President Zelensky Addresses U.S. Congress, Says America Will Provide Economic Aid and Drone.
2022-03-18
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America offers strategic drones
President Zelensky attended and delivered a speech to the U.S. Congress remotely.It called for military assistance from the United States, and if it cannot send troops, it called for the provision of weapons and increased economic sanctions.Biden announced $８００ million in additional military assistance and said he would provide １００ strategic drones, although he could not provide fighter jets.The U.S. has UAVs such as switch blades and LMAMS.Ukraine has asked NATO to set up a no-fly zone, but both NATO and the U.S. military have denied it.This is because setting up a no-fly airspace means NATO fighter jets and surface-to-air missiles will shoot down Russian fighter jets.When Poland asked to send Mig-２９ to Ukraine via the United States, the United States refused, saying it would be considered a participation in the war.It seems to be a delicate judgment that a strategic drone is OK, although it does not set up a no-fly airspace and does not provide fighter jets.
Strategic drones in Russia
Russian military company Karashnikov Conzeln is unveiling its unmanned KUB military attack drone at a military exhibition in Moscow in August ２０２１.Attack drones such as Turkish-made attack drone Kargu-２ may have tracked soldiers and carried out attacks during fighting in Libya in March ２０２０, a panel of experts from the UN Security Council released a report.
A wandering attack plane called Kamikaze
The wandering attack drone is called Kamikaze Drone, and although it is not clear why it is compared to the Japanese kamikaze, it has become an international common name.In addition to unmanned aircraft that fly remotely, some fly autonomously with AI to select enemies and launch suicide attacks.The United States is said to have used drones in actual combat in Afghanistan, but this time １００ planes will be publicly provided to Ukraine.The performance of Russian-made drones and American-made drones may be conveyed.
POINT It was said that the development of strategic drones in the United States was a little behind.I don't know the type of drone that will be given this time, but I expect its performance.
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Biden Emphasizes Polish Defense - Defense as NATO's Right to Collective Self - Defense.
In a meeting with President Duda in Poland on Wednesday, Biden stressed that as a member of NATO, he will take responsibility for the defense of Poland in connected with Ukraine."We see Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty as a sacred obligation.I don't care if you trust me," he said.Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty provides for the right to collective self-defense of NATO members.Shouldn't he have issued a statement immediately after the invasion of Ukraine instead of making a promise at the summit?
Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty
Contracting States agree to regard armed attacks on one or more Contracting States in Europe or North America as attacks on all Contracting States.Consequently, the Contracting States agree that, in the event of such an armed attack, each Party shall assist the attacked Party by exercising the right of individual or collective self-defense permitted under Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, individually and immediately.
Any such armed attack and any resulting action shall be immediately reported to the Security Council.Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken necessary measures to restore and maintain international peace and security.
This will allow NATO to exercise its right to collective self-defense against attacks on member states.This is why NATO is a powerful military alliance.After Russia's invasion of Ukraine began, it should have been the first to refer to this Article 5.By the way, after Trump took office, there was widespread concern that member states would not fulfill their defense obligations unless they increased their defense spending, but in June, at a joint press conference with Romanian President Johannes, he declared his support for Article 5.
Putin recognized Ukraine's pro - Russian forces independence. This is the mean that Russia will not to attack Ukraine.
On February 22, Putin recognized the independence of the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Ukraine.The Minsk Agreement (Minsk Protocol) was signed on September 5, 2014 in the People's Republic of Lugansk, the Donetsk People's Republic, Ukraine, and Russia. The agreement was virtually nullified and the civil war resumed.
The Crimean Peninsula issue is based on the involvement of Russian troops in order to make Crimean Peninsula independent and protect Russian residents.As a result, Crimea decided to join Russia through a referendum.
Putin has consistently said he will not attack Ukraine, but this is the answer.They will not attack Ukraine, but they will attack Lugansk and Donetsk.For Russia, the region is not Ukraine.
There are 1,497,170 people in the People's Republic of Lukansk and 2,299,120 people in the People's Republic of Tonetsk, totaling 3,796,290 people.Ukraine has a population of 44.13 million, so 8.6% of the population will leave.population of 1,967,000 on the Crimean Peninsula, In this recalculation, Russia will get for 12.5% of Ukraine's population.
If Ukrainian troops attack the People's Republic of Lugansk and the People's Republic of Donetsk, Russia and Ukraine will start a war.Russia's will not attack on Ukraine and not lead to war, but Ukraine's attack on the People's Republic of Lugansk and Donetsk lead to war.
Above all, NATO membership requires that the country is not in a state of civil war.If Ukraine claims that Lugansk and Donetsk belong to their own territory, the armistice agreement will be nullified, and if Ukraine tries to suppress it, it will become civil war and will not be able to join NATO.
Putin have made it clear that he will not attack Ukraine.Mr. Putin seems to be one step better than Mr. Biden.
Ukrainian military shelling of Russian military clergy ? just a false bombing, or is the battle moving into the next phase?
The Russian Orthodox Church said on the 25th that a Russian military cleric was killed in a rocket attack from the Ukrainian side near the Ukrainian border in the southwest.
Will the war enter the next phase, or is this just a false bombing, or is it an intelligence war by Russia?Ukraine is currently defending itself.This is a defense against Russian aggression.When the Ukrainian attack is directed across the border at Russia, the situation enters the next phase.A defensive battle is a war of attrition that fights against an enemy who has invaded the country while suffering domestic damage.The fact that Japan does not allow anything other than self-defense is assumed to be such a battle.Although their military facilities, towns and infrastructure are destroyed, the enemy territory remains intact, so the fighting naturally becomes inferior.If the U.N. attacks Russia this time, it will be a phase of a clear all-out war.
After Zelensky's speech to the U.S. House of Representatives, Biden announced that he would provide Ukraine with 100 attack drones.If attack drones and missile attacks are carried out on Russia in the future, Russian civilians will be killed in large numbers.And there will be many changes in public opinion in Russia.It is worrisome how public opinion in Russia will change when its own citizens begin to suffer from the damage.
The longer the battle, the more disadvantageous it is.Japan's inferiority in the Pacific War was partly due to its inability to attack the U.S. mainland at all.
Japan, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom and the EU announced sanctions against Russia.The content is limited, not enough to corner Russia.
Sanctions include (1) suspension of visa issuance and freezing of property for two "Republic" , (2) prohibition of import and export of two "Republics", and (3) prohibition of the issuance and distribution of new sovereign bonds in Japan.
Before that Japan's Foreign Minister Hayashi announced Japan will do sanctions in line with the G7, but the sanctions are not very strong.
German Chancellor Helmut Scholtz said on Wednesday he would suspend the approval process for a new gas pipeline (Nordstream 2) in Germany and Russia.Nordstream 2 is a pipeline that imports natural gas from Russia in the future without going through Ukraine, but will be suspended.However, it is doubtful how effective the sanctions will be because the current pipeline is exported to European countries via Ukraine.
The sanctions announced by the U.S. government are very limited.Pro-Russian-controlled areas are prohibited from doing economic transactions with the U.S. It was not sanctions against Russia.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has imposed sanctions on five banks and three Russian billionaires, saying they will be banned from traveling to Britain.
The EU said it agreed to target 27 individuals and organizations that "play a role in weakening or threatening Ukraine's territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence."
In any case, it is not a comprehensive plan to corner Russia's economy, but a partial, limited, and future solution.
Russia was subject to economic sanctions over the Crimean Peninsula last time, and based on its experience and current economic relations between the U.S. and Europe, it predicted the size of the sanctions and decided to send troops to Donetsk and Lugansk.Territorial disputes will benefit the region permanently after its conquest.Crimea ,Donetsk and Lugansk have 3,796,000 people, and after all Russia will occupy their economy.
Economic sanctions against territorial aggression cannot be used as a countermeasure from the beginning.Unless Russia returns it, losses from economic sanctions will be recovered from the region.
Mr. Ruri Miura said that NATO's eastern expansion was not correct - Useless fanning - Mr. Trump would have been in harmony. Mr. Miura said that NATO's eastern expansion was incorrect.
Ruri Miura, an international political scientist, said, "It wasn't right at all" when asked "Is NATO's eastern expansion correct?" It is a view that goes against the tone of the media. In terms of content, did Russia need to provoke unnecessarily when it was not sufficiently weakened and could still lead to war as a nuclear power? Is saying. In addition, in response to the question "What if Mr. Trump was the president?", He instructed NATO not to expand eastward if he was Mr. Trump, and said that it is highly likely that he had taken Russia's request. The reason is that he is not so interested in Ukraine. At least Mr. Trump wouldn't have gone to at least the invasion of Kyiv. In other words, the United States does not have many interests in Ukraine, has weak trade relations, whould be regarded as a problem in the former Eastern Europe, and NATO does not unnecessarily stimulate it.
Japan, like the United States, has little substantial relationship with Ukraine. It is necessary to look at this problem calmly apart from Western countries. Looking at the tone of the media and the internet, this war is only talked about from a sentimental point of view. As Miura pointed out in an interview, "Wars of this scale have occurred many times around the world, but why is the Ukrainian issue the only focus? It is a war between developed countries. . "
As I have posted before, Ukraine's accession to NATO was a very risky attempt to completely siege Moscow. This would require a high degree of diplomatic reconciliation, but no attempt was made. In the opposite position, if a hostile nation deploys a missile 600 km to the capital of the United States, the United States should invade the military instantly. It is necessary to separate the argument that the war is happening now and that it must be ended as soon as possible and the argument that the cause of the war has started. However, it goes without saying that Russia's actions cannot be justified. Most importantly, the road to the end of the war will only be long if the cause of the beginning of the war is not removed.
