According to a Korean public opinion poll, the support rates for political parties are ４２.４% for both opposition parties, and ３９.６% for People's Power.The general election will be held this year.
2024-01-20
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Survey results showing high support for opposition parties
According to a Korean Realmeter opinion poll conducted in the fourth and fifth weeks of March ２０２０, the party support rate was ４４.６% for the Democratic Party of Korea, and ３０.０% for the United Future Party, the predecessor of People's Power. The Realmeter survey results announced on the １５th of this month show that the Democratic Party is ４２.４%, and the People's Power is ３９.６%.Although the gap has narrowed, the Democratic Party's approval rating has fallen by only ２.２ points. do not have.
The Democratic Party remains almost unchanged.
In the ２０２０ survey, ５５.７% approved of Moon Jae-in, and in the current survey, ３６.３% approved of President Yoon Seok-Yeol. Interpreting these figures literally, expectations for the power of the people in the legislature have increased, but the support rate for the Democratic Party has remained almost unchanged. Both parties are members of the Democratic Party, whose party is led by Lee Jae-myung, who miraculously survived the assassination that everyone thought was a farce and was discharged from the hospital after a long hospitalization. Lee Jae-myung is currently being indicted by prosecutors.
China's economy supports the bedrock support layer
These Democratic Party supporters can be seen as a rock-solid support group that will continue to support any party leader no matter what. Are these people who make a living through trade with China, and whose livelihoods are directly connected to their support for China? South Korea's trade dependence is ８１.９% of GDP. The pro-Japanese and pro-American and pro-China and pro-North Korean compositions were one of the themes brought to light by Moon Jae-in, who stirred up the No Japan movement, but the essential issue is the economy. How far has the withdrawal from China's economy progressed?
Right-wing movement is declining
In the Facebook group of the author who co-authored ``Anti-Japanese Tribalism,'' it is clear that the number of posters and viewers has decreased dramatically since Yun Seok-yeo became president. Is it because the No Japan movement has subsided? In that case, would those people have been better off if the No Japan movement had disappeared? I wonder how many people out there just wish they could drink Japanese beer. In other words, were the pro-Japanese simply rebelling against the intense anti-Japanese movements that were taking place? At least what we can say is that the power of pro-China, pro-North Korean forces does not seem to be weakening.
Will there be another left-wing government?
If we go into the ２０２４ general election in this state, there is a high possibility that the Democratic Party will once again control the largest number of seats. If this is the case, the Yun Seok-Yue administration will be run in a twisted manner throughout his term. Anti-Japanese issues are also legal issues. South Korea is a country with no anti-Japanese convictions. Since the Democratic Party is the most powerful party in both countries, it is difficult to bring about social change through legislation, and there is a high possibility that an anti-Japanese leftist president will be elected again in the next presidential election.
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An Jung-geun's son An Jun-seong, who assassinated Ito Hirobumi. The reconciliation that took place at the Gyeongseong Chosun Hotel and the man named Kim Gu who could not be forgiven
I think everyone knows about Ito Hirobumi. He was assassinated at Harbin Station on October 26, 1909, the year before the Japan-Korea Annexation. The man who carried out the assassination was An Jung-geun. He is still a hero in Korea. On October 15, 1939, a certain person visited a temple called Hakubunji Temple in Korea, which no longer exists, to offer a memorial service. It was An Jung-geun's son, An Jun-seong. He visited as part of a Korean Peninsula Manchuria ship inspection team from Shanghai. The purpose was to offer a memorial service for Ito Hirobumi, who was murdered by his father, An Jung-geun.
The memorial service began at 11:00 and An Jung-geun's memorial tablet was placed next to Ito Hirobumi's portrait. An Jun-seong offered a memorial service for his father An Jung-geun and Ito Hirobumi, and Komada, who recited a sutra, handed An Jung-geun's memorial tablet to him and advised him to mourn the souls of the two men forever.
Afterwards, An Toshio told a reporter who had come to interview him. He lost his father at a young age and neglected to perform the rituals for 30 years. He now prays for the repose of Prince Ito's soul and is happy to receive his father's memorial tablet.
■english subtitles available
The next day, on the 16th, An Toshio headed to the Gyeongseong Chosun Hotel. He was there to meet someone. The person he was meeting was Ito Bunkichi, the son of Ito Hirobumi. In response to An Toshio's request to apologize to Ito Bunkichi, Ito Bunkichi replied: "Our father has already become a god, a Buddha, and returned to the sky." What do we need to apologize for now? Let's be sincere and serve our country instead.
Then, on the following day, the 17th, Ito Bunkichi and An Toshio visited Hakubunji Temple and performed an exchange memorial service for each other's fathers. In Korea, it is firmly believed that Ito Hirobumi was a proponent of the Seikanron, which is Japan's conquest and rule of Korea. Why does it have to be this way? It is thought that Koreans mistakenly believe that Ito was a proponent of the Japan-Korea Annexation because Ito was the governor-general of the Government-General of Korea. However, Ito Hirobumi was opposed to the Japan-Korea Annexation throughout.
An Jung-geun assassinated Ito Hirobumi without even knowing his face. In his autobiography, he clearly wrote that he did not know Ito's face. Ito was no longer the Prime Minister or the Governor-General at the time. He took responsibility for the failure of the policy of reconciliation with Korea and resigned. An Jung-geun shot and killed Ito Hirobumi at Harbin Station. An Jung-geun was arrested on the spot, and after being sentenced to death in court, he said in prison that he had made a serious mistake.
In 1939, An Jung-geun's son An Jun-seong held a memorial service for Ito at Hakubunji Temple, met with Ito's son Ito Bunkichi at the Chosun Hotel, apologized, and reconciled. Kim Gu, an independence activist, could not forgive this. At the time, Kim Gu was an important member of the anti-Japanese Provisional Government of the Republic of Korea, and the following year in 1940, he became its chairman. An Jun-seong ran a pharmacy in Shanghai, but Kim Gu framed An Jun-seong for the trumped-up charge of selling opium and asked Chiang Kai-shek, the head of the Republic of China at the time, to execute him. It seems that he was quite angry, but what does this mean? Kim Gu was furious that An Jung-geun's son apologized for the murder of his father, Ito Hirobumi, and that he spoke about it in front of the media. An Jung-geun must be a hero. He must be used as a hero for the anti-Japanese independence movement. This was the hope of the forces seeking independence.
In other words, to them, Ito Hirobumi is a proponent of the Japanese-Korean annexation, and should not be the subject of reconciliation. It is not that Koreans have misunderstood somewhere and think that Ito Hirobumi promoted the Japan-Korea annexation, but it is clearly fabricated by the system. The fact that Ito was against the annexation. That An Jung-geun did not even know what Ito looked like. That An Jung-geun said that the assassination was a serious mistake. The fact that the surviving family has already reconciled should not be known in Korea. And it can be said that even today, there are very few Koreans who know this fact. In order to keep An Jung-geun a hero, Ito Hirobumi will forever be a proponent of the Japanese-Korean annexation and an enemy of Korea.
On January 28, 2023, a survey by the Korea Cinema Ticketing Network announced that "Hero," a movie based on An Jung-geun, which was released on December 21 of the previous year, had exceeded 3 million viewers in the 38 days since its release. Three million people is about 5.8% of the population of South Korea.
Korea Real Estate Bubble This is the KOSPI chart.Why does it go up when investment from Japan has decreased by 50% and investment from the United States and the EU has decreased?You'd better imagine who's buying stocks.One is Chinese money. This is exactly what the current administration wants.Another is stock investment, which is secured by soaring real estate prices.Another is private investment by ordinary people who cannot buy real estate, even if they borrow money from rising stocks.In other words, it is a bubble.The IMF warned that Korea's household debt is above the danger level.Judging that this is a temporary phenomenon, it is better to stop borrowing money and investing in real estate and stocks to increase assets.
Election officials collect voting papers in South Korea's presidential election?an abnormal situation in which one cannot enter a ballot box directly.
Electors were unable to properly manage voting papers during the pre-voting process for those who were confirmed and quarantined on May 5, causing confusion.Some voters protested, saying, "It violates the principle of direct and secret voting," as election workers collected voting papers instead of putting them directly in the ballot box.Some polling stations put voting papers in baskets and transported them, saying, "We don't do this in the election for school president and mayor."The ruling and opposition parties visited the National Election Commission in protest.The National Election Commission said, "It was insufficient for voting management, but there was absolutely no illegal possession," and decided to hold an emergency meeting on July 7 to prepare measures to vote in Japan.
This is a surprising incident, but is it possible in Korea?It is surprising that election officials collect voting papers.In the 2020 general elections in Korea, the ballot box itself was suspected to be replaced and there was a big problem with illegal elections, and this is like this in the presidential election.Moon Jae In said yesterday, "It is regrettable mistake, and the NEC should explain the situation," while Lee Jae-myung said, "We should take thorough measures to prevent confusion in the main vote on June 9."In the first place, it can be said that no countermeasures have been taken even though there was such a disturbance in the 2020 general election.The president's Moon Jae In and the ruling Democratic Party should had taken the measures together.
In the 2020 election, there was a lot of controversy over the illegal election.Korea uses an electronic ballot counting system and its communication equipment is made by Huawei.It is unclear why China is introducing Chinese products into the voting system because it is not a democracy, but some point out that the results of the vote counting may have been falsified due to illegal access from China.A professor at the University of Michigan said, "The ruling party's landslide victory in the general election is statistically abnormal, and there are many illegal votes that is enough to change the president-elect, and he published a paper about that.
Korea makes fun of Japan as a democratic backward country, but in Japan, election clerks cannot collect voting papers.That is, it has been taken care of in Japan.
The new President Yoon Seok - yeol will be confused by many obstacles to its government.The general election will be held in 2024.
Yoon Seok-yul, the president, will be worried about the distortion with Congress.The Democratic Party which is ruling party has 172 seats (58.31 percent).It is still difficult to determine how the president can implement his policies in this power map.If you look at the presidential authority of the Korean Constitution, there are Articles 53, 73 and 74.Article 73 is the authority to sign diplomatic treaties and Article 74 is the command of the military.Article 53 provides the right to request reconsideration of a parliamentary resolution.Article 49 states that the bill will be approved by a majority of lawmakers and a majority of those present, but if the president requests reconsideration, it will require a majority of attendance and a 2/3 votes.If the figure is to rise from 58.31 percent to 67 percent, the ruling party will have to add to win 25 votes in favor.
The ruling party's bill is likely to be rejected if it is returned.However, since this is a request for reconsideration of the bill already approved in Congress, the bill submitted by the opposition party "People's Power" is likely to be overthrown by the ruling party in Congress.In other words, Yoon will have to wait for the 2024 general election to take effect.Before that, various bills could be rejected by Congress, and the Manifesto incident could be eliminated.In this environment, diplomatic rights such as strengthening the ROK-U.S. alliance may be exercised to sign treaties or agreements.
Yoon Seok-yeol is also eager to improve relations between Korea and Japan.In response, Prime Minister Kishida said, "It is important to communicate closely with the new president and the new administration in order to restore sound relations based on Japan's consistent position.I want to see the new government's movements in the future and talk to the new government."Yoon Seok-yeol said in her manifesto, "Japan's apology and compensation are the prerequisite for improving relations between Korea and Japan," drawing attention to future developments."
In any case, he won the presidential election, but the difference in votes was less than 1 percent, 0.73 percent, and half of the people supported the opposition candidate.
It is difficult to determine how far policies can be implemented with presidential authority alone.Anti-Japanese forces are still strong.
Some countries are saddened by the sad news about former Prime Minister Abe, while others are happy - as expected, South Korea was the only democratic country to be happy.
Condolences received from various countries
South Korea welcomes people while twisting logic
Results opposite to Korea's expectations
Is your country's character different from that country?
Improving relations seems far off
In response to the sad news about former Prime Minister Abe, condolences have been pouring in from heads of state around the world, with many comments from democratic countries in particular saying that the world has lost a great leader. Mr. Trump, who was a close friend of Mr. Trump, immediately sent an extraordinary message of regret. However, there are countries that are completely different even if they are democracies. As you can imagine, it's South Korea.
Some South Korean articles say that with the death of former Prime Minister Abe, Japan's right-wing forces have lost their unifying force, and that members of parliament seeking to improve Japan-Korea relations have gained relative strength, leading to Prime Minister Kishida becoming a This means that they will be able to exercise their options. What on earth does this mean? It seems like they want to say that this is a good sign for improving relations with Japan.
There is no doubt that Mr. Abe was the spiritual pillar of Japan's right-wing movement. But the problem comes after that. After receiving the sad news about Abe, the members of the Diet who have close ties to him have regained their composure and strengthened their resolve to carry on Abe's will. This is clear from the statements made by these legislators and on Twitter. Rep. Rui Matsukawa and others have clearly expressed their feelings and made strong statements even at press conferences after securing victory.
In other words, with the death of former Prime Minister Abe, Mr. Abe's resolve has become firmer in his long-awaited efforts to revise the constitution and break away from the post-war regime in order to restore Japan's prestige. In other words, the current situation is completely opposite to that country's irritating predictions.
Japanese people don't have the emotions that most people in Korea usually expect. Even if people and towns are swept away by the tsunami, reconstruction begins the next day. Korea must have been very happy at this time as well. In response to this sad news about Mr. Abe, there is a completely distorted and eerie feeling that is visible as if people are welcoming Mr. Abe's death while calling for improved relations with Japan.
As long as we keep saying things like that, there will be no improvement in relations between Japan and South Korea. When will they be able to see events in a normal way? Will such a day ever come? The future is beyond imagination.
