Daily cost of invasion of Ukraine is ２.４ trillion yen - Compared with the cost of fighting terrorism.
2022-04-07
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Daily cost of invasion of Ukraine
It is estimated that Russia's daily war expenses due to the invasion of Ukraine will exceed ２ trillion yen. This seems to be based on an analysis by Britain, but it is said that Russia's economic sanctions will come into effect and the war will not be able to continue.
The cost of fighting terrorism is
In September ２０２１, a research team at the University of Brown compiled a report that the cost of a series of wars on terrorism would amount to $ ８ trillion (about ８８０ trillion yen) in the ２０ years after the ９/１１ attacks in the United States. .. The breakdown is $ ２.３ trillion (about ２５０ trillion yen) in Afghanistan and Pakistan, $ ２.１ trillion (about ２３０ trillion yen) in Iraq and Syria, and $ ２.２ trillion in medical treatment for veterans. It is (about ２４０ trillion yen). Estimating at ４８０ trillion yen excluding medical expenses for veterans, it will be ６５.７ billion yen per day. If the cost of ２３０ trillion yen in Iraq and Syria is ８ years and ９ months, it will be about ７２０ yen per day. It looks like some digits are different.
Offense and defense by information warfare
Of course, if the number of soldiers put in, the fighters used, missiles, the price of ammunition, etc. differ greatly, the war cost will change significantly, but what is the difference in this war cost when those factors are excluded? It also seems to be effective in the sense that it shakes Russian public opinion. If the domestic economy is exhausted due to economic sanctions while spending a huge amount of war expenses per day, it is natural that criticism of the expenses caused by the war will arise. In any case, various information warfare is currently taking place.
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Poland's supply of fighter jets is in trouble.Ukraine says it will accept neutrality.
Poland's plan to supply Soviet-made fighter jets to Ukraine seems to be in trouble.The Polish government announced on August 8 that it would hand over fighter jets to the U.S. and provide them to Ukraine via the U.S., but the U.S. expressed its intention not to accept Poland's proposal for fear of Russian opposition.
The Ukrainian Air Force announced on August 1 that it would receive 28 MiG-29s from Poland, but Poland later denied the infomation handing them over.Poland's attempt to provide Mig-29 via the U.S. due to pressure from Russia but The U.S. rejected .Romania has been threatened by Russia, saying it recognizes Ukraine's use of the airport .It is clear that Europe is still supplying weapons to Ukraine, and fighter jets are one of its weapons, but is it different to say that fighter jets or air force aid?
Ukraine asked NATO to set up a no-fly zone, but NATO refused.The establishment of a no-fly zone means NATO's deployment of fighter jets to shoot down Russian aircraft, which means NATO's participation in the war.Ukraine's demand to do something about intensifying air strikes was not met, and furthermore, it is difficult to provide fighter jets from Poland.
Zelensky's ruling party, "People's Servant," announced on August 8 if neighboring countries, including NATO and Russia, will guarantee Ukraine's security and neutrality, Ukraine will accept the order of Russian neutrality .However, it is unclear how the negotiations will proceed as Russia demands Total abolition of Ukraine's army and Ukraine refuses to recognize the independence of Donetsk and the People's Republic of Lugansk.
In conclusion, after the Crimean crisis, Ukraine's intention to join NATO is a security issue, but if NATO and Russia guarantee Ukraine's neutrality and security, there will be no need to stick to NATO membership.And this may have been something to be negotiated before the war.The only solution to the issue is to treat Ukraine as a buffer zone and maintain peacefully.But the war has already begun, and the problem is much more complicated than before.Ukraine's ruling party's intentions are premised on negotiations between NATO and Russia.
If Ukraine is guaranteed peace as a neutral region, Russia will not be adjacent to NATO and will meet Russia's original requirements.
Can economic sanctions stop Russia's war?The cause of the war has not yet been discussed.
President Vladimir Putin has no intention of stopping the war amid economic sanctions imposed on Russia.In a telephone conversation with French President Jacques Macron, he said, "We will not stop attacking Ukraine until Russia has achieved its goals."Many media outlets, including Japan, predict that Russia will eventually end the war due to economic sanctions, but this is not the case.What is needed mainly to wage war is weapons to fight, fuel to power them, and food for soldiers.If these are missing, it will be difficult to continue the war.The idea that it is economically disadvantageous and profitable is a prewar discussion.
I want you to remember Japan's past history.Japan was surrounded by ABCDs.This is a siege of A=America (USA), B=Britain (UK), C=China (China), and D=Dutch (Netherlands).As a result, Japan was blocked from ironwork, oil, and food, which were essential for the continuation of the war.What was the result?The Great East Asian War and the Pacific War began.The economic blockade is threatening the survival of the country, and Japan had been trying to build an Asian economic bloc by further promoting the idea of a "Great East Asian Co-prosperity Zone."The idea of a great East Asian co-prosperity zone was to expel Western colonial rule in Asia, and economic sanctions would compensate for the loss caused by developing the development of the great East Asian co-prosperity zone.
When it comes to weapons, Russia is one of the world's leading military powers, and there are a lot of weapons already manufactured.In terms of fuel, Russia ranked seventh in the world in oil reserves and overtaken Saudi Arabia in 2010 as the world's largest oil producer.In terms of food, Russia's grain self-sufficiency rate is 124%.In other words, what is needed to continue the war is mainly available in Russia.
Mining is also active, producing 32% iron, 31% nickel, 27% tin, 21% cobalt, and 14% uranium of global production, as well as copper, lead, zinc, aluminum, titanium, gold, platinum, and diamond.Moreover, exports of fuel and energy products, mainly oil and natural gas, account for two-thirds of Russia's total exports, and European countries cannot engage in economic activities without purchasing natural gas from Russia.Therefore, this part is not subject to economic sanctions.So, will this stop the war?
Even in the past, the only way to stop the war was to defeat the enemy or to eliminate the cause of the war.Economic sanctions did not stop Japan's military it had little resources at that time.
Looking at the current situation in Russia, it seems that they have no intention of stopping the invasion of Ukraine.Attempts to persuade Putin should continue, but it seems impossible to stop the march unless the fundamental problem would be solved.
Under the Ukrainian Constitution, NATO and EU membership are required.Many hurdles to Ukraine's neutrality.
During the ceasefire talks between Ukraine and Russia in Turkey, Ukraine expressed its willingness to accept neutrality on the premise of establishing new security, but the problem does not appear to be easy.For one thing, Russian delegation leader Vladimir Mezinski says NATO members need to attend and agree on a joint meeting to ensure Ukraine's security.Another difficult issue is the Ukrainian Constitution.In February 2019, Ukraine revised the Constitution and revised and added the following articles.
Ukraine Constitution Article 102
The President of Ukraine is the head of state and have to act as a representative.
The President of Ukraine is a guarantor of national sovereignty, territorial integrity of Ukraine, compliance with the Constitution of Ukraine, and human rights and civil rights and freedoms.
The President of Ukraine must ensure the implementation of the State's strategic course towards full accession of Ukraine to the European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
In other words, the Constitution stipulates that NATO and EU membership are obligations that Ukrainian presidents must aim for.If the Constitution guarantees neutrality, the Ukrainian president is guilty of violation of the Constitution .It is highly likely that the negotiations itself are against the Constitution.
Article 85 provides for the implementation of a national strategic course for full membership of Ukraine in the European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and Article 116 provides for the implementation of a strategic course for membership of the EU and NATO.These are the same as amendments to Article 102.In other words, not only the president but also the diplomatic and cabinet members must make efforts to join.In other words, this constitution needs to be revised .To change the Constitution they need two-thirds of Diet members pass and hold a referendum, according to Article 156 states.
Mr. Ruri Miura said that NATO's eastern expansion was not correct - Useless fanning - Mr. Trump would have been in harmony. Mr. Miura said that NATO's eastern expansion was incorrect.
Ruri Miura, an international political scientist, said, "It wasn't right at all" when asked "Is NATO's eastern expansion correct?" It is a view that goes against the tone of the media. In terms of content, did Russia need to provoke unnecessarily when it was not sufficiently weakened and could still lead to war as a nuclear power? Is saying. In addition, in response to the question "What if Mr. Trump was the president?", He instructed NATO not to expand eastward if he was Mr. Trump, and said that it is highly likely that he had taken Russia's request. The reason is that he is not so interested in Ukraine. At least Mr. Trump wouldn't have gone to at least the invasion of Kyiv. In other words, the United States does not have many interests in Ukraine, has weak trade relations, whould be regarded as a problem in the former Eastern Europe, and NATO does not unnecessarily stimulate it.
Japan, like the United States, has little substantial relationship with Ukraine. It is necessary to look at this problem calmly apart from Western countries. Looking at the tone of the media and the internet, this war is only talked about from a sentimental point of view. As Miura pointed out in an interview, "Wars of this scale have occurred many times around the world, but why is the Ukrainian issue the only focus? It is a war between developed countries. . "
As I have posted before, Ukraine's accession to NATO was a very risky attempt to completely siege Moscow. This would require a high degree of diplomatic reconciliation, but no attempt was made. In the opposite position, if a hostile nation deploys a missile 600 km to the capital of the United States, the United States should invade the military instantly. It is necessary to separate the argument that the war is happening now and that it must be ended as soon as possible and the argument that the cause of the war has started. However, it goes without saying that Russia's actions cannot be justified. Most importantly, the road to the end of the war will only be long if the cause of the beginning of the war is not removed.
Ukrainian sniper sniper at Russian general... Is Mr. Zelenski still in Kiev?
The British Independent quoted a military source as saying on August 3 (local time) that Andrei Sukhovetsky (47), commander of the 7th Airborne Division and deputy commander of the 41st Allied Forces, was shot dead by Ukrainian snipers.There are rumors on the Internet that Sukhovetsky was speaking to the invading army at the time of his death, but the exact place and time of his death are unknown.It is highly likely to shock the Russian military and Moscow leaders in terms of being the highest-ranking person killed in the war.
It seems that like as in Golgo 13 a sniper killed an important person .Ukrainian snipers killed Sukhovetsky at a rally surrounded by Russian troops.British media reports that 400 assassins are already in Kiev via Belarus and ready to kill Zelensky.The assassination team said they knew where Zelensky was and were awaiting instructions from the authorities.Then why hasn't the instruction been given yet, or under what circumstances will the instruction given?
When former Defense Minister Morimoto appeared on TV, he said, "The Russian army would not capture Kiev at once."In other words, it is said that they surrounded and blocked Kiev and the food supply will be cut off weapons and ammunition, and make Kiev starve to death.Morimoto says Russia's purpose is to capture Zelensky and bring him to trial in Russia.In other words, the purpose is not to kill, but to capture alive.Russian army wait for Mr. Zelensky to surrender in exchange for saving the needy citizens of Kiev.
The appeal in Russia is a suspicion of Ukraine's genocide in the Donbas region.Russia claims that Zelensky ordered the killing of pro-Russian forces in Donbas to justify its invasion of Ukraine.
If Russia secures Mr. Zelensky, a trial may be held by all means, including forcing a confession.
