Japan, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom and the EU announced sanctions against Russia.The content is limited, not enough to corner Russia.
2022-02-23
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Prime Minister Kishida announced economic sanctions against Russia on the ２３rd.
Sanctions include (１) suspension of visa issuance and freezing of property for two "Republic" , (２) prohibition of import and export of two "Republics", and (３) prohibition of the issuance and distribution of new sovereign bonds in Japan.
Before that Japan's Foreign Minister Hayashi announced Japan will do sanctions in line with the G７, but the sanctions are not very strong.
Announcement by Europe and the United States.
German Chancellor Helmut Scholtz said on Wednesday he would suspend the approval process for a new gas pipeline (Nordstream ２) in Germany and Russia.Nordstream ２ is a pipeline that imports natural gas from Russia in the future without going through Ukraine, but will be suspended.However, it is doubtful how effective the sanctions will be because the current pipeline is exported to European countries via Ukraine.
The sanctions announced by the U.S. government are very limited.Pro-Russian-controlled areas are prohibited from doing economic transactions with the U.S. It was not sanctions against Russia.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has imposed sanctions on five banks and three Russian billionaires, saying they will be banned from traveling to Britain.
The EU said it agreed to target ２７ individuals and organizations that "play a role in weakening or threatening Ukraine's territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence."
In any case, it is not a comprehensive plan to corner Russia's economy, but a partial, limited, and future solution.
Russia was subject to economic sanctions over the Crimean Peninsula last time, and based on its experience and current economic relations between the U.S. and Europe, it predicted the size of the sanctions and decided to send troops to Donetsk and Lugansk.Territorial disputes will benefit the region permanently after its conquest.Crimea ,Donetsk and Lugansk have ３,７９６,０００ people, and after all Russia will occupy their economy.
POINT Economic sanctions against territorial aggression cannot be used as a countermeasure from the beginning.Unless Russia returns it, losses from economic sanctions will be recovered from the region.
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Putin issued a special alert to the nuclear deterrent force.Putin's apparent mistake in his later years.nuclear intimidation.
Putin ordered strategic nuclear deterrent forces to be "special alert.He said "This is because Western countries have taken "unfriendly action" against Russia.
This is a far-fetched idea, and NATO countries are strongly criticizing it.Putin's previous invasion of Ukraine has been carefully calculated, and Putin has achieved his many goals successfully.In addition, Putin ordered its nuclear deterrent forces against G7 and other countries which would exclude Russia from the SWIFT and other economy .It is a special warning, it simply means that nuclear weapons should be prepared to be used at any time.
Russia has not suffered any military damage in their country.The Ukrainian army is responsible for the internal defense of Ukraine, and the death of Russian soldiers in Ukraine have been caused by Ukrainian troops in Ukraine.The order for the nuclear deterrent forces is to prepare nuclear weapons in response to economic sanctions.
This is clearly Putin's mistake.Putin's personal isolation from the international community will be more serious than Russia's isolation.Putin is rumored to be aiming for a fifth term in Russia's 2024 presidential election, but even if he becomes president, no heads of state may negotiate with Putin.
This time, it is seen as a nuclear threat to the international community, and it can be such a big mistake that doubts about Putin's personality arise.
Russia criticizes Romania for lending an airport as participating in the war.Romania is a member of NATO.
Democracy has weakened.Under the pressure of China's economy, liberal countries are only fighting defense.The world is trembling with China's expansion and with Russia's ongoing military aggression.This means that solidarity between democracies has weakened.At least there was strong unity during the Cold War in liberal countries, but after the collapse of the Soviet Union, liberal countries focused on their economic activities.The loss of the enemy means peace.With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Union of Eastern European Union collapsed.Russia and Belarus are now continuing to defend the former Soviet forces of the Soviet Union.Is Russia now the Soviet Union?No, not the Soviet Union, but Russia.So what is going on now?Is the world asking itself this question?
What is the significance of NATO's existence?The world had lived half a century under tension that even a single shell could lead to World War III, confronting a military alliance called Warsaw Treaty Organization had centered on the Soviet Union.Biden repeatedly said, "We will not wage war with Russia because World War III will come."Romania was criticized by Russia.In other words, if Rumania continues to lend airports to Ukraine. military, it will be considered as joining a war.Romania is a member of NATO.What would happen if Romania were bombarded by Russia?In this case, we would surprise if Biden says, "I won't participate in the war because World War III will come." And I wondered what the Cold War was.
There is no end to the Russian invasion.Putin said there would be a ceasefire only if Ukraine accepted all Russian demands.This can also be seen as an ultimatum to the negotiations.Economic sanctions have backfired in Ukraine's invasion.Russia wants to compensate for the loss of economic sanctions through aggression.
Putin said, "Economic sanctions in developed countries are like declaring war."Ironically, Russia doesn't seem to want to stop the invasion in the future.
Zelensky said he would die because of NATO.Next, all three Baltic countries. Zelensky urged Western countries to strengthen their military support for Ukraine, saying, "If Russia overcomes Ukraine, it could invade Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia next time."In response to NATO's denial of the possibility of establishing a no-fly zone in Ukraine on July 7, he said, "Many people will be killed because of NATO."The Baltic states are NATO members.Let's look at Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
North Atlantic Treaty
Article 5
Contracting States agree to regard armed attacks against one or more Contracting States in Europe or North America as attacks against all Contracting States.Accordingly, in the event of such armed attack, the Contracting States shall exercise their individual or collective right to self-defense (including the use of forces) as they deem necessary to restore and maintain security in the North Atlantic region.
The aforementioned armed attacks and all measures taken as a result shall be reported immediately to the Security Council.Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council takes necessary measures to restore and maintain international peace and security.
It can be seen from this that attacks on NATO members are considered attacks on NATO as a whole, and that the right to collective self-defense will be exercised.Russia's invasion of Ukraine was caused by Russia's reluctance to allow NATO troops to move near the Russian border, so Russia wants to create an environment that will not lead to war with NATO.Most importantly, Russia invaded Ukraine before NATO joined because it understood that Article 5 would be invoked.NATO's consistent stance of not entering Ukraine and not establishing a no-fly zone are aimed at avoiding an all-out war between Russia and NATO by exercising the right to collective self-defense.
Russia's next target is Moldova and Georgia, non-NATO members around the Black Sea, not the Baltic countries.
Russia is suppressing southeastern states in order to get the Black Sea.Non-NATO members around the Black Sea may be at risk rather than attacking NATO members.
Putin and Macron hold telephone talks - Armistice negotiations make no progress - Helson Province falls.
In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron on August 3, Putin said, "The most important thing is Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality, so that there is no threat to Russia."
The governor of the southern Ukrainian state of Helson, adjacent to Crimea, announced on August 3 that the state government building was completely occupied due to the control of the Zapolizia nuclear power plant.It is the first time that a Russian invasion has captured a major Ukrainian city.The second truce between Ukraine and Russia was held on the same day, but no progress was made in the negotiations, and the two countries agreed to set up a "humanitarian corridor" to evacuate civilians and decided to hold the second round.
Putin told President Macron that it would not change its demands for demilitarization and neutrality in negotiations, saying that the purpose of the military operation could be achieved in any case.Russia is currently operating in various regions, and it is reported that the advance to Kiev is 25 kilometers behind schedule, but some say that the armistice negotiations are simply buying Russian time.
Countries are putting pressure on Russia through economic sanctions and UN resolutions, but Putin's will is as shown on August 3.He's going to get the Black Sea, and will Odessa be his next goal?
Putin reiterated his determination to carry out the operation and is determined to continue the battle.More than one million refugees are reportedly fleeing Ukraine.
Daily cost of invasion of Ukraine is 2.4 trillion yen - Compared with the cost of fighting terrorism.
It is estimated that Russia's daily war expenses due to the invasion of Ukraine will exceed 2 trillion yen. This seems to be based on an analysis by Britain, but it is said that Russia's economic sanctions will come into effect and the war will not be able to continue.
In September 2021, a research team at the University of Brown compiled a report that the cost of a series of wars on terrorism would amount to $ 8 trillion (about 880 trillion yen) in the 20 years after the 9/11 attacks in the United States. .. The breakdown is $ 2.3 trillion (about 250 trillion yen) in Afghanistan and Pakistan, $ 2.1 trillion (about 230 trillion yen) in Iraq and Syria, and $ 2.2 trillion in medical treatment for veterans. It is (about 240 trillion yen). Estimating at 480 trillion yen excluding medical expenses for veterans, it will be 65.7 billion yen per day. If the cost of 230 trillion yen in Iraq and Syria is 8 years and 9 months, it will be about 720 yen per day. It looks like some digits are different.
Of course, if the number of soldiers put in, the fighters used, missiles, the price of ammunition, etc. differ greatly, the war cost will change significantly, but what is the difference in this war cost when those factors are excluded? It also seems to be effective in the sense that it shakes Russian public opinion. If the domestic economy is exhausted due to economic sanctions while spending a huge amount of war expenses per day, it is natural that criticism of the expenses caused by the war will arise. In any case, various information warfare is currently taking place.
