The new President Yoon Seok - yeol will be confused by many obstacles to its government.The general election will be held in ２０２４.
2022-03-10
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The new government begins in a twisted state
Yoon Seok-yul, the president, will be worried about the distortion with Congress.The Democratic Party which is ruling party has １７２ seats (５８.３１ percent).It is still difficult to determine how the president can implement his policies in this power map.If you look at the presidential authority of the Korean Constitution, there are Articles ５３, ７３ and ７４.Article ７３ is the authority to sign diplomatic treaties and Article ７４ is the command of the military.Article ５３ provides the right to request reconsideration of a parliamentary resolution.Article ４９ states that the bill will be approved by a majority of lawmakers and a majority of those present, but if the president requests reconsideration, it will require a majority of attendance and a ２/３ votes .If the figure is to rise from ５８.３１ percent to ６７ percent, the ruling party will have to add to win ２５ votes in favor.
Will the full launch be after ２０２４
The ruling party's bill is likely to be rejected if it is returned.However, since this is a request for reconsideration of the bill already approved in Congress, the bill submitted by the opposition party "People's Power" is likely to be overthrown by the ruling party in Congress.In other words, Yoon will have to wait for the ２０２４ general election to take effect.Before that, various bills could be rejected by Congress, and the Manifesto incident could be eliminated.In this environment, diplomatic rights such as strengthening the ROK-U.S. alliance may be exercised to sign treaties or agreements.
Prime Minister Kishida is also eager to improve relations
Yoon Seok-yeol is also eager to improve relations between Korea and Japan.In response, Prime Minister Kishida said, "It is important to communicate closely with the new president and the new administration in order to restore sound relations based on Japan's consistent position.I want to see the new government's movements in the future and talk to the new government."Yoon Seok-yeol said in her manifesto, "Japan's apology and compensation are the prerequisite for improving relations between Korea and Japan," drawing attention to future developments."
The presidential election that divides the country
In any case, he won the presidential election, but the difference in votes was less than １ percent, ０.７３ percent, and half of the people supported the opposition candidate.
POINT It is difficult to determine how far policies can be implemented with presidential authority alone.Anti-Japanese forces are still strong.
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The difference between Japan and South Korea in terms of the friendship that Oh Sun - hwa talks about.If you're a friend, give it to me.This is the Korean style.
Wu Shanhua, a professor at Takushoku University's School of International Studies, said that when she first came to Japan to study, she struggled because she couldn't understand Japanese culture. She says that in South Korea, the culture is that you shouldn't differentiate between your friend's things and your own things.
During class, I open my friend's pencil case, use it, and then put it back. They end up using not only stationery, but also things in their bags, sweets, food, and even money if they are left on the table. It seems that the person being used is happy and thinks that the person who is being used thinks of them as a friend.
Of course, Japan does not have such a culture. No matter how much time passes, my friend asked Wu Shanhua at the time, ``I forgot her pen, can you lend it to me?'' When I get it back, I always say thank you. No matter how much time passes, Wu Shanhua will not accept her as a friend. Apparently, there was a time when she worried that they wouldn't accept her because she was a foreigner.
She believed that sharing your things with others was a sign of friendship, so her sensibilities seemed to be completely different from those in Japan.
Another Korean who came to Japan and returned to Korea after two and a half years after having such an experience apparently published a book about Japanese culture in Korea. His anti-Japanese book, which describes Japan as a country of crazy people, has sold 3 million copies and has become a model that is often cited by Japanese culture researchers at universities and other institutions. That's it.
What is your friend's property is yours. This is regardless of the size of the amount. They say that even if it's a large amount of money, you can only be a friend if you pay to help. As a result, the custom of filing lawsuits has become commonplace in recent years, making South Korea a fraud country. Furthermore, it is unclear how far the money was taken from him as a friend, and where the fraud began. In other words, it is not returned while being shared. This has become the norm, but in light of the law, it appears to have resulted in a series of fraudulent acts.
With this in mind, Wu Shanhua says she is also knowledgeable about diplomatic issues. Koreans think that since Japan is an economically developed country, it is natural to provide money for free. I don't use the word "thank you" at this time, and since Japan has many islands, I wonder if it's a friend to make a fuss about just one island. Wouldn't it be possible to have a friendly relationship if Japan gave as much as Shikoku to South Korea? In fact, she explains, there is at least an underlying feeling.
The differences between Japan and South Korea, which include the actual experiences of Ms. Oh Sunhwa, who actually lives in Japan, are surprising, but if you refer to them, you will be able to see some things.
Korea Real Estate Bubble This is the KOSPI chart.Why does it go up when investment from Japan has decreased by 50% and investment from the United States and the EU has decreased?You'd better imagine who's buying stocks.One is Chinese money. This is exactly what the current administration wants.Another is stock investment, which is secured by soaring real estate prices.Another is private investment by ordinary people who cannot buy real estate, even if they borrow money from rising stocks.In other words, it is a bubble.The IMF warned that Korea's household debt is above the danger level.Judging that this is a temporary phenomenon, it is better to stop borrowing money and investing in real estate and stocks to increase assets.
With only three days left before the South Korean presidential election, what is the contrast between the two manifestos and Japan - South Korea relations?
The Korean presidential election is only three days away.According to the latest opinion polls, the two seem to be at odds with each other's throats.In the past presidential election, it seems that the dominant candidate in the last poll won the election.Generally speaking, voter turnout is not the only way to go up.If the turnout is low, it will benefit the conservatives as well as the current administration.If voter turnout rises, those who are not usually interested in politics will participate in politics, which will be motivated to change the status quo.
Moon Jae In was working hard on how to get floating votes.This is the minimum wage increase and the feminist movement.And, it succeeded in winning floating votes for young people and women.The result is the worst policy, but the 2022 manifesto shows that there are many contrasting and worrying parts.Lee Jae-myung said, "It includes correcting Moon Jae In's mistakes.Specific industrial investments will create jobs, and urban functions would be dispersed as a countermeasure soaring land prices in Seoul.Yoon Seok-yeol, on the other hand, advocates attracting and increasing investment through the free economy.This is in contrast to industrial investment by large governments and job creation by small governments.
Lee Jae-myeong is pro-China and Yoon Seok-yeol is pro-U.S. in terms of diplomacy and defense.Yoon Seok-yeol mentioned the deployment of additional Saad.This means that the agreement with China will be scrapped.This means that China will confront China, but China is likely to impose economic sanctions on the Korean economy, which is highly dependent on China.Lee Jae-myeong did not mention the relationship with Japan, and Yoon demanded an apology and compensation from Japan.Does this mean that Japan-South Korea relations will be included in the U.S.-Japan relationship, rather than immediately restoring Japan-South Korea relations?In any case, if the right wins, there will be room for future negotiations from the Japanese side.However, relations between Japan and South Korea will end again when they demand an apology and compensation for the Japanese Military comfort woman issue.
No matter which candidate wins, I don't think I can expect much about Japan-South Korea relations.
His Majesty the Emperor visited Saipan
In 2005, the Emperor and Empress visited Saipan to pay their respects to the war dead.In response, a protest demonstration was held by a Korean group.It seems to be the idea that the Emperor's memorial service for the war dead is the revival of militarism.
Angered by the movement, Saipan residents shouted, "If Koreans protest against the Emperor, let's boycott Korean companies," and John Blanco urged native Chamoros and Carolina residents to boycott Korean companies if Koreans hold scheduled protests next Tuesday.Nevertheless, the Saipan Korean Association spread out banners and staged a demonstration demanding an apology from the Emperor.
The Japanese probably don't understand the idea that visiting the memorial is the revival of militarism.It was the same for Saipans.
An old Chamorro woman rose to her feet."How rude of the Emperor to come to the memorial service!I won't forgive you!" he exasperated, "You guys get out of Saipan."Don't do anything selfish on our island," he told local residents and the media one after another.As a result, many Chamoros supported the demonstration, and it developed into a huge demonstration to welcome the Emperor.
It was the 60th anniversary of the end of World War II, when the Emperor and Empress visited Saipan with a warm welcome on June 27th and 28th.
Korea justifies anti-Japanese demonstrations regardless of where they are.Saipan residents got angry at this and developed into a welcome demonstration for the Emperor.
Kim Koo and Moon Jae In Kim Koo went to North Korea to oppose trust rule and advocate reunification and independence of the two Koreas, but Kim Il Sung did not seem to deal with him.It was also abandoned by the United States.Moon Jae In is very similar.Moon Jae In names Kim Gu as the most respected politician.Do you mean that the right and left sides of Korea are Lee Seung-man and Kim Gu?Either way, they are anti-Japanese.
