, who miraculously survived the assassination that everyone thought was a farce and was discharged from the hospital after a long hospitalization. Lee Jae-myung is currently being indicted by prosecutors.
These Democratic Party supporters can be seen as a rock-solid support group that will continue to support any party leader no matter what. Are these people who make a living through trade with China, and whose livelihoods are directly connected to their support for China? South Korea's trade dependence is 81.9% of GDP. The pro-Japanese and pro-American and pro-China and pro-North Korean compositions were one of the themes brought to light by Moon Jae-in, who stirred up the No Japan movement, but the essential issue is the economy. How far has the withdrawal from China's economy progressed?
In the Facebook group of the author who co-authored ``Anti-Japanese Tribalism,'' it is clear that the number of posters and viewers has decreased dramatically since Yun Seok-yeo became president. Is it because the No Japan movement has subsided? In that case, would those people have been better off if the No Japan movement had disappeared? I wonder how many people out there just wish they could drink Japanese beer. In other words, were the pro-Japanese simply rebelling against the intense anti-Japanese movements that were taking place? At least what we can say is that the power of pro-China, pro-North Korean forces does not seem to be weakening.
If we go into the 2024 general election in this state, there is a high possibility that the Democratic Party will once again control the largest number of seats. If this is the case, the Yun Seok-Yue administration will be run in a twisted manner throughout his term. Anti-Japanese issues are also legal issues. South Korea is a country with no anti-Japanese convictions. Since the Democratic Party is the most powerful party in both countries, it is difficult to bring about social change through legislation, and there is a high possibility that an anti-Japanese leftist president will be elected again in the next presidential election.
Korea Real Estate Bubble This is the KOSPI chart.Why does it go up when investment from Japan has decreased by 50% and investment from the United States and the EU has decreased?You'd better imagine who's buying stocks.One is Chinese money. This is exactly what the current administration wants.Another is stock investment, which is secured by soaring real estate prices.Another is private investment by ordinary people who cannot buy real estate, even if they borrow money from rising stocks.In other words, it is a bubble.The IMF warned that Korea's household debt is above the danger level.Judging that this is a temporary phenomenon, it is better to stop borrowing money and investing in real estate and stocks to increase assets.