The new President Yoon Seok - yeol will be confused by many obstacles to its government.The general election will be held in ２０２４.
2022-03-10
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The new government begins in a twisted state
Yoon Seok-yul, the president, will be worried about the distortion with Congress.The Democratic Party which is ruling party has １７２ seats (５８.３１ percent).It is still difficult to determine how the president can implement his policies in this power map.If you look at the presidential authority of the Korean Constitution, there are Articles ５３, ７３ and ７４.Article ７３ is the authority to sign diplomatic treaties and Article ７４ is the command of the military.Article ５３ provides the right to request reconsideration of a parliamentary resolution.Article ４９ states that the bill will be approved by a majority of lawmakers and a majority of those present, but if the president requests reconsideration, it will require a majority of attendance and a ２/３ votes .If the figure is to rise from ５８.３１ percent to ６７ percent, the ruling party will have to add to win ２５ votes in favor.
Will the full launch be after ２０２４
The ruling party's bill is likely to be rejected if it is returned.However, since this is a request for reconsideration of the bill already approved in Congress, the bill submitted by the opposition party "People's Power" is likely to be overthrown by the ruling party in Congress.In other words, Yoon will have to wait for the ２０２４ general election to take effect.Before that, various bills could be rejected by Congress, and the Manifesto incident could be eliminated.In this environment, diplomatic rights such as strengthening the ROK-U.S. alliance may be exercised to sign treaties or agreements.
Prime Minister Kishida is also eager to improve relations
Yoon Seok-yeol is also eager to improve relations between Korea and Japan.In response, Prime Minister Kishida said, "It is important to communicate closely with the new president and the new administration in order to restore sound relations based on Japan's consistent position.I want to see the new government's movements in the future and talk to the new government."Yoon Seok-yeol said in her manifesto, "Japan's apology and compensation are the prerequisite for improving relations between Korea and Japan," drawing attention to future developments."
The presidential election that divides the country
In any case, he won the presidential election, but the difference in votes was less than １ percent, ０.７３ percent, and half of the people supported the opposition candidate.
POINT It is difficult to determine how far policies can be implemented with presidential authority alone.Anti-Japanese forces are still strong.
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Representative Yuko Obuchi appeared at the Japan - Korea summit meeting *A wedge telling South Korea not to forget what she said. A meeting and dinner was held between Prime Minister Kishida and President Yun Seok-Yeol, and a press conference was held without a joint statement.
What has been decided is the resumption of shuttle diplomacy and the lifting of restrictions on three strategic items. In reality, the matter falls under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, but the actual content is that the leaders met together to confirm the matter.
Regarding the lifting of restrictions on strategic substances, in reality there will be no major changes in distribution from Japan, and the 2019 restrictions will not reduce or stop exports, so nothing will actually change.
In particular, President Yun Seok-Yeol raised the issue of North Korea and showed South Korea's cooperative attitude toward Japan, but this has only confirmed that this is back on track. This is natural since the North Korea issue is being dealt with through the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty and the U.S.-South Korea Security Treaty.
At the very least, future shuttle diplomacy should ask what South Korea can do for Japan, rather than the diplomatic relations that have been the case in the past, where Japan did something unilaterally.
That's what makes for healthy diplomatic relations. I can't think of anything specific that South Korea has done for Japan. No one is looking for diplomatic relations that involve chatting at the table and asking for wads of money under the table.
The next day, the Japanese media focused on the meeting between Suga, president-elect of the Japan-Korea Parliamentary Federation, and President Yun Seok-yeoul, but what I wanted to draw attention to was the woman in the very edge of the photo.
She is Yuko Obuchi, a lawmaker, and the daughter of former Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi. The reason I wondered why she was in this seat was because I remember her not holding any government-related positions.
What really struck me was the 1998 Japan-Korea Joint Declaration. President Yun Seok-Yeol insists that Japan-Korea relations should return to the Japan-Korea Joint Declaration, but the question is how to return. And Japan complies with all of the Japan-Korea Joint Declaration. Returning would be a problem only for the Korean side.
The points of the 1998 Japan-Korea Joint Declaration are as follows.
Japan-Korea Joint DeclarationHolding of the 2002 FIFA World Cup
Promoting Japan-Korea economic cooperation
Opening of Japanese culture in Korea
Fisheries agreement around Takeshima in accordance with the new United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea
Response to North Korea issue
The holding of the Japan-Korea World Cup and the influx of Korean Wave content all stemmed from this joint declaration.
The Japan-Korea Joint Declaration was signed by President Kim Dae-jung, but the Japan-Korea World Cup was said to be the worst tournament in FIFA history, and it became unclear whether it was an anti-Japan movement or a soccer tournament.
Less than two years later, the South Korean National Assembly passed a resolution to invalidate this joint declaration. Japanese people must not forget that the area around Takeshima was subsequently filled with Korean fishing boats again, resulting in the current state of Takeshima.
The Japanese representative who concluded this agreement was former Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi. South Korea has completely torn up not only the 1965 Agreement, but also the 1988 Agreement.
Was Representative Yuko Obuchi invited to this meeting as a symbolic icon? In other words, this seems to have driven a wedge that returning to the Japan-South Korea Joint Declaration is the goal of the talks. It's about not forgetting what I said. Does the Korean side actually understand the meaning of this? I don't think they understand.
In conclusion, returning to the Japan-Korea Joint Declaration would be a very high hurdle. This joint declaration was scrapped because of the Takeshima issue. Perhaps the Korean side only understands this declaration as a resumption of cultural exchange.
The South Korean government is lying about holding the Japan - Korea summit meeting - A country that lies about the results of diplomatic negotiations It is full of lies to begin with.
Japan-Korea summit meeting is another lie
Japan reacts to lies
Korea prioritizes pride
What all historical questions have in common
Kim Tae-hyo, First Deputy Director-General of the National Security Office of the South Korean presidential palace, announced that they had agreed to hold a summit meeting in conjunction with the General Debate Address at the United Nations General Assembly, which will be held in New York from the 20th of this month, and that they are coordinating the time. According to the presidential office, the meeting is expected to last about 30 minutes, and the agenda has not yet been decided. Regarding the announcement that Japan had agreed to hold a Japan-South Korea summit, Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno said at a press conference on the same day, ``Nothing has been decided at this point.'' What I personally noticed about this issue was the difference in the reactions of the people of the two countries.
Japanese people's reaction is largely a reaction to their government blatantly lying about the content of diplomatic negotiations between countries. Up until now, the American and Japanese governments have often denied that the South Korean government has agreed to diplomatic negotiations, even though they have not, or that they have agreed on the direction of the deal. I have the impression that this is the case again, but what Japanese people react to is the act of lying.
Looking at South Korea's reaction, they told us not to flatter Japan and why they wanted to hold a Japan-Korea summit meeting. Don't embarrass the Korean people. That is the criticism. In other words, even though there are various circumstances surrounding this issue with the Korean government, the people of both countries are focusing on completely different aspects of the same fact.
This problem seems to be related to historical awareness. I can't help but feel that there are completely different emotions about the same fact, or that the facts are changed by those emotions. Not only historical understanding, but even the details of the most recent negotiations between the two countries are being fabricated.
Lee Jae - myung, a South Korean presidential candidate, is frightened by the prosecution.An investigation battle that began before the election.
Meanwhile, Democratic Party presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung said yesterday, "If I lose this time, I will be sentenced to prison for making a crime."Lee said in a speech on the side road of Seokchon Lake in Songpa-gu, "The prosecution republic will be held.The fear of the prosecution republic is not just the sound of the wind, but the sound of the wind coming before us.It's really scary."
Lee's eldest son (29) is suspected of gambling and buying money.Lee was found guilty of violating the public election law for making false statements about his brother's forced hospitalization after the 2018 governorial election.Despite the crisis of losing his job, the Supreme Court reversed his decision.The Supreme Court justice, who acquitted at the time, was found to have been an advisor to a company involved in the Daejang-dong scandal after retirement, raising suspicions that he had an affair with an actress and a criminal record of drunk driving.
Under the Moon Jae In administration, a public investigation office was set up to separate the investigation of high-ranking government officials from the prosecution, but Moon Jae In was criticized for protecting itself by establishment this organization.Yoon criticized the prosecution for investigating Lee Jae-myung's rival, Yoon Seok-yeol, and even investigating his phone records.
Lee Jae-myung said he would be sent to prison if he lost the election, but the left-wing government wants to arrest Yoon Seok-yeol by using the Public Prosecutors' Office.
He seems to be frightened by the fear that what he is trying to do will eventually come to himself.In Korean politics, retaliation using prosecution power is common.
Moon Jae In wants pictures. Looking at the four years of Moon Jae In, it seems that they think that meeting heads of state and chatting with each other will make the world peaceful.Although the North-U.S. dialogue broke down due to Moon Jae In talked lies, Moon Jae In was just wanted to be photographed on camera, and after joint liaison office between the two Koreas was bombed.In ASEAN suddenly approached former Prime Minister Abe and took a picture they were sitting with Moon Jea In for a few miutes."At the Tokyo Olympics, Japan, South Korea, China and North Korea proposed a four-way summit, but the contents are unclear.When we meet, the world will be at peace.Now it is invalid because North Korea is not participating, but I don't understand why he want to meet the prime ministers.He still seems to think that he can achieve it just leaders meet.
