９０,０００ Russian troops gather near the border. Will there be an invasion of Ukraine? Relationship between Putin and Zelensky.
2021-12-24
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President Putin's criticism of the Ukrainian regime
Regarding his neighboring country Ukraine, President Putin appealed that ``Russians and Ukrainians are one people,'' and on July １２, he published a paper on the ``historical unity'' of the two countries. both peoples. said, ``We are one nation.'' . On the other hand, he claimed that ``Ukraine's leadership is unfriendly,'' and argued that the problem lies with Zelensky's government, which is under Western influence.
MEMO President Putin criticizes current President Zelenskiy by name.
Relationship between President Zelensky and President Putin
President Zelenskiy became president in ２０１９ with high approval ratings, but he is currently requesting that he join NATO.
I wonder if Russia will directly invade Ukraine in the form of war, as ９０,０００ Russian soldiers are currently gathered near the border. The supply of natural gas destined for Europe is said to be limited to about ４%.
The Communtern does not wage direct war
The Communtern's strategy is to provoke other countries into internal conflict. Taking advantage of the internal conflict created, they intervene under the pretext of protecting Russians. The same pattern as in Crimea can be considered. Since Mr. Zelensky's approval rating is currently around ２０%, it appears that Mr. Putin is trying to shake up Ukraine in order to oust Mr. Zelensky.
POINT Russia also appears to be trying to shake up Zelenskiy's government from within Ukraine by applying military pressure on Ukraine.
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Ukraine, which was denied accession to the EU, has been separated militarily and economically from Western Europe.
Zelensky posted a photo of him signing the application on Facebook on May 28."I will appeal for immediate recognition of EU membership through special procedures," he said."Ukraine is a member of us,I want you to join me." said Ursula Fondaleien, chairman of the European Commission, in an interview with European media on July 27.
Eight Eastern European countries supported Ukraine's participation in the EU, but European Union Foreign Affairs and Security Representative Joseph Borrell said it would take a long time to join.Fondaleien denied that his remarks meant that he wanted Ukraine to join the Europe.
Ukraine has also lost its ladder in Europe.I don't know what it means to wait to join EU for a long time, but He may considered it is clear that Ukraine's joining EU would current Russian invasion make worsen the war situation.Ukraine made efforts to join the EU under President Yushchenko, but in November 2013, Yanukovych's administration postponed signing political and trade agreements with the EU and strengthened ties with Russia.Zelensky's current policy is to escape Russian influence and enter the West in economic and military terms, but both NATO and the EU are uncertain about Ukraine's joining.
Attacks on Ukrainian military installations began.Russia claims to be a peacekeeping mission.Japan should improve its ability to attack enemy bases.
Russia is attacking Ukrainian military facilities throughout Ukraine.Russia's Defense Ministry said it has attacked more than 80 Ukrainian military facilities, including 11 airports.Military facilities in the suburbs of Kiev were attacked by cruise missiles, as well as Kramatorsk, Ukraine's eastern stronghold, and military facilities in the south.
Putin justified the attack, saying, "There is no alternative," adding, "We are safe because we have not attacked the private sector."Russia's defense of the two states, Lugansk and Donetsk, is believed to have been based on the premise that Ukrainian troops will be dispatched to prevent the attack.Currently, pro-Russian forces in eastern Ukraine are controlling a part of the two states and trying to control all of the two states and Russia support them in the rear.
Japan, led by Europe and the U.S., has also announced economic sanctions, but economic sanctions cannot physically stop Russia's march.Ukrainian President Zelensky said he would "consider" breaking off diplomatic relations with Russia, but this would be meaningless.At the same time, he said he would "defend Ukraine" and did not mention war with Russia.Perhaps just a matter of time, the two eastern states will belong to Russia.Ukraine's military facilities have been destroyed and Russia's military facilities have remained intact.
The Japanese government has also expressed its opinion that the Japanese Defense Minister is within the scope of self-defense, but there are still many objections.In other words, we can see in real time how unrealistic and vulnerable only doing defense is.
military aggression is a physical problem, and economic sanctions are just economic sanctions.The ongoing problem is the issue of military aggression.
The U.S. - Russia negotiations are expected to take place in the U.S. - Russia intelligence war. an outpost for the summit.
US President Biden announced on the 19th that Russia would invade Ukraine within the next few days, and President Putin said that he had decided to go to war. Russia has consistently stated that it has no intention of advancing into Ukraine. In an unprecedented move, President Putin made public a conversation he had with Foreign Minister Lavrov about the possibility of dialogue with Western countries. When Russia says it has withdrawn some of its troops, the US says it is increasing its troops. The purpose of this information warfare is currently a hot topic.
The only thing that is clear is that Ukraine has been militarily cut off from the West. President Biden immediately denied participation in the war, citing World War III. The longer this problem drags on, the more the Ukrainian economy will suffer. Currently, many foreign companies are withdrawing and foreigners are evacuating abroad. President Zelenskiy has ordered Western countries to refrain from making statements that suggest Russia is about to invade. In the first place, there was a strong view that Russia's original purpose was to shake up Zelensky's government. If the pro-American government continues, Russian troops will always be stationed on Ukraine's border, and if NATO membership becomes a reality, they will also deploy nuclear weapons to authoritarian Belarus.
At the U.S.-Russia summit meeting held on the 13th, Mr. Biden asked Mr. Putin first what Russia's demands were. There is criticism that it is impractical for diplomacy to listen to the other party's demands first. Therefore, Mr. Putin immediately demanded that NATO not expand to the east.
If this trend had continued, the negotiations would have resulted in the withdrawal of Russian troops in exchange for canceling Ukraine's membership in NATO. Mr. Biden agreed to hold a second meeting with Mr. Putin. Sanctions against the Ukrainian and Russian economies have already begun due to information warfare. By strengthening this, it appears as if Mr. Biden is trying to turn his position from being at a disadvantage to an advantage.
It will not be easy for the US to gain a negotiating advantage now that it has abandoned the military option. Economic sanctions have already begun.
Ukraine crisis as seen from Cuban crisis. Cuba protected but Ukraine isolated.
After Castro's successful Cuban Revolution in 1959, Cuba decided to pursue a socialist path and joined the socialist camp, and American capital was expelled.In 1961, President Eisenhauer broke off diplomatic relations with Cuba.Kennedy, the next president, failed in his attempt to overthrow Castro's revolutionary government by organizing Cubans who had defected to the United States to invade Cuba.In response, Castro stepped up his anti-U.S. stance and approached the Soviet Union, while Khrushchev deployed nuclear missiles in Cuba to gain an advantage over the U.S. by deploying nuclear weapons.
In October 1962, a U.S. Air Force reconnaissance plane discovered that a Soviet missile base was under construction.The range covered the entire United States and made it easier to attack the U.S. mainland with nuclear weapons.In a televised address on TV, President Kennedy declared that he would block the waters and airspace around Cuba to prevent the Soviet Union from bringing in weapons and ammunition and supplies used to make nuclear weapons.The Soviet Union was already in the process of sending ships loaded with goods and weapons to Cuba.Breaking through the U.S. blockade of the sea would have resulted in direct clashes, and the nuclear war crisis was imminent.The two leaders negotiated behind the scenes, and Khrushchev told Kennedy that the U.S. would remove its missile base in exchange for not invading Cuba. The agreement was reached on Oct. 27 to avoid a nuclear war crisis.
What is the difference between the Ukraine crisis and the Cuban crisis?The U.S. and Russia are in the opposite position.Castro approached the Soviet Union with the aim of building a socialist country and Zelensky approached NATO as a democratic country.This is also the opposite.And the same is true of the crisis, but why?The biggest difference was that Kennedy and Khrushchev had a conversation to avoid war and were avoided at the last minute.The United States has taken the position that it is not the party concerned this time.
The Cuban crisis was averted by dialogue between the United States and Russia.The U.S. has no intention of negotiating the Ukraine issue, only Ukraine was left behind
Former President Trump praised Putin as a
Former President Donald Trump praised Putin's move as "savvy" and "genius."President Vladimir Putin may be a genius given the speed, timing, and results of his strategic implementation, regardless of what he has done since the Russian military was stationed near the Ukrainian border.On the other hand, the situation in Europe and the United States is regrettable.NATO members in Europe and the United States have declared in advance that they will not send troops to Ukraine.That would have been a card that didn't need to be shown.This is a huge negotiation card.
This is a way of persuading Russia to stop attacking Ukraine because NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.The way to discourage Putin is to do economic sanctions and arms aid to Ukraine.President Zelensky's desire to join NATO after the Crimean crisis is natural, but how was the process designed? He seems to have approached the U.S. or rushed to apply for NATO membership.Ukraine is the country that knows Russia's intentions best, and it seems that it has suddenly abandoned its role as a buffer between Western Europe and Russia.What are the benefits of buffer countries?Ukraine is the country that can enjoy its benefits between EU and Russia.
In terms of profits, what do NATO think?What are the benefits of Ukraine joining NATO?Or what are the advantages of Ukraine's entry into the Western economic bloc?It is hard to believe that Ukraine has proposed these proposals in detail and detail.If Ukraine had continued to build alliances with other countries in its one-to-one relationship, and if NATO membership has existed in the future, where is this process?As a result, Western Europe openly abandoned Ukraine ,and the United States also in an instant.Putin had carefully observed these relationships ,and seems to have recognized the independence of pro-Russian forces in Ukraine.
Ukraine has lost part of its country, and is there still a way to join NATO?They need to prepare for Putin's next strategy.
