The ４００ - strong Zelensky assassination unit was deployed in Kiev, Ukraine.What is the possibility of using strategic nuclear weapons?
2022-02-28
Category:Ukraine
Photo by Presidential Press and Information Office (licensed under CC BY 4.0 )
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Russian President Vladimir Putin sent mercenaries from Africa to Kiev in order to kill ２３ key figures, including Ukrainian President Zelensky.The Times reported on Feb ２７.Putin is known to had sent ４００ of his closest Russian mercenary agents to Kiev from Belarus.The unit uses mobile phones and other devices to "always know where President Zelensky is and is waiting for a green light from the client."
Zelensky Assassination Unit in Kiev?
The murder squad is a dangerous story.But Ukraine's statement that the Russian army failed to invade Kiev.Russian army is stopped to be stuck ３０ kilometers from Kiev.However, according to British intelligence, ４００ assassins have already entered Kiev.Under this strategy, even if Europe and the United States announce that they will provide weapons to Ukraine, such weapons will not help much.The enemy is watching for a chance to kill Zelensky without knowing where the enemy is.
Will Russia use nuclear weapons?
Another concern is that Putin has issued a special alert to the nuclear deterrent force.The order is to prepare for the use of nuclear weapons, but there are many kinds of nuclear weapons, and there are strategic nuclear weapons that can cause nuclear explosions and destroy small area.It is small enough to be equipped with fighter missiles, so there is no need to hit correctly the enemy.Aircraft carriers can destroy if they fall near them, and even in land warfare, if dropped in areas where enemy battalions are located, the troops will be destroyed.
There are some questions whether the Russian military will fail to attack Kiev, the closest neighboring country.If so, the Russian army will not be able to subdue any country.If we hear that Russian troops are withdrawing, we will think about the possibility of using strategic nuclear weapons.
POINT It seems that Ukraine and Russia are currently negotiating a ceasefire on the Belarus border, but according to British intelligence, Russia is not willing to accept the ceasefire at all.
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Zelensky said he would die because of NATO.Next, all three Baltic countries. Zelensky urged Western countries to strengthen their military support for Ukraine, saying, "If Russia overcomes Ukraine, it could invade Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia next time."In response to NATO's denial of the possibility of establishing a no-fly zone in Ukraine on July 7, he said, "Many people will be killed because of NATO."The Baltic states are NATO members.Let's look at Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
North Atlantic Treaty
Article 5
Contracting States agree to regard armed attacks against one or more Contracting States in Europe or North America as attacks against all Contracting States.Accordingly, in the event of such armed attack, the Contracting States shall exercise their individual or collective right to self-defense (including the use of forces) as they deem necessary to restore and maintain security in the North Atlantic region.
The aforementioned armed attacks and all measures taken as a result shall be reported immediately to the Security Council.Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council takes necessary measures to restore and maintain international peace and security.
It can be seen from this that attacks on NATO members are considered attacks on NATO as a whole, and that the right to collective self-defense will be exercised.Russia's invasion of Ukraine was caused by Russia's reluctance to allow NATO troops to move near the Russian border, so Russia wants to create an environment that will not lead to war with NATO.Most importantly, Russia invaded Ukraine before NATO joined because it understood that Article 5 would be invoked.NATO's consistent stance of not entering Ukraine and not establishing a no-fly zone are aimed at avoiding an all-out war between Russia and NATO by exercising the right to collective self-defense.
Russia's next target is Moldova and Georgia, non-NATO members around the Black Sea, not the Baltic countries.
Russia is suppressing southeastern states in order to get the Black Sea.Non-NATO members around the Black Sea may be at risk rather than attacking NATO members.
A clever Russian strategy How many scenarios does Putin have for Ukraine?
Putin's purpose is, as he said, to the east, NATO's non-expansion.If you think about the purpose of the Russian troops stationed near the Ukrainian border, how many scenarios are there?How many scenarios did the Biden administration attempt to respond to?
The first possibility is that if Ukraine joins NATO, it will capture Kiev, Ukraine's capital.In response, NATO countries in Europe said they would not send troops to Ukraine, and Biden's administration said they would not send troops to Ukraine.Biden's tone is "all-out war," so he would not send troops.That is, Biden tried to put off the issue by saying Ukraine would not join NATO in the near future.
From Russia's point of view, this is probably an ambiguous solution.However, if NATO forces do not enter Ukraine in the near future, Russia's immediate reason for its attack on Ukraine will be weakened, while the United States will continue to shout that Russia will attack and foreign companies withdrawed from Ukraine.Economic sanctions such as withdrawal at the civilian level have already begun.Russia claims to have withdrawn some of its troops, but the United States claims Russia is increasing its forces.Is this Biden's strategy?
Putin gets only economic blow.Therefore, the second scenario was to recognize the independence of the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Donetsk. We decided to bring back results.Russia is strongly opposed to Ukraine's NATO membership and is negotiating with Europe and U.S, which seemed different from case of Crimea aimed at some regions.Western countries are also responding to NATO versus Russia's all-out war.The theme is to avoid all-out war.
Putin approved the independence of pro-Russian forces after the next U.S.-Russia summit was decided and before the talks.The timing was exquisite.As a result, Putin obtained two cards before the talks.Russian troops will station in Lugansk and Donetsk to pressure the West and Ukraine.Moreover, Russia would try to prevent Ukraine from entering NATO.Since the eastern half of Ukraine is inhabited by many Russians, this method can be used in the future.Did Biden get the card?I think it's the same as the beginning.
President Putin seems to have done better this time.He succeeded in achieving results, and NATO even declared that it would not enter Ukraine.
Former President Trump praised Putin as a
Former President Donald Trump praised Putin's move as "savvy" and "genius."President Vladimir Putin may be a genius given the speed, timing, and results of his strategic implementation, regardless of what he has done since the Russian military was stationed near the Ukrainian border.On the other hand, the situation in Europe and the United States is regrettable.NATO members in Europe and the United States have declared in advance that they will not send troops to Ukraine.That would have been a card that didn't need to be shown.This is a huge negotiation card.
This is a way of persuading Russia to stop attacking Ukraine because NATO will not send troops to Ukraine.The way to discourage Putin is to do economic sanctions and arms aid to Ukraine.President Zelensky's desire to join NATO after the Crimean crisis is natural, but how was the process designed? He seems to have approached the U.S. or rushed to apply for NATO membership.Ukraine is the country that knows Russia's intentions best, and it seems that it has suddenly abandoned its role as a buffer between Western Europe and Russia.What are the benefits of buffer countries?Ukraine is the country that can enjoy its benefits between EU and Russia.
In terms of profits, what do NATO think?What are the benefits of Ukraine joining NATO?Or what are the advantages of Ukraine's entry into the Western economic bloc?It is hard to believe that Ukraine has proposed these proposals in detail and detail.If Ukraine had continued to build alliances with other countries in its one-to-one relationship, and if NATO membership has existed in the future, where is this process?As a result, Western Europe openly abandoned Ukraine ,and the United States also in an instant.Putin had carefully observed these relationships ,and seems to have recognized the independence of pro-Russian forces in Ukraine.
Ukraine has lost part of its country, and is there still a way to join NATO?They need to prepare for Putin's next strategy.
Ukrainian army retakes strategic Liman in Donetsk region - will attack on annexed region push Russia into a state of war?
Ukraine regains eastern Liman
Will the division strategy become an enemy?
Will Russia declare war
If Russia is attacked
Putin's power at home
Ukraine has recaptured the strategic town of Liman in the eastern Donetsk region. It seems that they have advanced further since Kharkiv the other day. What is surprising is the operational capabilities of the Ukrainian military, as well as the weakness of the Russian military. Russian army is too weak. After the mobilization order for 300,000 people was issued, there is no end to the number of Russians fleeing near the border, and Russian soldiers who were captured from the beginning said, ``I want to see my mother, I want to go home.'' Cried.
From the beginning, Russia marched in an arc across the east, attempting to divide the Ukrainian army. However, the situation is now reversed, with the Ukrainian military now targeting areas where it is weak. It has been pointed out that this way of positioning is effective when going on the offensive, but it puts you at a disadvantage when going on the defensive.
What will be interesting to see in the retaking of Liman is whether Russia will declare a state of war. Currently, Russia is framing this as a special military operation aimed at peacekeeping operations. In other words, the people are not directly involved in this, it is a military operation and a policy of the Russian government. That is why the sudden partial mobilization order for 300,000 people caused so much unrest.
In the event of a state of war, martial law would be imposed and military conscription could be carried out at random. That is exactly the situation in Ukraine. Liman is in a region that was recently incorporated into Russia, so in theory it means that Russia was attacked. It is also said that Mr. Putin's decision to annex Russia was to raise the country to a state of war.
If Putin is unable to declare a state of war, it would mean that his power in domestic politics has weakened. If martial law were to be declared, the sons of politicians would also have to be sent to the battlefield.
Putin and Macron hold telephone talks - Armistice negotiations make no progress - Helson Province falls.
In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron on August 3, Putin said, "The most important thing is Ukraine's demilitarization and neutrality, so that there is no threat to Russia."
The governor of the southern Ukrainian state of Helson, adjacent to Crimea, announced on August 3 that the state government building was completely occupied due to the control of the Zapolizia nuclear power plant.It is the first time that a Russian invasion has captured a major Ukrainian city.The second truce between Ukraine and Russia was held on the same day, but no progress was made in the negotiations, and the two countries agreed to set up a "humanitarian corridor" to evacuate civilians and decided to hold the second round.
Putin told President Macron that it would not change its demands for demilitarization and neutrality in negotiations, saying that the purpose of the military operation could be achieved in any case.Russia is currently operating in various regions, and it is reported that the advance to Kiev is 25 kilometers behind schedule, but some say that the armistice negotiations are simply buying Russian time.
Countries are putting pressure on Russia through economic sanctions and UN resolutions, but Putin's will is as shown on August 3.He's going to get the Black Sea, and will Odessa be his next goal?
Putin reiterated his determination to carry out the operation and is determined to continue the battle.More than one million refugees are reportedly fleeing Ukraine.
