９０,０００ Russian troops gather near the border. Will there be an invasion of Ukraine? Relationship between Putin and Zelensky.
2021-12-24
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President Putin's criticism of the Ukrainian regime
Regarding his neighboring country Ukraine, President Putin appealed that ``Russians and Ukrainians are one people,'' and on July １２, he published a paper on the ``historical unity'' of the two countries. both peoples. said, ``We are one nation.'' . On the other hand, he claimed that ``Ukraine's leadership is unfriendly,'' and argued that the problem lies with Zelensky's government, which is under Western influence.
MEMO President Putin criticizes current President Zelenskiy by name.
Relationship between President Zelensky and President Putin
President Zelenskiy became president in ２０１９ with high approval ratings, but he is currently requesting that he join NATO.
I wonder if Russia will directly invade Ukraine in the form of war, as ９０,０００ Russian soldiers are currently gathered near the border. The supply of natural gas destined for Europe is said to be limited to about ４%.
The Communtern does not wage direct war
The Communtern's strategy is to provoke other countries into internal conflict. Taking advantage of the internal conflict created, they intervene under the pretext of protecting Russians. The same pattern as in Crimea can be considered. Since Mr. Zelensky's approval rating is currently around ２０%, it appears that Mr. Putin is trying to shake up Ukraine in order to oust Mr. Zelensky.
POINT Russia also appears to be trying to shake up Zelenskiy's government from within Ukraine by applying military pressure on Ukraine.
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Daily cost of invasion of Ukraine is 2.4 trillion yen - Compared with the cost of fighting terrorism.
It is estimated that Russia's daily war expenses due to the invasion of Ukraine will exceed 2 trillion yen. This seems to be based on an analysis by Britain, but it is said that Russia's economic sanctions will come into effect and the war will not be able to continue.
In September 2021, a research team at the University of Brown compiled a report that the cost of a series of wars on terrorism would amount to $ 8 trillion (about 880 trillion yen) in the 20 years after the 9/11 attacks in the United States. .. The breakdown is $ 2.3 trillion (about 250 trillion yen) in Afghanistan and Pakistan, $ 2.1 trillion (about 230 trillion yen) in Iraq and Syria, and $ 2.2 trillion in medical treatment for veterans. It is (about 240 trillion yen). Estimating at 480 trillion yen excluding medical expenses for veterans, it will be 65.7 billion yen per day. If the cost of 230 trillion yen in Iraq and Syria is 8 years and 9 months, it will be about 720 yen per day. It looks like some digits are different.
Of course, if the number of soldiers put in, the fighters used, missiles, the price of ammunition, etc. differ greatly, the war cost will change significantly, but what is the difference in this war cost when those factors are excluded? It also seems to be effective in the sense that it shakes Russian public opinion. If the domestic economy is exhausted due to economic sanctions while spending a huge amount of war expenses per day, it is natural that criticism of the expenses caused by the war will arise. In any case, various information warfare is currently taking place.
Former President Trump praised Putin as a
Former President Donald Trump praised Putin's move as "savvy" and "genius."President Vladimir Putin may be a genius given the speed, timing, and results of his strategic implementation, regardless of what he has done since the Russian military was stationed near the Ukrainian border.On the other hand, the situation in Europe and the United States is regrettable.NATO members in Europe and the United States have declared in advance that they will not send troops to Ukraine.That would have been a card that didn't need to be shown.This is a huge negotiation card.
This is a way of persuading Russia to stop attacking Ukraine because NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.The way to discourage Putin is to do economic sanctions and arms aid to Ukraine.President Zelensky's desire to join NATO after the Crimean crisis is natural, but how was the process designed? He seems to have approached the U.S. or rushed to apply for NATO membership.Ukraine is the country that knows Russia's intentions best, and it seems that it has suddenly abandoned its role as a buffer between Western Europe and Russia.What are the benefits of buffer countries?Ukraine is the country that can enjoy its benefits between EU and Russia.
In terms of profits, what do NATO think?What are the benefits of Ukraine joining NATO?Or what are the advantages of Ukraine's entry into the Western economic bloc?It is hard to believe that Ukraine has proposed these proposals in detail and detail.If Ukraine had continued to build alliances with other countries in its one-to-one relationship, and if NATO membership has existed in the future, where is this process?As a result, Western Europe openly abandoned Ukraine ,and the United States also in an instant.Putin had carefully observed these relationships ,and seems to have recognized the independence of pro-Russian forces in Ukraine.
Ukraine has lost part of its country, and is there still a way to join NATO?They need to prepare for Putin's next strategy.
Ukrainian sniper sniper at Russian general... Is Mr. Zelenski still in Kiev?
The British Independent quoted a military source as saying on August 3 (local time) that Andrei Sukhovetsky (47), commander of the 7th Airborne Division and deputy commander of the 41st Allied Forces, was shot dead by Ukrainian snipers.There are rumors on the Internet that Sukhovetsky was speaking to the invading army at the time of his death, but the exact place and time of his death are unknown.It is highly likely to shock the Russian military and Moscow leaders in terms of being the highest-ranking person killed in the war.
It seems that like as in Golgo 13 a sniper killed an important person .Ukrainian snipers killed Sukhovetsky at a rally surrounded by Russian troops.British media reports that 400 assassins are already in Kiev via Belarus and ready to kill Zelensky.The assassination team said they knew where Zelensky was and were awaiting instructions from the authorities.Then why hasn't the instruction been given yet, or under what circumstances will the instruction given?
When former Defense Minister Morimoto appeared on TV, he said, "The Russian army would not capture Kiev at once."In other words, it is said that they surrounded and blocked Kiev and the food supply will be cut off weapons and ammunition, and make Kiev starve to death.Morimoto says Russia's purpose is to capture Zelensky and bring him to trial in Russia.In other words, the purpose is not to kill, but to capture alive.Russian army wait for Mr. Zelensky to surrender in exchange for saving the needy citizens of Kiev.
The appeal in Russia is a suspicion of Ukraine's genocide in the Donbas region.Russia claims that Zelensky ordered the killing of pro-Russian forces in Donbas to justify its invasion of Ukraine.
If Russia secures Mr. Zelensky, a trial may be held by all means, including forcing a confession.
Ukrainian military shelling of Russian military clergy ? just a false bombing, or is the battle moving into the next phase?
The Russian Orthodox Church said on the 25th that a Russian military cleric was killed in a rocket attack from the Ukrainian side near the Ukrainian border in the southwest.
Will the war enter the next phase, or is this just a false bombing, or is it an intelligence war by Russia?Ukraine is currently defending itself.This is a defense against Russian aggression.When the Ukrainian attack is directed across the border at Russia, the situation enters the next phase.A defensive battle is a war of attrition that fights against an enemy who has invaded the country while suffering domestic damage.The fact that Japan does not allow anything other than self-defense is assumed to be such a battle.Although their military facilities, towns and infrastructure are destroyed, the enemy territory remains intact, so the fighting naturally becomes inferior.If the U.N. attacks Russia this time, it will be a phase of a clear all-out war.
After Zelensky's speech to the U.S. House of Representatives, Biden announced that he would provide Ukraine with 100 attack drones.If attack drones and missile attacks are carried out on Russia in the future, Russian civilians will be killed in large numbers.And there will be many changes in public opinion in Russia.It is worrisome how public opinion in Russia will change when its own citizens begin to suffer from the damage.
The longer the battle, the more disadvantageous it is.Japan's inferiority in the Pacific War was partly due to its inability to attack the U.S. mainland at all.
Ukraine and World War II.How far will economic sanctions stop Russia?
Countries are tightening economic sanctions against Russia's invasion of Ukraine.Russia's ruble fell to about 66 percent.Others are skeptical about whether economic sanctions will stop Russia's march and say sanctions are working.What do you think of past wars?In World War I, Germany was defeated and had to pay heavy compensation.After the Great Depression, the Nazis grew stronger in this envioroment and became the first party in Germany's economy.
After the Manchurian Incident, An ABCD encirclement network had established against Japan, and after the Nogokyo Incident, Japan's economy was completely surrounded.It is more like an economic blockade than an economic sanction.For Japan, where all supplies and oil were stopped and resources were scarce, it was like a food attack.As a result, the Nazis invaded all of Europe and Japan entered the Great East Asian War and the Pacific War.After World War II, postwar processing was based on international recognition that Germany's compensation in World War I eventually led to World War II. And China gave up its claim for compensation to Japan when diplomatic relations between China and Japan were normalized.
U.S. economic blockade against Japan
July 1939 (Showa 14) Notice of Abolition of the Japan-U.S. Trade and Navigation Treaty
In December 1939, we notified them to stop exporting aircraft gasoline manufacturing equipment and manufacturing technology rights as moral embago.
The Japan-U.S. Trade and Navigation Treaty expired in January 1940
June 1940 (Showa 15) Export license system for special machine tools, etc. to Japan
In July 1940, the Defense Enhancement Promotion Act was enacted (the president's authority to select export items)
July 26, 1940 (Showa 15) Enacted the Export Control Act on Steel and Steel Export Cutting Oil
August 1940 Export license system for petroleum products (mainly aviation fuel with octane value of 87 or higher), tetraethyl lead, iron and scrap iron for aviation gasoline addition
August 1940: Total embargo on aircraft fuel outside the Western Hemisphere
September 1940: Total embargo on scrap iron
December 1940 Export license system for aircraft lubricating oil manufacturing equipment and 15 other items
Oil export license system in June 1941
July 1941 Order for Freezing Japanese Assets in the United States
August 1941: Total oil embargo on JapanList Excerpt Wikipedia
It is unclear how the economic sanctions against Russia will work, but it is highly likely that the war will accelerate in the face of national survival.Or Russia may start to compensate for its economic losses by merging Moldova and Georgia, not just Ukraine.Can North Korea explain what it is doing under U.N. economic sanctions?Ironically, it was war that ended the war.Or eliminate the cause of the war.
The world seems to be doing exactly what was done 100 years ago.Russia says it will not stop the war until it completes its operation.
