Yoon Seok - yeol wins the ２０th presidential election...with a narrow margin of １ percentage point.
2022-03-10
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Yoon Seok-yeol will be the president of Korea
Yoon Seok-yeol of the opposition party won the ２０th presidential election by a narrow margin of １ percent.Conservative parties have taken back the chair where pro-China and pro-North Korean left-wing presidents sat for five years.Yoon strongly criticized the Moon Jae In administration's policies and is eager to improve relations with Japan by taking a pro-U.S. stance.However, there are many concerns.
In the beginning, there are many difficulties
The future of the Korean economy, which relies heavily on the Chinese economy, is uncertain because the Democratic Party won about ６０% of the seats in the ２０２０ general elections and Yoon Seok-yeol mentioned the deployment of THAAD.And even if Japan is eager to improve relations, it is based on Japan's apology and compensation, and in fact, it is drawing a starting line in the same place as the Moon Jae In administration.
The Japanese government is expected to remain parallel for a while because it is difficult to change its position that it has already been resolved through the Japan-South Korea Claim Agreement and the Japanese Military Sexual Slavery Agreement.However, the anti-Japanese movement is expected to subside as Korea's anti-Japanese sentiment is limited to Japanese Military Sexual Slavery and recruitment issues, but the Japanese government is expected to use U.S. power to demand an apology from Japan.
Anti-Japanese areas support Lee Jae-myeong
The election results are close to １%, so regions with significant results are:
North Gyeongsang Province: ７２.８３% for Yoon Seok-yeol, ２３.７３% for Lee Jae-myeong
North Jeolla Province: ８３.０５% for Lee Jae-myeong, １４.３６% for Yoon Seok-yeol
South Jeolla Province: Lee Jae-myeong ８６.２２%, Yoon Seok-yeol １１.３４%
Gwangju Metropolitan City: Lee Jae-myeong ８５%, Yoon Seok-yeol １２.５６%
The difference is between ５% and ２０% at most, regardless of which of the four regions is dominant.In any case, Lee Jae-myung's approval rating is close to １ percent depending on the Honam region.Lee Jae-myung won only in Gyeonggi Province, Sejong Special Self-Governing Province, and Jeju Special Self-Governing Province.I heard that Moon Jae In also became president with the support of the Honam region.This is an enthusiastic pro-China anti-Japanese area, and this is probably the central area where they want to sell their seafood by inciting harmful rumors of Fukushima Prefecture seafood and criticizing Fukushima treated water.
POINT First of all, it's a good thing that a conservative president takes office as a choice for better one, but Japan needs to calmly identify the other person.
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South Korean Foreign Minister Park Jin strives to resolve the forced labor and comfort women issue - What does the Korean economy, where the won continues to be weak, demand from Japan?
South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs is extremely knowledgeable
South Korea is keen on repairing Japan-Korea relations
Korea's diplomatic techniques that you can't let your guard down
True feelings about getting close to Japan
Excited about swapping
To what extent will the Japan-Korea issue be resolved
Clarify what relationship improvement means
Special treatment is over
South Korean Foreign Minister Park, who is visiting Japan, emphasized that regarding the issue of labor recruitment lawsuits, ``We are making efforts within South Korea to find a desirable solution before cashing out,'' and added, ``The Japanese side also responded with a sincere response.'' I would appreciate it if you could give me that."
Mr. Nukaga, who met with him after the meeting, told reporters that he "intended to respect" the 2015 comfort women agreement that confirmed the "final and irreversible resolution" of the comfort women issue. I made it.
The current Yun Seok-Yue administration appears to be eager to repair relations with Japan. Before he took office as president, he sent a delegation of members of Congress to express his sincerity, and after taking office, the Minister of Foreign Affairs has shown an attitude of fully accepting the intentions of the Japanese side. But don't let your guard down.
The South Korean government's approach so far has been to extract some kind of concession from Japan, take it as a diplomatic credit, and then try to make a temporary move, and the pattern is to come back to it again and again.
Japan should negotiate without losing its stance that there is nothing Japan can do. In reality, the issue of post-war compensation has already been resolved in all agreements between Japan and South Korea.
The Korean won continues to be at a low price with no signs of rising. Due to the impact of interest rate hikes and the Bank of Korea trying to recover the won spent during the coronavirus pandemic, corporate investment will slow down. Since the won is not depreciating as sharply as before, it seems that the price is not falling off a cliff and is managing to cope even with the price dropping to around 1,300 won.
The US Federal Reserve has also begun withdrawing dollars from the market and raising interest rates. The Korean government wants to carry out another swap and looks at the American expression, but its expression remains firm. That's why it's Japan. I would like to somehow conclude a swap with the key currency to provide peace of mind.
Although South Korea has experienced economic growth, its industrial structure is a chaebol economy that generates profits through processing trade through bulk purchases and bulk sales, so domestic demand never grows, and it is greatly affected by exchange rate fluctuations. The national debt is increasing, household debt has exceeded GDP, and land prices in Seoul continue to soar, making it difficult to see when they will rebound. There is nothing wrong with the fact that Won is vulnerable.
The Japan-Korea issue is not just about the forced labor issue or the comfort women issue. In addition to the Takeshima issue, South Korea has broken all of the agreements that Japan and South Korea have concluded to date. The Japan-Korea joint declaration was left blank. The issue of excluding countries from the White List stems from concerns about the transfer of funds to North Korea and third countries.
Just because the issue of forced labor, which is about to be turned into cash, and the issue of comfort women, where statues of comfort women are being erected all over the world, are recent issues, it is normalization because these two issues have been resolved. Would you? In the first place, when South Korea refers to normalization, it means that they want to go back to the days when they were given special treatment.
Why did South Korea become a white country? Why did Japan do swaps during two economic collapses? This is only because Korea was given special treatment. It should be made clear that there will never again be a time when relations are treated as special even though they have been normalized.
processing trade What is the problem with Korea's trade deficit with Japan?The center of the Korean economy is processing trade.In other words, even if raw materials are purchased from Japan, they are sold to third countries with added value due to commercialization, so they are recorded as GDP in Korea.In other words, it's just added value and passed through.It may be trade deficit for example agricultural products imported from Japan and consumed in Korea are known, but they do not know what is wrong with processing trade.
If the cost of raw materials imported from Japan exceeds 50 percent of the cost of the product, Korea's added value will be less than 50 percent.However, this is not a trade deficit, but a cost management issue.In the first place, products that cost more than 50% of raw materials in the manufacturing industry it would hard to exist for lack of competitiveness.
Korea wants Japan to buy more products made from Japanese raw materials because of the trade deficit, but this is also meaningless.If Korea adds value to the cost of Japanese raw materials and Japan buys them, Japan will buy back the raw materials it sells, so there is no profit for Japan .This is not the cause of the trade deficit, but the competitiveness in the Japanese market.
Moon Jae In is a man who doesn't make no sense.
The difference between Japan and South Korea in terms of the friendship that Oh Sun - hwa talks about.If you're a friend, give it to me.This is the Korean style.
Wu Shanhua, a professor at Takushoku University's School of International Studies, said that when she first came to Japan to study, she struggled because she couldn't understand Japanese culture. She says that in South Korea, the culture is that you shouldn't differentiate between your friend's things and your own things.
During class, I open my friend's pencil case, use it, and then put it back. They end up using not only stationery, but also things in their bags, sweets, food, and even money if they are left on the table. It seems that the person being used is happy and thinks that the person who is being used thinks of them as a friend.
Of course, Japan does not have such a culture. No matter how much time passes, my friend asked Wu Shanhua at the time, ``I forgot her pen, can you lend it to me?'' When I get it back, I always say thank you. No matter how much time passes, Wu Shanhua will not accept her as a friend. Apparently, there was a time when she worried that they wouldn't accept her because she was a foreigner.
She believed that sharing your things with others was a sign of friendship, so her sensibilities seemed to be completely different from those in Japan.
Another Korean who came to Japan and returned to Korea after two and a half years after having such an experience apparently published a book about Japanese culture in Korea. His anti-Japanese book, which describes Japan as a country of crazy people, has sold 3 million copies and has become a model that is often cited by Japanese culture researchers at universities and other institutions. That's it.
What is your friend's property is yours. This is regardless of the size of the amount. They say that even if it's a large amount of money, you can only be a friend if you pay to help. As a result, the custom of filing lawsuits has become commonplace in recent years, making South Korea a fraud country. Furthermore, it is unclear how far the money was taken from him as a friend, and where the fraud began. In other words, it is not returned while being shared. This has become the norm, but in light of the law, it appears to have resulted in a series of fraudulent acts.
With this in mind, Wu Shanhua says she is also knowledgeable about diplomatic issues. Koreans think that since Japan is an economically developed country, it is natural to provide money for free. I don't use the word "thank you" at this time, and since Japan has many islands, I wonder if it's a friend to make a fuss about just one island. Wouldn't it be possible to have a friendly relationship if Japan gave as much as Shikoku to South Korea? In fact, she explains, there is at least an underlying feeling.
The differences between Japan and South Korea, which include the actual experiences of Ms. Oh Sunhwa, who actually lives in Japan, are surprising, but if you refer to them, you will be able to see some things.
It's okay to win even if you commit a foul. Don't expect anything from a country with a different concept of sports.
In Japan, there is no question that sports are played to train the mind and body, and this is sought after in all walks of life. On top of that, the champions of each sport are also expected to have good personalities, so Japanese people are very careful when interviewing the winners.
Physical education is distinguished from sports in that it incorporates physical exercise as a part of education and aims not only to train the body but also to improve the mind and personality. Sports are said to be purely about enjoying the competition and the wins and losses. In order to have fun, you can only enjoy victory and defeat within the fairness that comes from following the rules. It is also expressed as sportsmanship.
If you think about whether Korea does physical education or sports, unfortunately it seems like they are failing at both. Even though it is said that political statements should not be brought into sports, athletes who can't stand it anymore and make a big fuss over the Rising Sun flag or claim territory on the field are seen as heroes. He doesn't mind taking fouls in order to win. Do they think that the rules are something that is followed when the referee is watching? There is no concept of sportsmanship here.
I'm sure some people will argue that this is something that some players do, but the relative number of fouls committed by Korean players is too high. And that is what athletes who participate in international competitions do. As I wrote at the beginning, in Japan, sports are viewed as physical education from elementary school onwards, and the higher a player becomes, the more they continue to train, and as a representative of the country, they are expected to act without shame. It can be said that there are almost no players who commit such foul acts when they reach the level of participating in international tournaments.
It is said that all sports are supervised by an organization called the Korea Athletic Association, but it seems that they are more passionate about anti-Japan activities than athletics, and that way of thinking is quite different even internationally.
Prime Minister Kishida and South Korea's next president, Yoon Seok - Yeol, have a telephone conversation. Will there be any changes in foreign policy?
Regarding Yun Seok-Yeol's telephone talk with Prime Minister Kishida of Japan following the US, the South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs' foreign policy states that ``we will strengthen mutual assistance with China, Japan, and Russia, centering on the South Korea-US alliance. ”, which indicates that the telephone conversation did not follow the order of current foreign policy.
Looking at South Korea's diplomatic white paper for 2021, it uses expressions for Japan that are a step above the terms ``closest neighbor'' and ``neighboring country,'' and after looking into it, it appears that this expression has been adopted in 2020.
Similarly, in 2020, Japan reinstated the expression "important neighbor", which had been removed in 2018 and 2019. Although this appears to be in response to South Korea's move, it is a step down from the "most important neighboring country" that was used up until 2017.
Since this was a telephone conversation to report on the election, I don't think it will have a direct impact on Japan's diplomatic blueprint for 2022, but since the South Korean president will be inaugurated in May, it is important for the country to be able to carry out full-fledged diplomatic activities. will be after that.
It may be necessary to check the 2022 edition of the Diplomatic Bluebook to see if there will be any changes in Japan's foreign policy in the future
